Here's my problem with your post....You think IU is going to be so much better with the same team coming back with the addition of two 3's and a 4, who are freshmen. You believe TC is this great developer of talent. Will Blackmon really be that much better, and I'm asking for and wanting a civil discussion on this....can TC make him a defensive standout, which he needs to be? Will he somehow learn to be a defensive genius, which he's never been in his career? Will Troy, either because of the addition of your 4 star, or on his own suddenly learn to defend and to be consistent with an outside shot? Will he continue to foul at random? Will HMP suddenly become the 5 star he was when signed...can Crean turn a pig's ear (HMP) into a silk purse that can stay on the floor more than five minutes before getting in foul trouble? Has he made Priller and April even serviceable for a five minute span? And your missing the boat on Michigan, or at least I believe you are, and honestly if you're putting IU that far up, why is it that you're not talking about what OSU has coming back and the best class coming in? I do agree with you about Iowa, and you may have them too high. Illinois....as I said if Groce can figure out an offense the can surprise as their back court may rival IU's for overall talent. And being an IU fan, you tend to undervalue what having AJ, Haas, and the rest coming back along with the addition of what many are calling the best pure shooter coming into the league means for the Boiler's chances. See, I used to be an even bigger IU homer than you will ever be, so I understand your "optimism."
Blackmon and Williams solicited feedback from the NBA. Essentially both were told defense is a key for both. Williams was told he needs to be able to put up a consistent outside shot. Blackmon was told he needs to be able to run the point and guard both guard spots. I think (hope) hearing it directly from NBA people that it will light a fire under each of their seats to work on what they need to. Did Hammons get feedback? I'd be interested to hear what they told him to work on. Consistency and maybe not turning the ball over as much? Other than that, he seems like he's got good footwork and obviously his defense is solid. Let me know what he heard if it has been said here. Thanks.
I'm NOT confident in Crean's ability to make IU a good team. Look at his historical defensive stats, he's had a few teams IIRC total in his career in the Top 30 defensively or something like that. I do think that Blackmon can get better on defense, partly due to him not being able to get any worse. Plus he's got more time to get stronger etc. which will help him both on offense and defense. Defensive standout? Highly doubtful. Could he make him get to be an average defender? Possibly. I think it's as much on Blackmon as it is on Crean. I do think you're underestimating Bryant coming in. He's not going to be like Zeller, but he doesn't have to be. To me, he's going to need to play defense without fouling (which can be tough for freshman bigs), rebound and score on the block occasionally. He's not going to need to put up 15 and 10. I think he starts immediately with Perea and Holt coming off the bench. Oh, and Perea ended up ranked like 50th in the RSCI composite. Priller and April won't see a minute of time next year in a real game. They shouldn't have been signed. IU's biggest weakness is going to be defensively (obviously). Signing Bryant should help that from day 1. Now that we'll have some depth there, I think our defense will be better. Now, Yogi, JBJ and Williams ALL need to work their butts off on the defensive side of the ball if they want to have any real chance at winning a few games in the tourney. Our offense will carry us even if we're not a superb defensive team. I could see IU anywhere between 3rd and 6th.
UM is a tough one next year. They return as much as IU. However, even when they had LeVert and Walton healthy at the beginning of the year, they were kind of a dumpster fire. They were getting stomped by garbage teams. I do think they'll be better, I'm just not buying them being a real contender for the B10 title. I could see them in a similar light to IU in the 3-6 range in the B10. OSU is a little tougher as well. Matta is a good coach and he's got loads of talent. Will Lyle be able to replace what they lost in Russell? Not sure. I think they'll get it done by committee, but I'm not sold on them being a Top 5 team. I think they'll be close, but ultimately not in the Top 5.
As for Purdue, I do think you will be good. I've said over and over that Purdue will be in (and out) of the Top 25 all year and a tourney lock. Where I think I differ from most here (shocker) is passed Hammons, Davis and Edwards. Those three are very solid. I think Davis needs to improve his efficiency on offense but clearly having the B10 DPOY returning is a big boost. Passed those three, I'm not sold. I don't think Stephens or Mathias scare anyone. Obviously Stephens can get hot and hit 7-9 from 3 or whatever, but to me, he's nothing more than a shooter. Mathias seemed like he could handle the pressure as a freshman which is a good sign, but I think he lacks athleticism and it seems like his shot is kind of slow. I don't expect much out of Thompson next year. I know the kid can shoot, but he's really small and I don't think he can create his own shot like Octeus could or someone like Yogi or the guy from Minny last year that was small. Cline will be good in time. I don't see him coming in and really having a big impact. I'm sure he'll play, but I don't see him as a B10 All Freshman Team type of kid. My thoughts on Purdue are that yes your guys will be better, but you have a much harder schedule next year. The B10 is going to be super tough and you have a huge question mark at the PG spot. I think Octeus was a very important part of your wins in the second half of the season. Replacing him is critical IMO. Even if you don't I still think you'll be a top half (4-6) of the league team and in the tourney. I just don't buy Purdue as a real B10 title contender. I think that stays with MSU and Maryland until I see some team make me change my mind.
I'm fine having a civil conversation. I just like to talk without the super homer optimism and I don't think what you or I said falls into that category.