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ESPN (less) Early Top 25 - No Purdue

I see that number but PU still only played the top 3, 3 times, we played the top 3 5 times. We were 2-8 against the top half, 7-1 against the bottom half, PU was 4-4 against the top half, 8-2 against the bottom.
Even if we had played the top half two more times and lost, your argument would still not make sense. Don't you see that? We would have been still had two more wins against the top half then you, and still finished ahead of you in the standings. Seeing as we were 50% against the top half, one could surmise that we would have split those two games and likely would have finished right where we did anyway.
 
Even if we had played the top half two more times and lost, your argument would still not make sense. Don't you see that? We would have been still had two more wins against the top half then you, and still finished ahead of you in the standings. Seeing as we were 50% against the top half, one could surmise that we would have split those two games and likely would have finished right where we did anyway.

My argument will never not make sense. You guys didn't play the top 3 as many times as IU did, you didn't beat any of those teams. Those 4 wins against the top half again came against the 5th, 6th and 7th (x2) place teams. Doubtful you beat Wisconsin or Maryland had there been a home/away considering you lost to Maryland at home and got beat a 2nd time to Wis by 20. MSU you may have had a chance at home but nothing shows its likely you go 50%. If you don't think playing the top 3 fewer times helps your chances at a higher finishing order you're fooling yourself. Its not even that there wasn't a possibility but the likelihood percentage wise.
 
My argument will never not make sense. You guys didn't play the top 3 as many times as IU did, you didn't beat any of those teams. Those 4 wins against the top half again came against the 5th, 6th and 7th (x2) place teams. Doubtful you beat Wisconsin or Maryland had there been a home/away considering you lost to Maryland at home and got beat a 2nd time to Wis by 20. MSU you may have had a chance at home but nothing shows its likely you go 50%. If you don't think playing the top 3 fewer times helps your chances at a higher finishing order you're fooling yourself. Its not even that there wasn't a possibility but the likelihood percentage wise.
Uh, didn't you just make my argument for me? Not playing Wisconsin at home and MSU at home was a barrier not an advantage as your original argument was pointing out.

Playing Wisconsin at Mackey after losing by 7 in a game where free throws were very unbalanced doesn't seem like a stretch for a win. Using a game in the B1G tourney isn't the same and we led pretty big at half time in that game as well
We lost by 3 I think at MSU in AJ's worst performance of the year. That game at Mackey would also not be a stretch to see a win for Purdue.
I'm not sure what point you are trying to make here. But the fact is we played who we were scheduled to play and win games we should have and lost ganes in the road that we could have had a reasonable chance to win at home considering what we know about the first meeting.

If you are trying to make the point IU was at least as good as Purdue but had a tougher schedule. I doubt you can convince anyone here that that is the case. We swept you and led almost every minute of both games. IU had a very good offense last year. But Purdue's defense was clearly better.
 
Uh, didn't you just make my argument for me? Not playing Wisconsin at home and MSU at home was a barrier not an advantage as your original argument was pointing out.

Playing Wisconsin at Mackey after losing by 7 in a game where free throws were very unbalanced doesn't seem like a stretch for a win. Using a game in the B1G tourney isn't the same and we led pretty big at half time in that game as well
We lost by 3 I think at MSU in AJ's worst performance of the year. That game at Mackey would also not be a stretch to see a win for Purdue.
I'm not sure what point you are trying to make here. But the fact is we played who we were scheduled to play and win games we should have and lost ganes in the road that we could have had a reasonable chance to win at home considering what we know about the first meeting.

If you are trying to make the point IU was at least as good as Purdue but had a tougher schedule. I doubt you can convince anyone here that that is the case. We swept you and led almost every minute of both games. IU had a very good offense last year. But Purdue's defense was clearly better.


As far as the later, no I'm not trying to say that at all. Purdue beat us twice, handedly in Mackey, they were clearly better. But to only play the top 3 teams 3 times instead of 6, and playing the bottom half teams more often, I don't know how that doesn't aid your conference record.
 
