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PPG Predictions

Jun 25, 2015
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I think we did this before but it's been awhile and now the season is literally weeks away, so I figured that this could be a relevant, fun topic of discussion.

How does everyone think the team's scoring will shake out amongst the players this season?

If you're trying to keep your predictions within the realm of reality, keep in mind that the Boilers have never averaged 74 PPG or more under Coach Painter (they're typically in the 68-73 PPG range). I made mine with the assumption that Basil Smotherman will redshirt.

A.J. Hammons 12 PPG
Vince Edwards 11 PPG
Rapheal Davis 10 PPG
Isaac Haas 7 PPG
Kendall Stephens 7 PPG
Caleb Swanigan 7 PPG
Johnny Hill 5 PPG
Dakota Mathias 5 PPG
P.J. Thompson 4 PPG
Ryan Cline 3 PPG
Jacquil Taylor 2 PPG

Boiler Up
 
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I think we did this before but it's been awhile and now the season is literally weeks away, so I figured that this could be a relevant, fun topic of discussion.

How does everyone think the team's scoring will shake out amongst the players this season?

If you're trying to keep your predictions within the realm of reality, keep in mind that the Boilers have never averaged 74 PPG or more under Coach Painter (they're typically in the 68-73 PPG range). I made mine with the assumption that Basil Smotherman will redshirt.

A.J. Hammons 12 PPG
Vince Edwards 11 PPG
Rapheal Davis 10 PPG
Isaac Haas 7 PPG
Kendall Stephens 7 PPG
Caleb Swanigan 7 PPG
Johnny Hill 5 PPG
Dakota Mathias 5 PPG
P.J. Thompson 4 PPG
Ryan Cline 3 PPG
Jacquil Taylor 2 PPG

Boiler Up

True that we have never averaged over 75 ppg, but a lot has changed since Painter started.

-He has never had a team this deep
- 30 sec. shot clock means more shots, more posessions, more points
- never had this kind of size to draw fouls, get second chance points, score at a high %.

We averaged 70 ppg last year and didn't have a lot of things this team does.

I think it's very conceivable for this team to average 75-80 ppg.

I would go with:
AJ: 13 ppg
Biggie: 12 ppg
Ray: 10 ppg
Vince: 10 ppg
Kendall: 7 ppg
Dakota: 7 ppg
Haas: 6 ppg
Hill: 5 ppg
PJ: 4 ppg

And then Grant and Taylor won't play much at all and both Cline and Basil may redshirt so I'm not including them in my prediction. So that's 74 ppg and very very doable. Like I said, I would be surprised if we averaged between 75 and 80 ppg with how much has changed for this season.
 
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True that we have never averaged over 75 ppg, but a lot has changed since Painter started.

-He has never had a team this deep
- 30 sec. shot clock means more shots, more posessions, more points
- never had this kind of size to draw fouls, get second chance points, score at a high %.

We averaged 70 ppg last year and didn't have a lot of things this team does.

I think it's very conceivable for this team to average 75-80 ppg.

I would go with:
AJ: 13 ppg
Biggie: 12 ppg
Ray: 10 ppg
Vince: 10 ppg
Kendall: 7 ppg
Dakota: 7 ppg
Haas: 6 ppg
Hill: 5 ppg
PJ: 4 ppg

And then Grant and Taylor won't play much at all and both Cline and Basil may redshirt so I'm not including them in my prediction. So that's 74 ppg and very very doable. Like I said, I would be surprised if we averaged between 75 and 80 ppg with how much has changed for this season.


I doubt that he's going to redshirt more than one player in the same season for developmental or playing time reasons. That hasn't happened (other than for injuries: i.e. Landry and Teague in '05-'06) since CMP has been the head coach at Purdue.
 
I will go out on a limb and say this will be the most productive offense under Painter at an even 80 PPG.

Other than the minutes Ray will spend there, who will prevail in the shooting guard competition is the least predictable part to me. From the scrimmage alone, it seems quite up in the air. I think Mathias is likely to prevail. Kendall seems like he may continue to struggle some with shot selection, and Cline is new and a question mark on D. BUT whichever one of them proves they can play D AND consistently hit shots from deep when we really need them will get the job IMO.

