Can Gonzaga upset Purdue
Cool. When is the last time they beat us? Oh yeah, that never time.
We were 46 and 23 game 1 against them.
Many games, and I realize this isn't many games, Purdue starts to make a move with less than 10 in the first half. If ZAch is on and they play him straight up and no mugging he will score at a higher clip than Gonzaga will with the 3 ball I believe. He will be 60+% and if Purdue covers them decent I'm looking at 35% or less from behind the arc and all that is gut. If Purdue does not help off the shooters and Purdue is close enough to cover quickly to give them little room to shoot and they drive and hit the mid range I think Zach at the rim (if no mugging and a good game) hits a higher % than they do after being run off the arc. Course we have rebounds, putbacks, turnover and just cold shooting...any of those could weigh heavy in determining the game. Now if Ike shoots over his 33% from behind the arc and Zach is struggling it can be tough. Purdue is the better team and why I hope they just don't have a bad game. Kids and coaches have put too much into it . Other than Zach and Braden, Purdue could win with Fletch or Mason or Lance ..if only one is off. Can Gonzaga win if one of their shooters is off? Zach is key...because he can score when things break down and I'm not sure they have a consist producer when things break down.
Ike hasn’t hit a 3 since January 27th and missed the other 3 he has taken since. Our game was the most made 3s attempted for him all season. I think if he is taking 3s and missing, that shows they are in desperation mode. Just my 2 cents.
What you said was that if Ike is out Zach only has a worry if he is a screener for a shooter behind the arc. If he stays deep Zach has to maybe be closer than drop to him, but can play in the lane somewhat and hope if Zach covers a driver that someone takes out Ike. Hopefully, Trey adds to Zach's inside influence. Purdue is short with Braden and Lance. fletcher has a couple more inches but is more frail. I'm hopeful that Trey can handle Gregg, but we have a size mismatch with Watson. Any screen that Watson is in can result in someone being smaller defending a larger body and why I can see Cam getting minutes and them using Watson in a lot of screens...especially knowing Purdue switches a lot. What I don't know is whether he drives the ball. A shooter that doesn't drive the ball...fletcher can defend him...but then what about the switch. It would be great if Trey starts out like he did and puts a couple of early fouls on one of their bigs. I say all this and I haven't really watched Gonzaga to have an informed opinion. I know Hickman and Nembhard can change pace and are slippery. Can Purdue make dribbling towards the lane tough without giving an open 3 ball look?
Watson is more of an inside threat and does have a quick first step on drives. I actually think it might be worth a shot trying Loyer on Gregg instead of Watson. I agree that both Heide and Gillis could see increased minutes and possibly even Colvin. I think this is a coaching chess match, at least on paper and we’ll see how it plays out on the court. If we’re scoring effectively I think it’s hard for them to stay with us the entire game
Yes. I saw they released the names of refs who are in for the next 2 rounds and Courtney Green is on the list. Lot of moans and groans of course from the Purdue faithful. Part of me thinks the NCAA is tired of Hurley running his mouth and sends Courtney out there to cool him off….
I figured only sixish per site so we could at least narrow it down to that.
My fear is we will get old high knees and I am fairly certain he was officiating our losses/games we struggled in.
Tim Anderson isn’t that bad but he can make some bad calls but he is used to seeing and calling Edey which can be beneficial. I think it depends who he is paired with that makes a difference on how the game goes.
I don't know if anybody has already noted this, but Gillis and a few others played very sloppy against round 1 with Gonzaga. The rotation we have now could really pose another HUGE threat against Gonzaga. I have really liked Painters rotation these last few games.
Great point. There was a lot of sloppy play the first time around that will no doubt be cleaned up next time around.
Also, Iv'e mentioned it before, but Purdue just seems to hold back first half to see where we are with fouls, then second half , releases so much more energy. Has anyone else noticed this? I would NOT want another team getting an early big lead, but I always feel pretty good being within 5-6 at the half.
I thought Gregg was 6'10"? If Watson is inside then we have Trey on him. Fletcher giving up 6" and weight to Gregg is a concern, if he has any play inside. Fletcher needs someone his size and preferably someone that doesn't drive. All this is why I see Cam being very valuable on D, but then you need Lance or Fletch to get some behind the arc because I don't see Cam contributing a lot on offense. Mason could be physical enough that he could take Watson and still give an outside threat. Any screen by Watson or Gregg with a player that Lance or Braden has is an issue unless Watson's defender goes under because you don't want Hickman or Nembraud (sp?) defenders giving up more size for Watson or Gregg to drive.
Thanks
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You’re correct in that Gregg is 6’10 and probably stronger than Loyer. I wonder if Zach can play somewhat of a floating zone to help out with other post ups…either way it’s going to be a great chess match to watch.
Ha, I am not without blame in causing some of the angst with a couple over there. But, that is more the tone of that site anymore and why the only time there is real traffic, is when the 1$ deal goes on.Will we see any recipes?
But yes......Welcome, back.....old friend.