As far as the later, no I'm not trying to say that at all. Purdue beat us twice, handedly in Mackey, they were clearly better. But to only play the top 3 teams 3 times instead of 6, and playing the bottom half teams more often, I don't know how that doesn't aid your conference record.
You keep switching from top 3 to bottom half and back to top 3 again.

I'm not sure even you know what argument you are trying to make.
We don't understand IU logic here. I can assure you that much at least.
 
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You keep switching from top 3 to bottom half and back to top 3 again.

I'm not sure even you know what argument you are trying to make.
We don't understand IU logic here. I can assure you that much at least.

I mentioned the top 3 in every post. I told you the other numbers was just a reference for shits and giggles. I'm sorry you are having problems following along.
 
I mentioned the top 3 in every post. I told you the other numbers was just a reference for shits and giggles. I'm sorry you are having problems following along.
You also mention top half and bottom half in every post. Your clearly spinning trying to grasp onto a point that backs your opinion
3 teams finished in third. So Purdue was one of the top 3 teams and can't play itself. If IU would have finished 12-6, they also would have moved another team or two down thus changing the top 3 teams. You say we played the top 3 two games less then IU. But those two games were changed due to the fact we finished where we did as much as our schedule. Where you finish changes the dynamic.
Look at it like this the next time you say it's an advantage to not play the top teams twice.
IU @ Michigan when you clinched the outright title.
Now imagine if IU would've played a lower tier team instead of Michigan that day. Michigan probably would've played a lower teir team as well. You both win and you share the title. This is why the good teams want the harder schedule. They feel they can win and want to hand the best teams losses.
You claim we had an advantage with an easy schedule. But in reality beating a team we should have beat did nothing for us. Also to not have an opportunity to both hand losses to the best teams and guy wins or at least games against the higher ranked teams, would have given us a better seed in the tournament. Take away those two extra games IU played against Maryland and MSU and IU probably doesn't dance at all and goes to the NIT.

See how silly your logic sounds? IU beat Maryland. We beat IU twice. But you still think we couldn't have beat Maryland? How about MSU at home or Wisconsin at home? Add any of those three games to our schedule and we move up to a 7 seed in SOS alone. Possibly a 5 with a win and with two, probably an easy path to the sweet 16.

It's all in the perspective. If you think like Northwestern, sure you want to avoid the big dogs. But if you are good as Purdue should be this season, you invite the challenge with open arms.

I like our schedule this season. It gives us every opportunity to control our own destiny and the team should be able to keep the upward trend they had going on B1G play. The only thing I would change is a home game against IU. with all that IU may lose after this season, it may be the last time both teams are good for a couple of more years. I expect a win, but two would be better.
 
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You also mention top half and bottom half in every post. Your clearly spinning trying to grasp onto a point that backs your opinion
3 teams finished in third. So Purdue was one of the top 3 teams and can't play itself. If IU would have finished 12-6, they also would have moved another team or two down thus changing the top 3 teams. You say we played the top 3 two games less then IU. But those two games were changed due to the fact we finished where we did as much as our schedule. Where you finish changes the dynamic.
Look at it like this the next time you say it's an advantage to not play the top teams twice.
IU @ Michigan when you clinched the outright title.
Now imagine if IU would've played a lower tier team instead of Michigan that day. Michigan probably would've played a lower teir team as well. You both win and you share the title. This is why the good teams want the harder schedule. They feel they can win and want to hand the best teams losses.
You claim we had an advantage with an easy schedule. But in reality beating a team we should have beat did nothing for us. Also to not have an opportunity to both hand losses to the best teams and guy wins or at least games against the higher ranked teams, would have given us a better seed in the tournament. Take away those two extra games IU played against Maryland and MSU and IU probably doesn't dance at all and goes to the NIT.

See how silly your logic sounds? IU beat Maryland. We beat IU twice. But you still think we couldn't have beat Maryland? How about MSU at home or Wisconsin at home? Add any of those three games to our schedule and we move up to a 7 seed in SOS alone. Possibly a 5 with a win and with two, probably an easy path to the sweet 16.

