Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Happy Easter! From Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, it's the Midwest Regional Final between the 2-seed, #6-ranked Tennessee Volunteers and the 1-seed, #3-ranked Purdue Boilermakers. Tip is scheduled for approximately 2:20 pm (Eastern time) with television coverage on CBS. The winner advances to Phoenix for the National Semi-Finals next Saturday and will take on the winner of the South Regional Final between North Carolina State and Duke.
Projected Starting Line-ups:
Tennessee - Jonas Aidoo, Dalton Knecht, Josiah-Jordan James, Jahmai Mashack (Santiago Vescovi is questionable with an illness), and Zaikai Zeigler
Purdue - Zach Edey, Trey Kaufman-Renn, Lance Jones, Fletcher Loyer, and Braden Smith
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Tennessee advanced to this game with a 82-75 victory over 3-seed Creighton on Friday night, and Purdue took out 5-seed Gonzaga, 80-68. Tennessee trailed by a point at halftime and shot just 41.8 percent overall, but the Volunteers took charge when they went on an 18-0 run early in the second half. Tennessee shot 11-for-24 (45.8%) from beyond the arc and did well with possessing the basketball (four turnovers). Senior guard Dalton Knecht led the way with 24 points, six rebounds, and five assists.
This is the second meeting between Tennessee and Purdue this season. Purdue won a very spirited battle, 71-67, on Nov. 21 in the Maui Invitational. It was a tightly contested defensive battle, as both teams shot under 40 percent from the field and below 30 percent from three-point range. The teams also combined for 51 fouls. Fletcher Loyer led Purdue in scoring in that game with 27, and Zach Edey chipped in with 23.
Tennessee is an even stronger opponent than earlier, and they've been a top 5/top 10 team all season. The Volunteers are rated sixth nationally by KenPom. They're 28th in offensive efficiency, 3rd in defensive efficiency, and 79th in tempo (schedule-adjusted). Tennessee averages over 80 points per game (43rd) and ranks 26th in total rebounds (39.0 per game). It's 3rd in opponent field goal percentage (38.5%) and 51st in opponent three-point percentage (31.4%).
Knecht leads the Volunteers with 21.2 points per game on 45.8 percent shooting, including 39.2 percent from long range. Tennessee also gets key contributions from junior guard Zakai Zeigler (11.9 PPG and 6.0 RPG), junior forward Jonas Aidoo (11.7 PPG and 7.5 RPG), and senior guard Josiah-Jordan James (8.5 PPG and 6.4 RPG). Zeigler is coming off an ACL injury last season and came off the bench in the first game, as he was still working his way into the lineup. Zeigler was the SEC defensive player of the year, and his match-up with Braden Smith will likely be a big key for the game.
This game looks to be a quintessential high stakes battle. Tennessee likes to play a little more physical than Purdue, but they don't necessarily want to get totally locked into a half-court game. Expect them to try and force some turnovers both on the wings/entry passes and if Zach Edey gets the ball further out from the paint. On offense, they'll look to exploit Dalton Knecht's tremendous scoring potential from both long-range and on drives. Purdue's rotations will need to be really good, and you'd expect Lance Jones and Cam Heide off the bench will have that assignment a good part of the time.
For the Boilers, it's a lot of the same game plan, which has worked a lot this season - establish Zach Edey and get good opportunities from the outside if/when Tennessee overloads. Braden Smith will have his hands full with Zaikai Zeigler. Of all the games, controlling the glass and limiting the turnovers is paramount......if Purdue executes, especially like the second half Friday night, they will be in really good shape. However, that won't be easy against this very good Tennessee team. You can bet Rick Barnes will have them ready.
Can the Boilers continue a great season and finally break through after 44 years to reach another Final Four? Or, will Tennessee take that next step for the first time?
The winner today will have earned it......we shall see, starting in a couple of hours.
Boiler Up, my friends...