A.J. Hammons 13 PPG
Caleb Swanigan 12 PPG
Vince Edwards 11 PPG
Raphael Davis 8 PPG
Isaac Haas 8 PPG
Dakota Mathias 7 PPG
Kendall Stephens 5 PPG
Johnny Hill 5 PPG
P.J. Thompson 5 PPG
Ryan Cline 4 PPG
Jacquil Taylor 2 PPG
 
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I doubt we will average 80 pts a game. We have size and talent but we don't have speed. It will be very difficult for us to play a fast tempo style. We'll try to slow it down and get the efficiency up. Similar to many Wisconsin teams of the past. Our defense should be much improved though so if we average 70 a game, we'll win a lot of games.
 
We will score much closer to 80. We will be improved at feeding the post. We should average 25ppg at the 5. We only averaged about 11 ppg at the 4 last year, and that should improve by 5-6 ppg. The largest improvement should be on the perimeter since we were so pedestrian there last year. They should get a lot more open shots because of the formidable front line. I also think we will be more opportunistic in transition, not less, because of Vince's and PJ's improvement.
 
We will score much closer to 80. We will be improved at feeding the post. We should average 25ppg at the 5. We only averaged about 11 ppg at the 4 last year, and that should improve by 5-6 ppg. The largest improvement should be on the perimeter since we were so pedestrian there last year. They should get a lot more open shots because of the formidable front line. I also think we will be more opportunistic in transition, not less, because of Vince's and PJ's improvement.
because of Purdue's size there is a chance for long boards and break aways. I'm not sure they take the ball inside and so long boards are always there and that creates less floor balance and runouts for Purdue
 
AJ 13
Vince 11
Ray 11
Biggie 10
Kendall 8
Dakota 6
Issac 6
Johnny 4
PJ 3
Cline 2
Jacquil 2
Grant 1
 
I doubt we will average 80 pts a game. We have size and talent but we don't have speed. It will be very difficult for us to play a fast tempo style. We'll try to slow it down and get the efficiency up. Similar to many Wisconsin teams of the past. Our defense should be much improved though so if we average 70 a game, we'll win a lot of games.

No matter how slow we want to play it, we will be sped up more than last year conciderably. We averaged 70 ppg last year, now we have to speed up. Very conceivable to see 75-80 ppg this season.
 
I will go out on a limb and say this will be the most productive offense under Painter at an even 80 PPG.

Other than the minutes Ray will spend there, who will prevail in the shooting guard competition is the least predictable part to me. From the scrimmage alone, it seems quite up in the air. I think Mathias is likely to prevail. Kendall seems like he may continue to struggle some with shot selection, and Cline is new and a question mark on D. BUT whichever one of them proves they can play D AND consistently hit shots from deep when we really need them will get the job IMO.

A.J. Hammons 13 PPG
Caleb Swanigan 12 PPG
Vince Edwards 11 PPG
Raphael Davis 8 PPG
Isaac Haas 8 PPG
Dakota Mathias 7 PPG
Kendall Stephens 5 PPG
Johnny Hill 5 PPG
P.J. Thompson 5 PPG
Ryan Cline 4 PPG
Jacquil Taylor 2 PPG

Mathias is having a lot of trouble finding it offensively so far if the 2 scrimmages tell us anything. Kendall does seem to still have selection problems, but he is still hitting them at a high clip.

At this point, Kendall is the best scoring 2 guard out of Mathias, Cline and Kendall, but Mathias has been tremendous at all the little things outside of offense. Cline is very good and probably just as good a shooter as Stephens, just a little lacking in other areas.
 
We will be zoned a lot. Vince and swanigan will get a lot of their points from offensive boards and foul shots. Mathias and Cline will end up taking a lot of the point guard minutes to keep an extra shooter on the floor.

Vince 14
Swanigan 10
Aj 12
Ray 7
Stephens 9
Mathias 8
Haas 6
Cline 5
Pj 3
Hill 3
 
The thing about zoning us is it is a pick your poison kind of thing. Teams may zone us to keep entry passes to a minimum but they'll get eaten alive on the offensive glass if they do. Edwards, Biggie, Hammons and Haas will have a lot of putbacks if teams zone us.
 
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