As much as I dont want to talk about Indiana....
- Thread starter goboilers2
- Start date
In a weird way, perhaps Purdue sucking keeps iu out of the playoff:
Here's how: iu gets smoked by OSU 45-10. Purdue takes a 31-7 beating at MSU.
PU comes to iu at 1-10, one of the worst teams in P5 to add on to iu's already crap SOS.
Maybe is makes the Purdue game irrelevant to iu? If iu loses. obviously they're out. If iu spanks Purdue, well, big deal, congrats on beating another bad team with your bad SOS.
Here's how: iu gets smoked by OSU 45-10. Purdue takes a 31-7 beating at MSU.
PU comes to iu at 1-10, one of the worst teams in P5 to add on to iu's already crap SOS.
Maybe is makes the Purdue game irrelevant to iu? If iu loses. obviously they're out. If iu spanks Purdue, well, big deal, congrats on beating another bad team with your bad SOS.
The ESPN playoff calculator has IU as 96% likely in, a percentage likelihood that incorporates IU as a 13.5 underdog at OSU and (I would expect) a 20+ point favorite at home against Purdue.
In other words, if IU loses to OSU by two touchdowns and beats Purdue by 20-ish, they're in. If they exceed those expectations they're in with a good seed. If they massively underperform to those expectations the 96% goes down.
You can add nationally just recently, Bama played Mercer and Georgia plays that monster in college football UMASS tomorrow.
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This IU team does not and will not get blown out by anyone. This coaching staff, sure all JMU but the OL coach, and players are use to winning. They have won 24 of their last 25 games and I don't care where they came from. If this was the type of team that is going to or was going to get blown out ... down faster than ever 10-0 on the road at MSU ... would have been the time. Not playing well, dropped passes they normally catch in the scUM game ... past IU teams would have folded and lost. This team and coaches mentally are nothing like past IU teams.
You are right though, no matter how much IU beats Purdue .. it will not matter to the committee ... OSU game is the deciding factor for them to decide and the only other way for them to blow it is to lose the Purdue game.
Indiana still has to play 9 conference games. Next year's conference schedule is...
Illinois
Michigan State
UCLA
Wisconsin
Iowa
Maryland
Oregon
Penn State
Purdue
Out of conference doesn't even matter when most years you're playing a schedule like that.
Great teams are supposed to be at and dominate bad teams right? This wouldn't be a discussion if it were Ohio State, Texas, Bama, Michigan, Georgia etc.
IU may well make the playoffs. I'm sure I haven't kept up with the speculation like all their fans in this thread. My opinion will remain the same no matter what happens and that's nobody with their schedule should be in unless they beat Ohio State. It sends a really bad message to all of college football.
So if ESPN says they'll get in, that's great for them.
We can all leave it at that and just see how it plays out. Good luck.
So if ESPN says they'll get in, that's great for them.
We can all leave it at that and just see how it plays out. Good luck.
Should Georgia get in with 2 losses while playing UMASS this week? Or Bama playing Mercer last week? What kind of message does that send to college football? Oregon's first game was with Idaho a team that IU opened with in 2023.
I haven't done an in depth analysis of all the schedules but I have looked at a SOS list that shows IU is 100+ and I think the worst of the others was something like 53. And I happen to be aware of IU buying out the Louisville game. That's the basis for my opinion. I'm sure you have your reasons why that shouldn't matter and something else should and that's fine. You have no doubt looked more at it than I have because I don't care nearly as much.
To say they have played a mediocre schedule is even debatable. They currently sit behind no less than 36 non-P4 teams in SOS without a single opponent with at least 1 AP Top 25 vote on game day. It's extraordinary. #5 is laughable. A win vs OSU would change things. An epic close loss might be enough. Anything other than that they should be out.
As you miss the point.
Can’t play 3 awful teams in OOC. Then compounded by playing 1 team with a winning record thus far. Of course it effects perception and perception is reality until the season is over and resumes are set.
UGA is playing Umass but also a 7 win GA Tech team and a likely 10 win Clemson team.
If you can’t see the difference in that vs playing Charlotte, Western Illinois and FIU…I can’t help you.
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