It's all in the perspective. If you think like Northwestern, sure you want to avoid the big dogs. But if you are good as Purdue should be this season, you invite the challenge with open arms.

I like our schedule this season. It gives us every opportunity to control our own destiny and the team should be able to keep the upward trend they had going on B1G play. The only thing I would change is a home game against IU. with all that IU may lose after this season, it may be the last time both teams are good for a couple of more years. I expect a win, but two would be better.
I have been trying to state this in so many ways, and really had not succeeded. You state this very well. Thank you.

:cool:
 
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Our pre conf is not the toughest. So I agree it is not a bad thing to have a tougher than average B1G schedule this year. We need to embrace the challenge & the opportunity it represents. Eyes on the prize, folks, and to me the prize is a favorable NCAA tourney seed.
 
Being 4th or worse in the BIG ansd still being in the top 25 nationally would be a real trick. That said, if it comes to pass, that says the BIG is pretty darned good.

In 2 of the last 4 seasons the Big Ten has had 5 teams ranked in the final poll so there is certainly no requirement that you need to finish top 3 to be ranked. I'd personally be surprised if there were fewer than 5 ranked Big Ten teams at almost any point in the season from January on and it might top out at 7. It's shaping up to be a very, very deep conference at the top in contrast to last season that was Wisconsin far ahead of everybody else.
 
Interesting to read the comment section of Lunardi's first Bracketology. Maybe it is a bunch of Purdue fans, but there are alot of people giving Purdue some love for being underseeded.
 
I hope they keep under rating Purdue, it will be so easy to bet on them and so much more satisfying to watch them roll through the season.
 
Interesting to read the comment section of Lunardi's first Bracketology. Maybe it is a bunch of Purdue fans, but there are alot of people giving Purdue some love for being underseeded.
Lunardi's specialty is predicting the decisions of the selection committee based on the comparative resumes of the potential NCAA qualifiers. In this field he is predicting the future success of teams, which is an entirely different exercise.

In this case, I think that the number of highly seeded Big Ten teams is working against Purdue. Lunardi wants the spread the seeds of the Big Ten teams out, it appears, and Lunardi has Purdue as the sixth best Big Ten team. I think that Purdue is clearly better than that, but it doesn't really matter, because Purdue will ultimately be seeded fairly based on its accomplishments on the court. Preseason predictions will mean nothing.
 
My argument will never not make sense. You guys didn't play the top 3 as many times as IU did, you didn't beat any of those teams. Those 4 wins against the top half again came against the 5th, 6th and 7th (x2) place teams. Doubtful you beat Wisconsin or Maryland had there been a home/away considering you lost to Maryland at home and got beat a 2nd time to Wis by 20. MSU you may have had a chance at home but nothing shows its likely you go 50%. If you don't think playing the top 3 fewer times helps your chances at a higher finishing order you're fooling yourself. Its not even that there wasn't a possibility but the likelihood percentage wise.

Your arguments stop making sense when you claim that Purdue finished 4th. Sorry.
 
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At this stage of the game, I would rather be under-rated than over-rated. The media loves the Cinderella story teams, and damns the under performers with stories like "What went wrong with..." or "How the season fell apart for...". I don't want to see us in the fan & media microscope of failed expectations.

I would far rather see stories about "Who knew Stephenson could hit reliably from the mid-court line?" or "Purdue's inside passing with Biggie and AJ seems to be impossible to stop". You get the idea.

If Lunadi wants to start us out of the top 25, that's okay with me. Remeber he was the one who kept thinking we would noit make the NCAA's last year, when we got a 8-seed (Not a 10-12 seed like the last 12 teams to get in). That indicates there were fewer questions in the committee's decisions about Purdue than Lunardi had. I suspect he is functionaing with the same level of inaccuracy now as he did with the NCAA selections. We seem to sit in his blind spot.

