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Colvin and Heide 3P splits

boilerzz

All-American
Jul 5, 2002
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I don't understand it.

Through the first 40 games of his career, Colvin was 38-89 from three. That's 42.7% which is phenomenal. Over his last 12 games, he's 10-42 (23.8%) and that includes a 4-8 game against Nebraska. Without that game, he's 6-34 (Woof....17.6%).

Concurrently, through the first 48 games of his career, Cam Heide was 29-58 from three. That's a tremendous 50.0%. Over his last 13 games, he's 4-29 (Yikes....13.8%).

Through much larger sample sizes, Colvin and Heide showed to be very good shooters and they've fallen off a cliff. Any thoughts?
 
A lot of the recent misses have been off of good or wide open looks which makes it even more puzzling. I'm sure some of it is mental yips at this point, and hopefully that aspect can be overcome.

Another thought: is it partly due to the fact that so many of their looks prior to this year came from Zach kicking the ball out of the post? When you're standing still at the arc, looking at the ball and the rim, and expecting Zach to kick it out to you when the other team doubles, isn't it simply an easier shot to execute? With Braden creating offense, you don't know when you're going to get the ball or where it's going to come from. While it seemingly wouldn't account for such a precipitous drop in %, could that be playing at least a small role? I seem to remember our 3Pt% dropping a few years back as Jaden took over the reins and pretty much created the offense. Is it just the same thing happening here?
 
A lot of the recent misses have been off of good or wide open looks which makes it even more puzzling. I'm sure some of it is mental yips at this point, and hopefully that aspect can be overcome.

Another thought: is it partly due to the fact that so many of their looks prior to this year came from Zach kicking the ball out of the post? When you're standing still at the arc, looking at the ball and the rim, and expecting Zach to kick it out to you when the other team doubles, isn't it simply an easier shot to execute? With Braden creating offense, you don't know when you're going to get the ball or where it's going to come from. While it seemingly wouldn't account for such a precipitous drop in %, could that be playing at least a small role? I seem to remember our 3Pt% dropping a few years back as Jaden took over the reins and pretty much created the offense. Is it just the same thing happening here?
I don't know about anyone else, but if I'm shooting a 3 with Edey down there, the pressure is lower because even if I miss, there's a decent chance he gets the rebound.

Now, it's a lot lower (as is our rebounding in general) so if I miss them it's more likely going the other way.

A lot of shooting is mental.
 
I don't understand it.

Through the first 40 games of his career, Colvin was 38-89 from three. That's 42.7% which is phenomenal. Over his last 12 games, he's 10-42 (23.8%) and that includes a 4-8 game against Nebraska. Without that game, he's 6-34 (Woof....17.6%).

Concurrently, through the first 48 games of his career, Cam Heide was 29-58 from three. That's a tremendous 50.0%. Over his last 13 games, he's 4-29 (Yikes....13.8%).

Through much larger sample sizes, Colvin and Heide showed to be very good shooters and they've fallen off a cliff. Any thoughts?
"woof" and "yikes" indeed....

I'd like to think it's a sophomore slump-- and the accompanying pressure of knowing they are now more relied upon to provide perimeter scoring, as opposed to not having too much expected of them as freshmen.

There are multiple examples (Zach, Mason, Carsen, Eifert, etc.) of the time it takes before the light comes on for so many players coming through Painter's system.

As much as we would all love to see people be dominant from the outset -- those instances are pretty rare.
 
I don't understand it.

Through the first 40 games of his career, Colvin was 38-89 from three. That's 42.7% which is phenomenal. Over his last 12 games, he's 10-42 (23.8%) and that includes a 4-8 game against Nebraska. Without that game, he's 6-34 (Woof....17.6%).

Concurrently, through the first 48 games of his career, Cam Heide was 29-58 from three. That's a tremendous 50.0%. Over his last 13 games, he's 4-29 (Yikes....13.8%).

Through much larger sample sizes, Colvin and Heide showed to be very good shooters and they've fallen off a cliff. Any thoughts?
Brutal. It's not like they're not getting good looks.
 
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