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Ok, sack up, how far does this team go?

How far does this Purdue team make it in this NCAAT?

  • First round (field of 64) loss

  • Second round (field of 32) loss

  • Sweet Sixteen

  • Elite Eight

  • Final Four

  • NC Game

  • Natty!


Results are only viewable after voting.
I know no one wants to call it because it's hard to know which version of this team is going to show up, but log your outlook anyway and feel free to post your rationale. I think this team has a solid chance to make to Indy and from there anything can happen if they're shooting well, but if I were betting I just wouldn't have enough faith on the good version of this team showing up. I have them down for a second round (field of 32) loss to Clemson or McNeese.
 
I think we lose in first round or go to final 4.

Hear me out.....

We all know this team is in a funk. Come out lackadaisical and this year's Cinderella will send us home. Unfortunately it can happen...
.

Get past the first game and you have a team with Final 4 experience, an AA point gaurd, HOF coach, an All B1G post player, and shooters everywhere playing with house money. This fan base is frustrated. Get to Sweet 16 in Indy and atmosphere will be ELECTRIC. We are all ready to get on the train, and if the boys get to Indy Purdue fans will show out and be wild.

It could happen?
It's time for Painter to prove he's a Hall Of Fame coach. I think he's shaky in that regard especially in NCAA first round upsets.
 
I think they get by High Point. Purdue vs Clemson could be. Unless Houston gets upset, I am not sure Purdue has it to upset Houston.
Agree. A first-round loss would be disappointing but anything beyond that is house money for this team. Houston is a tough matchup, this Purdue team would have to have a great shooting night to keep it close.
 
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Easy money to be made in driving clicks by calling for upsets. Who knows, maybe they're right. The upside for the talking heads is that there's zero impact on them if they're wrong.
Any monkey with a computer can make the High Point over Purdue pick. Someone broke down the 10-15 upset options by their ability to beat better teams….High Point would be the outlier if they did it.

Colorado State is a better upset pick.
 
Any monkey with a computer can make the High Point over Purdue pick. Someone broke down the 10-15 upset options by their ability to beat better teams….High Point would be the outlier if they did it.

Colorado State is a better upset pick.

I'm pulling for CSU due to Morty.

Still can't route for Duke and hope they get bounced....sorry Mason.
 
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I'm sure it's happened but don't know any specifics.

I recall a couple being close lines, but I don't ever recall a #12-seed as an opening betting favorite; however, I defer to you as the board expert. :)

Some may find this interesting -

Since 1985, No. 12 seeds carry a 55-101 record all-time against No. 5 seeds. There's been at least one 5 vs 12 upset in 33 of the last 39 tournaments with the exception of the following seasons: 1988, 2000, 2007, 2015, 2018 and 2023. Three 12’s advanced in 2019, as well as in both 2013 and 2014.

Also, I don't think a #5-seed has ever won the NCAA Tournament. Only top-8 seed position not to have pulled it off since 1985 -

#1, #2, and #3 - (multiple times with the lion's share #1 seeds more than half the time)

#4 - Connecticut ('23) and Arizona ('97 - defeating three #1-seeds)
#6 - Kansas ('88)
#7 - Connecticut ('14)
#8 - Villanove ('85)
 
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Feels kind of like the Baby Boilers freshman year. A lot of “experts” had Baylor as the sexy 1st round upset over the kids from the Big Ten. The Boilers went on to blowout Baylor. I’m hoping for a similar result.

Digger couldn't get the highlighter out any faster for the Bears....seemingly as soon as that pairing in the bracket was announced. That was a refreshingly sweet one to shut him up.......and watch Rece Davis remind him of the pick.

Phelps was also the all-time leader with listings of "this team is on a mission." Davis would be sitting there with as much professional restraint as humanly possible.
 
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Was noticing we don’t have a catch and shoot guy any more like Cline or Dakota. That is something we are missing.

 
I didn't do a bracket but I'm hoping for sweet 16. I will be disappointed if they don't get that far and thrilled with anything beyond that.
 
I feel like Dakota always had that in his bag. Cline maybe later.

Could be a poor memory
So there’s still time for fletch. Cline became Cline God his senior year when he went fly fishing. He hadn’t shot it as much as fletch and was about same percentage up until that point. Hopefully fletch can channel in the inner cline god next year.
 
So there’s still time for fletch. Cline became Cline God his senior year when he went fly fishing. He hadn’t shot it as much as fletch and was about same percentage up until that point. Hopefully fletch can channel in the inner cline god next year.
There's a lot of top teams that would take Loyer right now and pay him good money.
 
I’m one of the two FF votes… not because I feel strongly we’ll get ther but when I filled out my brackets I put us there as a means to be a diehard supporter and picked a couple upset besides Purdue. I wanted to put in my bracket playing both Gonzaga and TN again this year and beat them both again…VOLS fans would totally lose it…
 
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So there’s still time for fletch. Cline became Cline God his senior year when he went fly fishing. He hadn’t shot it as much as fletch and was about same percentage up until that point. Hopefully fletch can channel in the inner cline god next year.
I agree, although I’d love to see Fletch start today vs next year.

The statistical comparison between the two is really interesting. RC shot a significantly worse three point percentage than Fletch as a sophomore and junior and did so on materially more attempts in fewer minutes. Something like 80% of RC’s shots came from deep versus less than 50% of Fletch’s.

So Ryan was more aggressive in looking for his shot and in his shot selection and put the ball on the floor far less frequently. As a senior he attempted 7.4 threes a game versus 4.6 a game from Fletch this season.

I’d love to see Fletch take three more threes a game and think he could easily do so by taking one or two more lightly contested threes that he passes on and pulling the trigger from deep on one to of the shots where he is instead putting the ball on the floor. Even if he only shot 35% on those more difficult incremental shots his total percentage would still be well north of 40%, the efficiency on those incremental threes would be greater than his drives and it would likely make his drives more effective as defenders would have to close out harder.

Go get ‘em Fletch!
 
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I agree, although I’d love to see Fletch start today vs next year.

The statistical comparison between the two is really interesting. RC shot a significantly worse three point percentage than Fletch as a sophomore and junior and did so on materially more attempts in fewer minutes. Something like 80% of RC’s shots came from deep versus less than 50% of Fletch’s.

So Ryan was more aggressive in looking for his shot and in his shot selection and put the ball on the floor far less frequently. As a senior he attempted 7.4 threes a game versus 4.6 a game from Fletch this season.

I’d love to see Fletch take three more threes a game and think he could easily do so by taking one or two more lightly contested threes that he passes on and pulling the trigger from deep on one to of the shots where he is instead putting the ball on the floor. Even if he only shot 35% on those more difficult incremental shots his total percentage would still be well north of 40%, the efficiency on those incremental threes would be greater than his drives and it would likely make his drives more effective as defenders would have to close out harder.

Go get ‘em Fletch!
Exactly. I believe all of the fan base would be ok if he took a contested 3 or several as he is one of the best in the country on 3s. We can live with a few more misses, if that means more makes (theoretically).

Let’s hope for a W today. Gonna be a tough one.
 
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