Teams by the Rankings:
Texas Tech:
RPI: 23rd
BPI: 11th
Pomeroy: 13th (8th highest remaining in tourney)
AP: 14th
Coaches: 13th
Seed: 3
Purdue:
RPI: 9th
BPI: 4th
Pomeroy: 4th (3rd highest remaining in tourney)
AP: 10th
Coaches: 11th
Seed: 2
Teams by the Statistics:
Texas Tech:
Scoring Offense: 74.9 (146th)
Scoring Defense: 64.6 (15th)
Total Rebounds: 36.17 (127th)
Offensive Rebounds: 11 (112th)
Defensive Rebounds: 25.17 (182nd)
3pt %: 36.4% (102nd)
2pt %: 51.4% (135th)
FT %: 69.6% (247th)
Offensive Efficiency: 113.7 (48th)
Defensive Efficiency: 91.7 (4th)
Adjusted Efficiency Margin: +22.03
Purdue:
Scoring Offense: 80.8 (38th)
Scoring Defense: 65.4 (24th)
Total Rebounds: 35.14 (185th)
Offensive Rebounds: 8.61 (286th)
Defensive Rebounds: 26.53 (83rd)
3pt %: 42.1% (2nd)
2pt %: 54.3% (41st)
FT %: 74.1% (71st)
Offensive Efficiency: 123.3 (2nd)
Defensive Efficiency: 96.4 (29th)
Adjusted Efficiency Margin: +26.85
ESPN's Basketball Power Index: Favors Purdue 73.7%
Current Vegas Line: Purdue 1.5
Prediction:
What this game very likely comes down to is Purdue's offense vs. Texas Tech's defense. Purdue has strong advantages on the offensive side of the ball with their high percentages in 3pt and 2pt shooting along with a high efficiency rating. I believe the game will be won and lost on the offensive games that Carsen and Vince both have. If those two are able to perform at or above their averages with Dakota/PJ/Cline providing key outside shots, I believe Purdue wins this game in the 4-7 point range. Luckily Texas Tech does not bring a post play to this game that will challenge Purdue's post players in the way that could hurt not having Haas in the game. Tech doesn't shoot the ball particularly well and struggles to find consistency on the offensive end but hang their hat on player hard, aggressive defense and turning that in to extra possessions and transition buckets.
Carsen likely doesn't struggle two games in a row and Vince doesn't get himself in to silly foul trouble and both go for 20+...Mathias hits a few key three pointers, and Haarms provides at least 8 hair flips....oh, and PJ goes 3-5 from 3pt land.
Purdue: 79
Texas Tech: 71
Texas Tech:
RPI: 23rd
BPI: 11th
Pomeroy: 13th (8th highest remaining in tourney)
AP: 14th
Coaches: 13th
Seed: 3
Purdue:
RPI: 9th
BPI: 4th
Pomeroy: 4th (3rd highest remaining in tourney)
AP: 10th
Coaches: 11th
Seed: 2
Teams by the Statistics:
Texas Tech:
Scoring Offense: 74.9 (146th)
Scoring Defense: 64.6 (15th)
Total Rebounds: 36.17 (127th)
Offensive Rebounds: 11 (112th)
Defensive Rebounds: 25.17 (182nd)
3pt %: 36.4% (102nd)
2pt %: 51.4% (135th)
FT %: 69.6% (247th)
Offensive Efficiency: 113.7 (48th)
Defensive Efficiency: 91.7 (4th)
Adjusted Efficiency Margin: +22.03
Purdue:
Scoring Offense: 80.8 (38th)
Scoring Defense: 65.4 (24th)
Total Rebounds: 35.14 (185th)
Offensive Rebounds: 8.61 (286th)
Defensive Rebounds: 26.53 (83rd)
3pt %: 42.1% (2nd)
2pt %: 54.3% (41st)
FT %: 74.1% (71st)
Offensive Efficiency: 123.3 (2nd)
Defensive Efficiency: 96.4 (29th)
Adjusted Efficiency Margin: +26.85
ESPN's Basketball Power Index: Favors Purdue 73.7%
Current Vegas Line: Purdue 1.5
Prediction:
What this game very likely comes down to is Purdue's offense vs. Texas Tech's defense. Purdue has strong advantages on the offensive side of the ball with their high percentages in 3pt and 2pt shooting along with a high efficiency rating. I believe the game will be won and lost on the offensive games that Carsen and Vince both have. If those two are able to perform at or above their averages with Dakota/PJ/Cline providing key outside shots, I believe Purdue wins this game in the 4-7 point range. Luckily Texas Tech does not bring a post play to this game that will challenge Purdue's post players in the way that could hurt not having Haas in the game. Tech doesn't shoot the ball particularly well and struggles to find consistency on the offensive end but hang their hat on player hard, aggressive defense and turning that in to extra possessions and transition buckets.
Carsen likely doesn't struggle two games in a row and Vince doesn't get himself in to silly foul trouble and both go for 20+...Mathias hits a few key three pointers, and Haarms provides at least 8 hair flips....oh, and PJ goes 3-5 from 3pt land.
Purdue: 79
Texas Tech: 71