:cool:
 
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Your arguments stop making sense when you claim that Purdue finished 4th. Sorry.
I understand Da Bull's argument. It has merit. We have something to prove this year. His point that we played Maryland, Wisconsin, and MSU only once is reasonable. He contends that we have no proof we might have won a second game with each, and that's as true as we have no proof we would have lost either.

Given that we started 2-3 freshmen last year, and a PG that had just days to acclaimate himself to the team, we did pretty well. Unfortunately, between injuries and freshman fatigue, we dropped a game we might have won in the BIG tournament. We ran out of gas in the second half against Whisky and dropped a game we led at half. All this gives weight to his argument that we have yet to prove we can beat the top teams in the BIG.

Beyond this point, it is all conjecture and opinion. In my opinion, playing the schedule we have this year will give us a distinct advantage. It gives us the opportunity to beat those teams and establish Purdue as the best in the BIG. Frankly, I don't fear the turtle or the badger. I think we will step on both of them.

:cool:
 
Da bull is full of bull chit as Purdue had a tougher sos inside the conference last year than Indiana . Keep spinning
 
Da bull is full of bull chit as Purdue had a tougher sos inside the conference last year than Indiana . Keep spinning
Yeh, you missed my point. Nobody was comparing IU and Purdue. That spin you are talking about might be your head spinning. (JK!)

Da Bull was only saying we had not beaten a top 3 team last year. He is technically right, aided by the fact thaty we were one of the top three teams, so our odds of winning aqgainst a top 3 went down a little. All I am saying is that he has a fair point about the reluctance of some prognosticators to accept that we will continue to hold this top 3 position in the BIG next year.

As for comparing the 2 schools, last year, with roughly the same schedule difficulty, we finished 12-6 and IU finished 9-9 in the BIG. We finished with 2 beat downs of their team. Enough said. Their sole point of contention was that they beat Maryland last year and we didn't. Well... Rutgers beat Wisconsin.... so what? They pulled an upset. Without that upset, IU would have finished 8-10 in the BIG. Not stellar.

:cool:
 
Yeh, you missed my point. Nobody was comparing IU and Purdue. That spin you are talking about might be your head spinning. (JK!)

Da Bull was only saying we had not beaten a top 3 team last year. He is technically right, aided by the fact thaty we were one of the top three teams, so our odds of winning aqgainst a top 3 went down a little. All I am saying is that he has a fair point about the reluctance of some prognosticators to accept that we will continue to hold this top 3 position in the BIG next year.

As for comparing the 2 schools, last year, with roughly the same schedule difficulty, we finished 12-6 and IU finished 9-9 in the BIG. We finished with 2 beat downs of their team. Enough said. Their sole point of contention was that they beat Maryland last year and we didn't. Well... Rutgers beat Wisconsin.... so what? They pulled an upset. Without that upset, IU would have finished 8-10 in the BIG. Not stellar.

:cool:
You're missing the entire point of Dabuls posts. They're IU!!! They're ELITE!!!! That counts for something. You know dust bunnies on their banners and all that!!!
 
:cool::cool::cool::cool:
You're missing the entire point of Dabuls posts. They're IU!!! They're ELITE!!!! That counts for something. You know dust bunnies on their banners and all that!!!
I respect all posters, as long as they act civil. I did not miss the candy striped helmet on his sig.

Fact is I have exchanged postings with him before, a and found him to be knowledgable and reasonable when posting. I have never seen him resort to name calling, and other such garbage like SNU. Da Bull is okay.
 
You're missing the entire point of Dabuls posts. They're IU!!! They're ELITE!!!! That counts for something. You know dust bunnies on their banners and all that!!!

Yeah i didnt say any of that. I just used the msu/pu game as a tie breaker and the PU/Iowa game as a tie breaker. Either way you want to look at it my point still stands. I do agree playing those top teams and having the ability to win and give them an extra loss can help. Not trying to pimp IU or put PU down just having a sports conversation. I understand the board had a rough run there for a bit with IU trolls but i think ive been pretty civil just with a different opinion on some things, not because its the IU way of thinking just that not everyone thinks the same. Cheers and ready for at least the bucket game to roll around.
 
