Minnesota basically returns everyone as does Nebraska sans Wandale Robinson and you’re also forgetting that Rondale Moore is gone. Purdue still beats Minnesota last year despite the bad call if they make their FG’s. Can’t put it on one play.
And basically returning everyone doesn’t make a team immensely better. GK and David Bell are all-American caliber players, but outside those two, I struggle to find playmakers on either side of the ball. Wright is a solid B10 starter, but other than him (and Bell) I think the rest of the skill position players are meh. AOC/Plummer at best are serviceable QB’s but neither strike as QB’s that are going to go out and win you a game. Offensive line is getting better, but is still a work in-progress. Depth on the OL is a huge concern.
Defensively, they’re likely to be better because I’m not sure it could get any worse, but Diaco’s firing if anything should boost morale. However, three different DC’s in three years is going to make for a ton of growing pains. Obviously GK is a stud but outside him you have a bunch of either meh players or talented young guys who lack a ton of experience.
Honestly I see a 4-5 win team. Will say it helps that most of Purdue’s swing games are at home and because of that there is a path to 6 wins, but anything more is overachieving in my opinion.
That’s my honest assessment.