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Looking at the remaining schedule - could we run the table?

3

32zone

True Freshman
Nov 18, 2010
586
516
93
@ Rutgers
vs. Nebraska
vs. Illinois
@ Northwestern
@ Iowa
vs. Indiana

I'm guessing we'll be favored in 4 of the remaining 6 games. The other two are winnable with the @ Iowa game being the toughest game left on paper.

After the past 6 years, its crazy to think we could win our six remaining games. If we get solid quarterback play it is very doable.
 
Possible yes. Probable no.

We're 3-3 after 6 games. Same as last year. We beat a decent MAC team that is having a good year. We beat a terrible SEC team. Missouri has looked really bad in games since we played them. We beat a Minnesota team that hasn't won a conference game yet and we had to rally to do so. We didn't get totally blown out in our loses. But in spite of all the optimism I'm hearing from fans, I'm not sure that we know what we have yet.

We have won the games we should have won, which maybe you couldn't have said the last 4 seasons. The team seems to work harder and fight harder than they have the past 4 years as well. Coaching is mostly better too. How many wins will all that translate into? I think we will start to get the answer Saturday. Another team most people think we should beat. Win that one, and I think we win at least 7, maybe 8. Lose to the Scarlett Knights and I think we struggle to get 6 wins.
 
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32zone said:
@ Rutgers
vs. Nebraska
vs. Illinois
@ Northwestern
@ Iowa
vs. Indiana
Click to expand...
My odds:
@Rutgers 70%
Nebraska 60%
Illinois 80%
@NW 45%
@Iowa 25%
IU 50%

Add that up and you get 3.3 wins. So for the moment I say we win between 3 and 4 games. Rutgers will be interesting this weekend because it will be a good litmus to see the team's attitude. They are coming off a win and we are coming off a loss. In previous years, this is the time when our team would fold like a cheap suit and only win one more game this year at best. Hopefully a winning attitude has taken over.
 
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Boiler Wolf said:
Possible yes. Probable no.

We're 3-3 after 6 games. Same as last year. We beat a decent MAC team that is having a good year. We beat a terrible SEC team. Missouri has looked really bad in games since we played them. We beat a Minnesota team that hasn't won a conference game yet and we had to rally to do so. We didn't get totally blown out in our loses. But in spite of all the optimism I'm hearing from fans, I'm not sure that we know what we have yet.

We have won the games we should have won, which maybe you couldn't have said the last 4 seasons. The team seems to work harder and fight harder than they have the past 4 years as well. Coaching is mostly better too. How many wins will all that translate into? I think we will start to get the answer Saturday. Another team most people think we should beat. Win that one, and I think we win at least 7, maybe 8. Lose to the Scarlett Knights and I think we struggle to get 6 wins.
Click to expand...
Which is why I think the games against Rutgers, Illinois, IU, and Nebraska are all games Purdue should win. Those are teams, that at this point, appear to have equal talent levels. When that occurs, you typically go to the coaching staff...and I'll take Brohm and his staff over what those schools have on their sidelines....and I think that has shown in Purdue's ability to keep the games close against their better opponents
 
Boiler Wolf said:
Possible yes. Probable no.

We're 3-3 after 6 games. Same as last year. We beat a decent MAC team that is having a good year. We beat a terrible SEC team. Missouri has looked really bad in games since we played them. We beat a Minnesota team that hasn't won a conference game yet and we had to rally to do so. We didn't get totally blown out in our loses. But in spite of all the optimism I'm hearing from fans, I'm not sure that we know what we have yet.

We have won the games we should have won, which maybe you couldn't have said the last 4 seasons. The team seems to work harder and fight harder than they have the past 4 years as well. Coaching is mostly better too. How many wins will all that translate into? I think we will start to get the answer Saturday. Another team most people think we should beat. Win that one, and I think we win at least 7, maybe 8. Lose to the Scarlett Knights and I think we struggle to get 6 wins.
Click to expand...

