Well, if that is the case, it certainly demonstrates that Brohm has better insights than his colleagues do as he was clearly very successful relative to preseason predictions.
Note, however, that you never disproved or disputed my comment about Dayton being mid-pack and Miller having some success there.
IU fans posting here present arguments based upon cognitive dissonance.. We are told that a true measure of Miller's coaching prowess is his success in getting Dayton to the E8. Painter is a bad/mediocre coach for not getting past a S16. However, both Davis and Crean went further in the Tournament than did Miller but IU fans maintain that they are bad/poor coaches. Let's remember that the ISU coach when Bird was there got to the final game and was fired a few years later and never heard from again.
So which is it? You can't have it both ways. If Miller is a very good coach based upon Tourney success at Dayton then Davis and Crean must be better - and the ISU coach was better than them. If that is not true, then Tourney results are not a valid indicator. But both cannot be simultaneously true.
Tourney success is a function of skill, luck and match-ups. Injuries are random and consequential. That is true in other sports as well. Secretariat lost at Saratoga. Man of War lost to Upset (hence the name of a surprising loss.) Wild Card teams win World Series and Super Bowls despite being inferior over a long season.