Interesting that her new team, Boise State, made it into the NCAA tournament yesterday. She has had a couple decent games this year but overall just a role player off the bench.
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Originally posted by mathboy:
It is funny the small difference a single player can make. Let's say Camille remained on the team and blocked her average of 2.4 shots per game. That is about 5 points. Let's say those blocked shots happened during the regulation period. That alone, would have given us 8 more victories. 19-12 looks a lot better than 11-20, eh?
Of course, this type of analysis is flawed. How about the points scored by whoever replaced her? What would the other team have done differenctly if Camille had started instead of someone else? There are simply too many variable to make a "what if" analysis worthwihile. It is fun though. It does show that the margin between a good team and a poor team is pretty thin.
5 more points might have given us a victory against Minny in the BTT too.
Success breeds success. If the team won more often, they would have had more fight and more confidence, and hence played better down the stretch.
Okay. I see your point but it's flawed as you say but for another reason. When a block is made you don't know who rebounds after the block. Also if it goes out of bounce, it's still their ball. The 5 points may be better estimated as 2.5 to be more accurate as 50/50 probability. I catch your drift though that winning and losing can be changed for minor reasons.
You are absolutely correct, GemState. I agree with your argument about blocks being a 50-50 play. .Originally posted by GemstateBoiler:
Originally posted by mathboy:
It is funny the small difference a single player can make. Let's say Camille remained on the team and blocked her average of 2.4 shots per game. That is about 5 points. Let's say those blocked shots happened during the regulation period. That alone, would have given us 8 more victories. 19-12 looks a lot better than 11-20, eh?
Of course, this type of analysis is flawed. How about the points scored by whoever replaced her? What would the other team have done differenctly if Camille had started instead of someone else? There are simply too many variable to make a "what if" analysis worthwihile. It is fun though. It does show that the margin between a good team and a poor team is pretty thin.
5 more points might have given us a victory against Minny in the BTT too.
Success breeds success. If the team won more often, they would have had more fight and more confidence, and hence played better down the stretch.
Okay. I see your point but it's flawed as you say but for another reason. When a block is made you don't know who rebounds after the block. Also if it goes out of bounce, it's still their ball. The 5 points may be better estimated as 2.5 to be more accurate as 50/50 probability. I catch your drift though that winning and losing can be changed for minor reasons.