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This scenario is not terribly far-fetched

Chi-Boiler

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May 8, 2010
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It's actually not terribly difficult to see Purdue in the B1G Championship game even without beating Sparty. The key is that Wisconsin and Iowa BOTH have to go to Happy Valley. Then if you take home teams winning all of the "tough" games with 1 easy exception, you have Purdue winning the West outright, without any tiebreakers.

Purdue (3-1): @MSU L, IOWA W, @Minn W, WISC W, @Ind W 7-2

Wisconsin (3-1): @NW W, RUT W, @PSU L, @Pur L, MINN W 6-3

Iowa (3-1): @PSU L, @Pur L, NW W, @Ill W, NEB W 6-3

Northwestern (4-1): WIS L, @Iowa L, @Minn W, ILL W 6-3

The easy home/road exception is Wisconsin winning in Evanston. Not a stretch at all. The biggest stretch might be Minnesota not winning one of their games against 3 of these 4, namely against Purdue. If you reverse that, and get a 4-team tiebreaker, I don't know where the tiebreaker goes. Eventually it has to go to overall record where Purdue would lose to Iowa (and Wisconsin).
 
I still have a hard time seeing us beat Wisconsin just because we haven’t in so long...
 
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This ... from ESPN Seth Walder.

Updated Big Ten projections after OSU's upset loss last night. Michigan is now the favorite and Purdue (!) has a 1 in 20 shot at the conference title.

Chance to win Big10 Division
Michigan ..........47%.....62%
Ohio State ........26%.....36%
Wisconsin .........10%.....36%
Iowa ....................9%.....29%
Purdue ................5%.....19%
 
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So I have to keep rooting for the Lions? sigh.. I thought that was a one week deal.
 
MSU is in trouble Saturday. Too many weapons in the infirmary. Our run D is our strength and an offense hitting its stride. A coaching staff I trust will corral euphoric players. OSU as a program changer takes a real hit if we lay an egg.
 
This ^^^. No way Wisconsin can win a shootout with Purdue's offense against their secondary. The only concerns I have are turnovers and time of possession.

MSU doesn’t have a great offense right now. Purdue has also been good at stopping the run in recent matchups as well. Iowa once looked like one of the games I counted as a win, but it may be the worst matchup. Purdue just beat OSU, but OSU looked like they didn’t even bother game planning or practicing. They were sloppy and did a lot of things to give the game away.

Bell should be in the house for Iowa, it’s probably the most important game on the schedule. Hopefully the defense can slow down the Iowa offense which has been putting up a lot of points.
 
think we have a better chance vs Wisky than Iowa. Wisky has a lousy QB.

Agreed. Purdue's proven they can contain a good rushing team. Wisconsin might be the best rushing team Purdue will play this year, but I still don't think they will be able to match TDs with Boilers.
 
It's actually not terribly difficult to see Purdue in the B1G Championship game even without beating Sparty. The key is that Wisconsin and Iowa BOTH have to go to Happy Valley. Then if you take home teams winning all of the "tough" games with 1 easy exception, you have Purdue winning the West outright, without any tiebreakers.

Purdue (3-1): @MSU L, IOWA W, @Minn W, WISC W, @Ind W 7-2

Wisconsin (3-1): @NW W, RUT W, @PSU L, @Pur L, MINN W 6-3

Iowa (3-1): @PSU L, @Pur L, NW W, @Ill W, NEB W 6-3

Northwestern (4-1): WIS L, @Iowa L, @Minn W, ILL W 6-3

The easy home/road exception is Wisconsin winning in Evanston. Not a stretch at all. The biggest stretch might be Minnesota not winning one of their games against 3 of these 4, namely against Purdue. If you reverse that, and get a 4-team tiebreaker, I don't know where the tiebreaker goes. Eventually it has to go to overall record where Purdue would lose to Iowa (and Wisconsin).

I'm most worried about NW. They have to lose one more game than us. I'm definitely rooting for PSU to get back on track.
 
Well, there’s still a path, but we need to win out and NW needs to hit a wall. Just gotta regroup and take it one game at a time.
 
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