Just wanted to get some numbers out there because I keep reading references to poor OL recruiting.
This is in no way to imply that the OL is not a problem. I was the one talking about it over the summer being the main area that limits the win ceiling at 6 or 7 this season.
But let's try to be precise when talking about issues. This is not, strictly speaking, a recruiting problem. At least not according to the numbers and relative to recruiting other positions.
2017 (#72 class)
Avg player rating = 0.818
Avg OL rating (qty 6) = 0.808
Top OL rating = 0.830 (Stickford)
2018 (#52 class)
Avg player rating = 0.847
Avg OL rating (qty 4) = 0.849
Top OL rating = 0.861 (McKenna)
2019 (#25 class)
Avg player rating = 0.866
Avg OL rating (qty 4) = 0.843
Top OL rating = 0.857 (Jornigan)
2020 (#32 class)
Avg player rating = 0.864
Avg OL rating (qty 4) = 0.859
Top OL rating = 0.894 (Hartwig)
2021 (#76 class)
Avg player rating = 0.851
Avg OL rating (qty 4) = 0.851
Top OL rating = 0.855 (Alstott)
As the numbers show, the OL recruiting has been basically on par with the overall recruiting. The staff has signed between 4-6 guys each year, plus some transfers.
There have been linemen in each class that were rated above players that are currently starting at other positions.
2017: All of the OL recruits were above O'Connell and Horvath
2018: McKenna and Bramel were above Trice, Alexander, Sullivan. Miller was above Johnson, Deen, and Durham.
2019: Jornigan was over Miller and Allen.
2020: Hartwig was over all but a few guys
In short, the recruiting was plenty good enough, on paper, to have a serviceable offensive line by 2021.
What this doesn't prove is whether the ratings of our OL recruits were collectively off or whether, more likely, there is a development issue at the OL position.
Keeping guys healthy and getting them much better as juniors and seniors than they were when they walked in a freshmen are the only two issues we should be talking about in regards to the offensive line. I am not going to tell you what combination of coaching, strength & conditioning, and just bad luck with health that is because I don't know. If you read my other posts I have my eyes on S&C.
But it is absolutely NOT a glaring hole in recruiting.
This is in no way to imply that the OL is not a problem. I was the one talking about it over the summer being the main area that limits the win ceiling at 6 or 7 this season.
But let's try to be precise when talking about issues. This is not, strictly speaking, a recruiting problem. At least not according to the numbers and relative to recruiting other positions.
2017 (#72 class)
Avg player rating = 0.818
Avg OL rating (qty 6) = 0.808
Top OL rating = 0.830 (Stickford)
2018 (#52 class)
Avg player rating = 0.847
Avg OL rating (qty 4) = 0.849
Top OL rating = 0.861 (McKenna)
2019 (#25 class)
Avg player rating = 0.866
Avg OL rating (qty 4) = 0.843
Top OL rating = 0.857 (Jornigan)
2020 (#32 class)
Avg player rating = 0.864
Avg OL rating (qty 4) = 0.859
Top OL rating = 0.894 (Hartwig)
2021 (#76 class)
Avg player rating = 0.851
Avg OL rating (qty 4) = 0.851
Top OL rating = 0.855 (Alstott)
As the numbers show, the OL recruiting has been basically on par with the overall recruiting. The staff has signed between 4-6 guys each year, plus some transfers.
There have been linemen in each class that were rated above players that are currently starting at other positions.
2017: All of the OL recruits were above O'Connell and Horvath
2018: McKenna and Bramel were above Trice, Alexander, Sullivan. Miller was above Johnson, Deen, and Durham.
2019: Jornigan was over Miller and Allen.
2020: Hartwig was over all but a few guys
In short, the recruiting was plenty good enough, on paper, to have a serviceable offensive line by 2021.
What this doesn't prove is whether the ratings of our OL recruits were collectively off or whether, more likely, there is a development issue at the OL position.
Keeping guys healthy and getting them much better as juniors and seniors than they were when they walked in a freshmen are the only two issues we should be talking about in regards to the offensive line. I am not going to tell you what combination of coaching, strength & conditioning, and just bad luck with health that is because I don't know. If you read my other posts I have my eyes on S&C.
But it is absolutely NOT a glaring hole in recruiting.