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Small KenPom Defense Note from Nebraska Game

KenPom's AdjDE tells how many points an average D1 defense would score against us in 100 possessions. Purdue is at 97.7.

Interestingly enough, Nebraska's AdjOE is almost exactly "average", since their AdjOE is 103.0 (median is 103.1, average is 103.4), so they serve as a great litmus test.

Last night we held Nebraska to what would be 89.0 points in 100 possessions.

While the eyeball test says the defense is slowly starting to come around, it's nice to see some numbers back that up too.

Oddball Purdue Football stats

I'm working on putting more historical Purdue Football data on my site and just finished a kind of fun project. I dive into all kinds of goofy aspects and see what Purdue's record is. Weather, field turf, what uniforms we're wearing, dumb stuff like that.

This only goes back to 2009 since it's hard to gather some of this info. And since the Hazell era kinda tanks a lot of these records I made it so you can filter by head coach. Toggling just Brohm makes this more fun to look through.

http://www.purduefbdatabase.com/purdue/intangibles.html

Cool Brohm Stats:
  • Brohm's best win percentage is in the month of November. Previously, Hazell never won a game in November.
  • Brohm beats the spread by an average 13.7 points (!!!) in games following a bye.
  • Brohm is 11-6 in 3:30pm games. No idea why?
  • Brohm is 12-2 (!!!) in games where the average temperature is in the 50s. Again, no idea why. Since so many of his wins are hoarded in that temperature range he has a losing record at every other range.

Hilariously Awful Hazell Stats:
  • Not only was Hazell winless in the month of November, but on average Purdue were 15.53-point underdogs... and on average we lost by 20.53!
  • 35 of Hazell's 48 games as coach (including interim Gerad Parker) were at Noon. Nobody wanted to watch us.
  • We made a big deal out of the new black helmets introduced in 2013. Hazell went 1-13 while wearing them for a win percentage of 7.10%.

Oddities:
  • In road games where Purdue brought the marching band, there was about a touchdown swing in Purdue's favor in the Hope era. There's about a touchdown swing against Purdue in the Brohm era.
  • Danny Hope had the best winning percentage in games where it rained. He went 2-6 (0.250)...
  • While Purdue is only 3-11 on road games on a Natural Grass turf, Purdue does beat expectations by about a touchdown. These would be road games against Northwestern, Michigan State, and Notre Dame prior to 2014. Which... yeah, Purdue has played in close games in those stadiums in the last 15ish years.

Nebraska v. Purdue (Game Thread)

TGIF, Ladies and Gentlemen. It's an early evening game this Friday in Mackey Arena between the visiting Nebraska Cornhuskers and the #7-ranked Purdue Boilermakers. Tip-off coming up shortly @ 6:30 pm (Eastern) with television coverage on Fox Sports 1 network (FS1). Nebraska comes in @ 6-11 and winless (0-6) in conference play. Purdue is 13-2 and in the middle of the pack of the conference at 2-2. The Cornhuskers (6-11, 0-6), who are seeking their first win at Mackey Arena in eight trips, have dropped four in a row. Purdue leads the all-time series 17-6, including wins in four of the last five matchups.

The Boilers have been off since last weekend due to its earlier scheduled game this week @ Michigan being postponed due to the Wolverines' COVID issues. That would have been a really good test for Purdue on the road, so instead the Boilers have had a whole week to prepare for a struggling Nebraska squad - the worst team in the conference right now. Will that ultimately help the Boilers? Possibly, if they've turned the corner on some of the defensive shortcomings - trips to Champaign-Urbana and Bloomington loom next week, the toughest stretch to date so far on the road. Purdue is coming off its first road win of the year, winning the battle against Penn State. Given Nebraska's weaknesses, it may be difficult to glean where Purdue has improved, but we can start with the effort/intensity and if the unforced errors are limited.

Three Cornhuskers are averaging double-figure scoring, led by freshman guard Bryce McGowens. In 17 games this season, he is averaging 15.9 points, 5.5 rebounds and 1.6 assists, and is connecting on 83.3 percent of his foul shots. McGowens, who is third nationally among all true freshmen in scoring, has reached double figures in seven consecutive games dating back to Dec. 11. The three-time Big Ten Freshman of the Week scored 19 points and grabbed six rebounds on Tuesday against Illinois in an 81-71 loss. Also powering Nebraska is senior guard Alonzo Verge Jr. The graduate transfer from Arizona State leads the Big Ten in assists (5.8) and is sixth in steals (1.5). Verge has a team-high four double-doubles and scored 14 points and had nine assists against No. 25 Illinois. Earlier this season, he scored 16 points and had a career-high 12 assists against Kennesaw State, and led the Cornhuskers with 31 points and eight rebounds against Michigan.

For Purdue, I'd like to see Jaden Ivey get back to more of his selective powering of the offense. He is still the overall key to the team, IMO, and has scored in double figures in each of his last 12 games. In the win over Penn State, Ivey scored 12 points, while grabbing seven rebounds and two steals. After starting the season going 3-of-12 from 3-point range, he has been in a really good groove, connecting on 29-of-61 in the last 12 games. For the season, Ivey is hitting on 50 percent of his field goals, including 43.8 percent from 3-point range. He has also recently shown some signs defensively, especially against Penn State - if he can get back to the two-way game changer - Purdue will have a lot more opportunities on both ends of the floor. Zach Edey went back in the starting line-up, and that seemed to help him. He and Trevion Williams have been pretty darn consistent, solid, and productive all season and have for the most part - avoided foul trouble as well. I'd also like to see Zach Edey convert a few more from inside, and Trevion Williams has been really good facilitating with timely and deft passing. As long as he doesn't try to do too much and force things - Purdue should have a solid edge inside.

But what I'll be most particularly interested in is with the other starters and bench players getting more actively involved on both ends of the floor - Mason Gillis has been really good the last few games, and Ethan Morton has had his minutes increased with an impact to the team if not always on the stat sheet. Will Brandon Newman get any significant playing time? He did not get into the game at all against Penn State, and I would have to think he's ready to see some action. Can Isaiah Thompson get back to better production form? Can Eric Hunter, Jr. find some rhythm? Is Caleb Furst back healthy enough to make some impact like he did early on in the season? A lot of questions remain; maybe we'll start seeing some answers......this evening. When the Boilers play their game and play well with defensive intensity - they can beat anybody - we just haven't seen as much consistency the last several weeks. If the Boilers are going to have a special season, they'll need to figure a few things out. The good thing is there is plenty of season left - but it's a daunting challenge, and the schedule gets tough with four of the next six on the road and a home game with Ohio State.

Is tonight the start? We shall see.......

Boiler Up, my friends.....

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Ted Cruz asking FBI TOUGH questions about January 6th

Where’s the poisonous Democrat media on this??? Anybody find it peculiar that journalists have no interest in any of this?? It’s almost like they’re protecting the establishment like always. @PurdueFan1 @BuilderBob6 what are your left wing Twitter sources saying about January 6th??

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