Very well said, my thoughts exactly.

Not to be Captain Obvious here, but a lot depends on gutting out a win at Rutgers Saturday. Lose that and everything looks less optimistic.
 
Boiler Wolf said:
Possible yes. Probable no.

We're 3-3 after 6 games. Same as last year. We beat a decent MAC team that is having a good year. We beat a terrible SEC team. Missouri has looked really bad in games since we played them. We beat a Minnesota team that hasn't won a conference game yet and we had to rally to do so. We didn't get totally blown out in our loses. But in spite of all the optimism I'm hearing from fans, I'm not sure that we know what we have yet.

We have won the games we should have won, which maybe you couldn't have said the last 4 seasons. The team seems to work harder and fight harder than they have the past 4 years as well. Coaching is mostly better too. How many wins will all that translate into? I think we will start to get the answer Saturday. Another team most people think we should beat. Win that one, and I think we win at least 7, maybe 8. Lose to the Scarlett Knights and I think we struggle to get 6 wins.
Click to expand...
I agree, the true part of our season starts now.QB play has cost us one game and almost another.
Lets hope the running game gets better and our QB`s improve to the point that they are sound.
 
I'm going with 3-3 with wins over Rutgers IU and U of I! That was my preseason prediction and I'm sticking to it
 
SqueakyClean said:
My odds:
@Rutgers 70%
Nebraska 60%
Illinois 80%
@NW 45%
@Iowa 25%
IU 50%

Add that up and you get 3.3 wins. So for the moment I say we win between 3 and 4 games. Rutgers will be interesting this weekend because it will be a good litmus to see the team's attitude. They are coming off a win and we are coming off a loss. In previous years, this is the time when our team would fold like a cheap suit and only win one more game this year at best. Hopefully a winning attitude has taken over.
Click to expand...
I like your math and thought process. The only reversals would be Neb 50% and I.U. 60%. Nebraska has better talent but has not been performing. Who knows if/when they turn the corner. I.U. should be 50-50 but I personally believe once their losses pile up, they will fade at the finish line just enough for us to get that Bucket back after the game.
 
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32zone said:
@ Rutgers
vs. Nebraska
vs. Illinois
@ Northwestern
@ Iowa
vs. Indiana

I'm guessing we'll be favored in 4 of the remaining 6 games. The other two are winnable with the @ Iowa game being the toughest game left on paper.

After the past 6 years, its crazy to think we could win our six remaining games. If we get solid quarterback play it is very doable.
Click to expand...
Sure as heck hope none of the players think of this. It would be the best way to underachieve.

ONE GAME AT A TIME.
 
TheBoris said:
As I've posted previously, Rutgers looked solid vs Illinois and RB Gus Edwards is a handful. IMHO our odds are about 50-50.
Click to expand...
Illinois' defense is TERRIBLE. They've allowed 35pts per game against BCS teams. Meanwhile, Rutgers has been only putting up 15.8 points per game against BCS teams (and that includes the 35 they put up on Illinois). Rutgers has also been giving up about 30 points per game to BCS teams. Statistically, we have much better stats against a similar / slightly tougher schedule.

Statistics only go so far, I know. With that said, if we are as improved as we think we are, this is a game we really should win. Nebraska's rush defense is slightly better than ours, but comparable, and they held Gus to 58 yards on 15 carries.
 
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SqueakyClean said:
Illinois' defense is TERRIBLE. They've allowed 35pts per game against BCS teams. Meanwhile, Rutgers has been only putting up 15.8 points per game against BCS teams (and that includes the 35 they put up on Illinois). Rutgers has also been giving up about 30 points per game to BCS teams. Statistically, we have much better stats against a similar / slightly tougher schedule.

