No, but it certainly isn't the worst we could do either. That's the whole point: there's no guarantees.
Consider this: It took Coach K 17* years of coaching, to reach his first final four, and 22* to get his first Nat Championship. This is talking about, by far and away, the winningest coach in all of college basketball history.
You don't start out day one as a great, or even good coach; you have to learn, and hone the craft, as you go along.
Painter, by comparison, is in his 26th year* of coaching overall, just came off a 30 win season, and you want to fire him for lack of success. That's just ludicrous to me..
I think that, to a certain degree, the Keady post season curse casts a negative light on CMP, as he is a Keady disciple. He somehow inherits that curse for some fans, simply because he comes from the Keady coaching tree. Just my opinion.
*-total years of coaching, including years served as an assistant, or at low tier schools/positions.