Okay, let’s project here a little; let’s assume it’s 2021 and the new AD is trying to decide whether or not to extend Painter’s contract or not.
Let’s assume that Painter, in the next five years to 2021 continues on at the level of success he has for the last 11 years here at Purdue. Now, I’m averaging 11 years into five years, but it pretty much works.
So let’s say over the next five seasons, Painter achieves….
· He makes four NCAA tournaments.
· But in that one down year, he comes in last or tied for last in the Big Ten (He has been 11th and also 12th in the 12 team Big Ten) in his 11 years here, so , on average, in five years, it should happen again.
· But one year in the next five years, he gets Purdue to a Sweet Sixteen
· Also, in one of these five years, he wins the Big Ten Tournament or ties (not win outright) for a Big Ten title.
· In two different years, he wins one NCAA game to get to the round of 32, then loses (This is being generous in Painter’s favor, especially the last five years but we’re looking at all 11 years)
· In another year, he loses the 1st game of the tourney, blowing a lead in the last minute (like Kansas, ALR, and Cincy).
So here’s my question: Are you happy with that? Do you give Painter another five years, or do you finally look elsewhere?
Personally, I would vote, HELL NO to that extension in 2021. I vote a less strong no to this one in 2016.
And if you give him another five years in 2021, do you gladly accept that and give him another five years in 2026, even though Purdue still hasn’t made a Final Four or even an Elite Eight? After 26 years of Painter mediocrity, will he then retire and become a legend? We can then have Painter Pavilion to go along side Keady Court to celebrate, what will by then, be over 50 years of Purdue not making a Final Four?