I think most of us can agree that the presumptive starters for Purdue are as follows: Hill, Davis, Edwards, Swanigan, and Hammons. However, I cannot help but think that a better lineup would include PJ Thompson as the starting point guard and having Hill come off the bench. Here are my reasons...
The strength of this Purdue team will be its front court. Hammons (and Haas), Swanigan, and Edwards will be as good as any front court in the country. Anyone who watched Purdue last season (especially the tournament game against Cinci) knows that outside shooting was a major weakness. We can expect *some* improvement in outside shooting from Davis and Edwards, but little to none will come from Hammons or Swanigan. For Hammons, Swanigan, and Edwards to be most effective, we need to be able to space the floor and create a legitimate outside shooting threat. Hill's career statistics show that he is not an outside shooter: 30%, 29%, and 25%, and his attempts from 3 are very low as well. It's pretty clear that an outside shot has never been a strength. Additionally, I attended the first scrimmage... Hill was 0-3 from outside, all were open looks, and none looked like they were going in. Thompson, by contrast, was 4-8 from three in two scrimmages and looked confident shooting the ball in the scrimmage I attended.
Due to the advantage our starters will have in the post, solid ball handling and an outside threat are the two most important things our starting PG can offer. It is my belief that Thompson provides a legitimate 3PT threat that Hill simply does not. Consequently, he can provide spacing and keep the defense honest in a way that Hill won't be able to do. Even if it turns out Hill is a better all-around player (more athletic, better defender, better ball handler, etc.), the starting lineup on the whole would be better with Thompson. Moreover, bringing Hill off the bench would allow him to play with lineups with more shooters on the floor (e.g. Stephens and Mathias) and it would add size to the lineup when Swanigan is out and Edwards (or someone else) is playing the 4 spot.
Thoughts?
The strength of this Purdue team will be its front court. Hammons (and Haas), Swanigan, and Edwards will be as good as any front court in the country. Anyone who watched Purdue last season (especially the tournament game against Cinci) knows that outside shooting was a major weakness. We can expect *some* improvement in outside shooting from Davis and Edwards, but little to none will come from Hammons or Swanigan. For Hammons, Swanigan, and Edwards to be most effective, we need to be able to space the floor and create a legitimate outside shooting threat. Hill's career statistics show that he is not an outside shooter: 30%, 29%, and 25%, and his attempts from 3 are very low as well. It's pretty clear that an outside shot has never been a strength. Additionally, I attended the first scrimmage... Hill was 0-3 from outside, all were open looks, and none looked like they were going in. Thompson, by contrast, was 4-8 from three in two scrimmages and looked confident shooting the ball in the scrimmage I attended.
Due to the advantage our starters will have in the post, solid ball handling and an outside threat are the two most important things our starting PG can offer. It is my belief that Thompson provides a legitimate 3PT threat that Hill simply does not. Consequently, he can provide spacing and keep the defense honest in a way that Hill won't be able to do. Even if it turns out Hill is a better all-around player (more athletic, better defender, better ball handler, etc.), the starting lineup on the whole would be better with Thompson. Moreover, bringing Hill off the bench would allow him to play with lineups with more shooters on the floor (e.g. Stephens and Mathias) and it would add size to the lineup when Swanigan is out and Edwards (or someone else) is playing the 4 spot.
Thoughts?