Let me ask you this. In 2002, when IU finished tied with three other teams for the best record in the Big Ten, did you say IU finished 4th or are you OK with IU's claim having won a Big Ten regular season championship?

What a simple and incisive line of questioning.

Yes, some fans have a sneaky habit of using double standards to inflate their own worth while deflating that of others.....all done in a seemingly fair-minded way (NOT!)

If I could rec you twice, I would
 
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Let me ask you this. In 2002, when IU finished tied with three other teams for the best record in the Big Ten, did you say IU finished 4th or are you OK with IU's claim having won a Big Ten regular season championship?

When youre right youre right. Ill still consider Wisc/Mary/MSU as the 3 best teams but ill try in the future to remember PU tied for 3rd and the B1G had no 4th or 5th place team last year.
 
When youre right youre right. Ill still consider Wisc/Mary/MSU as the 3 best teams but ill try in the future to remember PU tied for 3rd and the B1G had no 4th or 5th place team last year.
Getting back to the OP's statement. Purdue is capable of a fantastic year and it is BS they aren't ranked. I say capable because they have ALL the pieces. A huge and talented front line. Some very capable shooters. Length and athleticism. Brian has made the point that we can be really good but we'll need to make jump shots. I think this statement applies to every team from rec ball to the Pros. In Purdue's case if the shots aren't falling, there are other options down low. IU for example not so much.
 
Getting back to the OP's statement. Purdue is capable of a fantastic year and it is BS they aren't ranked. I say capable because they have ALL the pieces. A huge and talented front line. Some very capable shooters. Length and athleticism.

I think the most important position on the floor in college hoops is PG and Purdue still has a question mark there. IMHO that's the reason for some outside skepticism. Purdue is easily big and strong and will likely dominate the glass. But you cannot win big in college hoops without at least good (and usually great) PG play. I mean when you go down the list of the best teams every year, it's hard to find a team that didn't have a really good PG. If the Boilermakers can find great PG play, they'll have a great team. If they struggle at PG, they'll have a hard time being better than good.
 
In 2 of the last 4 seasons the Big Ten has had 5 teams ranked in the final poll so there is certainly no requirement that you need to finish top 3 to be ranked. I'd personally be surprised if there were fewer than 5 ranked Big Ten teams at almost any point in the season from January on and it might top out at 7. It's shaping up to be a very, very deep conference at the top in contrast to last season that was Wisconsin far ahead of everybody else.
Point guard is a question mark for sure. I think we will be fine there. Do we have a Yogi on the team, no. I think PJ, Hill and Weatherford will be fine. And Painter sure has all the other pieces in place. And what team doesn't have questions. Even Maryland is counting on a freshman at center. So is IU. In Purdues case, if shots aren't falling we will get plenty of rebounds and second chances. If Izzo had this roster they would be top 10.
 
I understand Da Bull's argument. It has merit. We have something to prove this year. His point that we played Maryland, Wisconsin, and MSU only once is reasonable. He contends that we have no proof we might have won a second game with each, and that's as true as we have no proof we would have lost either.

Given that we started 2-3 freshmen last year, and a PG that had just days to acclaimate himself to the team, we did pretty well. Unfortunately, between injuries and freshman fatigue, we dropped a game we might have won in the BIG tournament. We ran out of gas in the second half against Whisky and dropped a game we led at half. All this gives weight to his argument that we have yet to prove we can beat the top teams in the BIG.

Beyond this point, it is all conjecture and opinion. In my opinion, playing the schedule we have this year will give us a distinct advantage. It gives us the opportunity to beat those teams and establish Purdue as the best in the BIG. Frankly, I don't fear the turtle or the badger. I think we will step on both of them.

:cool:

Da Bull has stopped arguing about it. He continues to make the statement as if it is an established that Purdue finished 4th in the B1G. He even responded to my post with "??", as if he couldn't understand why anyone would challenge his belief that Purdue finished 4th. Purdue played who they were scheduled to play, and they finished tied for 3rd. It's in the record books and the entire world recognizes it (unless they wear candy-stripe glasses -- but then, they see a lot of things differently than the rest of the world.o_O).