Statistics only go so far, I know. With that said, if we are as improved as we think we are, this is a game we really should win. Nebraska's rush defense is slightly better than ours, but comparable, and they held Gus to 58 yards on 15 carries.
Click to expand...
Gus is a good RB, but I have a feeling you will all know Blackshear a little better after this game. I think he is the most talented RB on the roster and is going to have a breakout game soon. Whether that is this game I don't know, but you heard it here first.
 
TheBoris said:
As I've posted previously, Rutgers looked solid vs Illinois and RB Gus Edwards is a handful. IMHO our odds are about 50-50.
Click to expand...

purdue opened at -8, now seeing -9 and -9.5.
a decent favorite for being on the road in conference (even considering rutgers)
 
4-2 absolutely barring any significant injury. 5-1 possible. 6-0 only if few things go our way. Frankly only two teams left on our schedule that scares me are NW and Iowa. NW has a tendency to surprise you when you least expect it. Iowa is like mini-Wisconsin, a similar style with slightly less talent. We can win both if we don't shoot ourselves in the foot like we did in the first half against Minnesota. I ain't scared of no Indiana.
 
jlariv9 said:
Gus is a good RB, but I have a feeling you will all know Blackshear a little better after this game. I think he is the most talented RB on the roster and is going to have a breakout game soon. Whether that is this game I don't know, but you heard it here first.
Click to expand...
Yeah I didn't see all of the IL game but saw a few of his carries and thought "where the hell did that kid come from"
 
Dennis H. said:
Yeah I didn't see all of the IL game but saw a few of his carries and thought "where the hell did that kid come from"
Click to expand...
To be fair, a lot of RB's looked that way against Purdue over the last decade and went on to be average at best RB's. Illinois is arguably just as bad, if not worse, than Purdue has been the last few years.
 
IUPACK said:
After Indiana first 5 conference games, the rest of it's schedule will be a cupcake. That's counting Purdue.
Click to expand...
Wisconsin Badgers: Whisky 81% chance to win according to ESPN FPI
@ Illinois: 85% chance to win according to ESPN FPI
Rutgers: 84% chance to win according to ESPN FPI
@ Purdue: 51.5% chance to win according to ESPN FPI

Not sure about you but calling Whisky and Purdue a cupcake shows your lack of in depth ability to analyze and thus an ability to give a rational thought. I'll give you Illinois and Rutgers but I wouldn't be surprised to see Whisky put up 50+ on IU.
 
JohnnyDoeBoiler said:
Wisconsin Badgers: Whisky 81% chance to win according to ESPN FPI
@ Illinois: 85% chance to win according to ESPN FPI
Rutgers: 84% chance to win according to ESPN FPI
@ Purdue: 51.5% chance to win according to ESPN FPI

Not sure about you but calling Whisky and Purdue a cupcake shows your lack of in depth ability to analyze and thus an ability to give a rational thought. I'll give you Illinois and Rutgers but I wouldn't be surprised to see Whisky put up 50+ on IU.
Click to expand...
If you look at the schedule, Whisky is #5, so you are right not calling them a cupcake. yeah, yeah you guys said Mich. would put 50 on us as well.
 
Rutgers is the most important game on the schedule because it’s the next one. This team has been gaining confidence, losing to Rutgers wipes that out. We win Saturday we go 6-6, or 7-5, and let the party begin, Baby!!
 
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boilerbusdriver said:
Rutgers is the most important game on the schedule because it’s the next one. This team has been gaining confidence, losing to Rutgers wipes that out. We win Saturday we go 6-6, or 7-5, and let the party begin, Baby!!
Click to expand...
When looking at how the other games this season have gone, I believe Purdue will be able to just slowly pull away against Rutgers unless Rutgers is able to play their best game under Chris Ash. They played their best football against the Illini last week and even with the cleaned up mistakes...I don't see a team that should be able to beat Purdue UNLESS Purdue plays the way it did against Minny in the first half.
 
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With your new coaching regime I can see you going 5-1 easily. Essentially the same team as last year is lights out better. That's coaching
 
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