Big Ten Tourney Championship: Purdue vs. Michigan: Predictions & Game Thread

[JohnnyDoeBoiler]

Rankings:
Michigan:
RPI: 17th
Pomroy: 9th
BPI: 14th
AP: 15th
Coaches: 13th

Purdue:
RPI: 8th
Pomroy: 5th
BPI: 3rd
AP: 8th
Coaches: 8th

Rankings:
Michigan:
Scoring Offense: 74.4 (164th)
Scoring Defense: 63.5 (9th)
FG%: 47% (64th)
2pt FG %: 54.7% (40th)
3pt FG %: 36.9% (87th)
Rebounds/game: 33.53 (282nd)
Offensive Rebounds/game: 8.68 (289th)
Defensive Rebounds/game: 24.85 (206th)

Purdue:
Scoring Offense: 81.6 (25th)
Scoring Defense: 65.4 (27th)
FG%: 49.8 (12th)
2pt FG %: 54.8% (38th)
3pt FG %: 42.4% (2nd)
Rebounds/game: 34.94 (198th)
Offensive Rebounds/game: 8.39 (298th)
Defensive Rebounds/game: 26.55 (82nd)

ESPN's Basketball Power Index Predictor: Purdue 74.9%
Spread: Purdue favored by 5

Prediction:
When looking at Michigan throughout the BTT and in their last few games, Michigan has strung together wins against PSU, Maryland, Iowa, Nebraska, and MSU. In fact, Michigan has only lost one game since losing to Purdue in the shootout back on January 25th (@ Northwestern). The likely match-up that determines the outcome of this game will be Haas/Haarms vs. Wagner. If Purdue can get Wagner in foul trouble early in the first half, it takes the biggest key for the Wolverines in being truly effective on the offensive end. However, if Purdue can keep Michigan off the foul line (specifically Robinson, Poole, Wagner, and MAAR), it would go a long way. If Purdue puts a player on the line, they need to put Brooks, Simmons, Livers, and Mathews who all shoot between 56%-61.5%.

Purdue: 79
Michigan: 76

 

[arcb102000]

Yesterday, I predicted Purdue by 9 at 79-70. I was one point off.

Today, I like Purdue by 12 @ 72-60. I think that the wear and tear of the past few days will hurt the jump shots. Michigan has played 3 games previously and Purdue only 2. I think that will matter. Plus, Painter has done a good job of integrating the bench into playing time, even though they have not scored a lot. That saves legs for the starters and should benefit in a tight tournament.

 

[James J Chitwood]

Michigan has played 45 more minutes of hoops in the last 3 days. Does that offset Vince playing at less than 100%, and Isaac’s general fatigue? The matchups were tight at both places. I hope the Michigan team from Thursday shows up.

Purdue: 71
Michigan: 66

 

[TopSecretBoiler]

purdue by 20 in mackey east

 

[GemstateBoiler]

It must almost be time to rumble. Two beers and a shot so far, I'm pacing myself.

 

[Jack_Ripper]

Thanx for post op, statistically they rebound worse than we do ! Woulda never guessed that.

 

[KentuckyBoiler]

Let's Play Basketball!

 

[Mandeville LA]

As the old saying goes, it’s hard to beat a team three times in a row. MU shot is off due to games played. Still close PU by 3 73-70

 

[Schnelk]

No predictions here, just.....BTFU!!!!!

 

[proudopete]

Let’s do this!

Boiler Up!!!

 

[Schnelk]

Btw, contrary to some other lines of thinking elsewhere I am overjoyed the game is on CBS! So, Go Boilers, beat Meatchicken 3 times now!!!

 

[Purdue Grad in Texas]

Boiler Up, my friends.

 

[GemstateBoiler]

Don't have to work tomorrow! We're gonna win!!!!!!!

 

[BBG]

Watching the interview with Coach Beilein..... he's such a classy coach.

 

[Schnelk]

Don't have to work tomorrow! We're gonna win!!!!!!!

I like your logic!

 

[GemstateBoiler]

I like Michigan's coach but not today, this is personal.

 

[Purdue Grad in Texas]

Big surprise with that pick Seth.....go Boilers.

Way to get on board, Clark Kellogg.

 

[PU pit bull]

Do I even have to say it? BTFU!!!!!!!!!!

 

[BBG]

Big surprise with that pick Seth.....go Boilers.

Way to get on board, Clark Kellogg.

Seth picked PSU last time too I think, as often as he is wrong, that bodes well for us.

 

[PU pit bull]

Big surprise with that pick Seth.....go Boilers.

Way to get on board, Clark Kellogg.

who they pick?

 

[Purdue Grad in Texas]

who they pick?

Lanny Davis' son - Michigan

Clark Kellogg - Purdue

 

[Schnelk]

Seth Meatchicken. Clark Boilers.

 

[GemstateBoiler]

I'm back! No more parties, sniveling and crap. This is serious stuff now.

 

[Schnelk]

Oh no!!! Bo sucks!!!

 

[PU pit bull]

Haas n nator!!!!!!

 

[GemstateBoiler]

Yes big man

 

[PU pit bull]

......and PU is outrebounding them

 

[Schnelk]

Great play Isaac!

 

[PU pit bull]

watch that ankle Vinny!!!!!!!!!!!!!! damn

 

[BBG]

At least these refs seem to be letting us play. Such a contrast from yesterday.

 

[Schnelk]

Haas again! Good put back!

 

[KentuckyBoiler]

Haas is the man!!

 

[Purdue Grad in Texas]

The Big Fella! way to work.

 

[KentuckyBoiler]

Haas again!

 

[BoilerGal74]

I don’t think Isaac like Wagner trash talking...

 

[TopSecretBoiler]

lol we gonna lose to teske!?!

 

[GemstateBoiler]

Haarms needs to stay home

 

[purduepat1969]

Can we PLEASE stop over playing the pick and roll. You knew it was coming...

 

[KentuckyBoiler]

I don’t think Isaac like Wagner trash talking...

I don't like it either, especially his tongue wagging

 

[Schnelk]

Wow, great rebound Nojel!