If he is going to use his own make-believe cream & crimson rules for how Purdue finishes in the B1G, then he will have no credibility. What next? If Purdue scores more points than iu in a head-to-head, but the final difference is less than the odds-makers predictions, iu wins? In fact, we have heard similar arguments from that crowd. I'm not surprised by how he wants to see things. If he doesn't like the facts, he revises them and then repeatedly restate them as if his "facts" are the accepted truth. It's goofy.
 
Da Bull has stopped arguing about it. He continues to make the statement as if it is an established that Purdue finished 4th in the B1G. He even responded to my post with "??", as if he couldn't understand why anyone would challenge his belief that Purdue finished 4th. Purdue played who they were scheduled to play, and they finished tied for 3rd. It's in the record books and the entire world recognizes it (unless they wear candy-stripe glasses -- but then, they see a lot of things differently than the rest of the world.o_O).

If he is going to use his own make-believe cream & crimson rules for how Purdue finishes in the B1G, then he will have no credibility. What next? If Purdue scores more points than iu in a head-to-head, but the final difference is less than the odds-makers predictions, iu wins? In fact, we have heard similar arguments from that crowd. I'm not surprised by how he wants to see things. If he doesn't like the facts, he revises them and then repeatedly restate them as if his "facts" are the accepted truth. It's goofy.

It is true that we tied for third place in the BIG based on our record in the BIG. Many folks use the non-conference record as the tie breaker after that. That tie breaker would put us 4th. That is how we were seeded in the NCAAT. I don't have a big issue with Da Bull's perspective. I think you are splitting hairs with his statement, and losing out on the meaningful part of the dialog.

I think the real question is how will we match up to MSU (Sleeper), UM (Overrated this year IMHO), and Maryland (true #1). I think IU is vastly overrated by both their fans and the pollsters, but that has been knocked around this board several times, and probably doesn't need further discussion.
:cool:
 
It's way too early to know for sure, but it is more ridiculous that IU is predicted as a 3 than Purdue as an 8. I guess I'd be OK with that - it just means that IU would get knocked off by Louisiana-Lafayette and Purdue would upset Kansas to get into the Sweet 16 :).
 
I think the most important position on the floor in college hoops is PG and Purdue still has a question mark there. IMHO that's the reason for some outside skepticism. Purdue is easily big and strong and will likely dominate the glass. But you cannot win big in college hoops without at least good (and usually great) PG play. I mean when you go down the list of the best teams every year, it's hard to find a team that didn't have a really good PG. If the Boilermakers can find great PG play, they'll have a great team. If they struggle at PG, they'll have a hard time being better than good.


bingo

There are a lot of factors that determine how successful a team is in each game and over the course of a season. How good of an all-around player (shooting and scoring threat? tough playmaker? leader on the floor?, etc.) a team's #1 point guard is always ends up being very crucial.
 
bingo

There are a lot of factors that determine how successful a team is in each game and over the course of a season. How good of an all-around player (shooting and scoring threat? tough playmaker? leader on the floor?, etc.) a team's #1 point guard is always ends up being very crucial.
No doubt, point guard is very important, but bigs are also important. As an example, in this past draft, 8 of the first 18 picks were Final Four participants and none of the 8 was a guard. The first Final Four guard picked at 24, Tyus Jones, may have been the difference maker in the final, but that doesn't diminish the importance of Okefer, Winslow, Kaminsky, etc.

I agree that guard play is very important for Purdue this season, but it doesn't need to be the primary strength of the team. This team is built around the bigs, as it should be with the talented bigs Purdue has.
 
Well, ESPN released their "updated" not-so-early Top 25, and Purdue is still not on it. However, there is an article immediately following it of the "other teams for consideration" and Purdue is at the top of the list. So they acknowledge the mistake, they just refuse to fix it. :confused:
 
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