The predictions below are based on objective mathematical algorithms developed by TeamRankings.com. If the NCAA tournament began today with the teams, seedings, and regional brackets specified in Joe Lunardi's projections, here is how teams' odds to advance to key rounds of the tournament compare.
Odds to Win Tournament
Villanova (1)
15.5%
Duke (2)
11.2%
Purdue (2)
10.2%
Michigan St (2)
9.5%
Virginia (1)
9.1%
Kansas (1)
6.0%
Cincinnati (3)
5.4%
N Carolina (2)
4.9%
W Virginia (4)
3.2%
Gonzaga (5)
2.6%
Odds to Make Final Four
Villanova (1)
37.7%
Duke (2)
29.4%
Michigan St (2)
29.3%
Purdue (2)
28.6%
Virginia (1)
27.4%
Kansas (1)
24.1%
N Carolina (2)
21.7%
Cincinnati (3)
20.5%
Gonzaga (5)
13.3%
Xavier (1)
13.2%
Odds to Win Tournament
Villanova (1)
15.5%
Duke (2)
11.2%
Purdue (2)
10.2%
Michigan St (2)
9.5%
Virginia (1)
9.1%
Kansas (1)
6.0%
Cincinnati (3)
5.4%
N Carolina (2)
4.9%
W Virginia (4)
3.2%
Gonzaga (5)
2.6%
Odds to Make Final Four
Villanova (1)
37.7%
Duke (2)
29.4%
Michigan St (2)
29.3%
Purdue (2)
28.6%
Virginia (1)
27.4%
Kansas (1)
24.1%
N Carolina (2)
21.7%
Cincinnati (3)
20.5%
Gonzaga (5)
13.3%
Xavier (1)
13.2%