Completely agree, you have to base it on high school production, but aside from a superstar like Romeo it's hard to predict how that translates to the Big Ten. My point was that I'd rather rely on guys like Haarms, Cline and Eastern who have played at the college level but haven't had a ton of minutes versus guys coming from high school. Not saying that's right, just my opinion.
I like Juwan Morgan a lot, he seems like a good, hard working young man and would not be surprised if he has a similar season to last, which may land him first team all conference. I think the temptation will be to move him out of the post to show more of a wing game to the NBA and to make room in the post for players like Davis and Thompson. Just my opionion, but it reminds me of Purdue playing Vince Edwards at the 3 rather than the 4 two years ago and I think that would lead to a regression in his productivity.
Regarding Eastern, and I'd put Haarms in the same category, you're completely correct in that assuming they'll make the type of jump that Morgan made last year is extremely risky. Worst case, both will be excellent defensive players who are limited offensively and will rely on dishes from Carsen and offensive rebounds for their offensive production. If that's the case I still see Purdue as an NCAA tournament team but not a conference championship contender. Having said that, both have shown glimpses and I'd expect at least one of the two to become a legitimate offensive threat, but that's why I'm a fan