WOW!!!!!Boilers -3 at MD............
- Thread starter SunnyFL24
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Vegas didn't get to be Vegas without knowing more than the rest of us.
Agree about the surprise....wouldn't want to touch this game, though. Over under seems to be 139.
Dry? Are you down for a few pounds on the Boilers?
Dry? Are you down for a few pounds on the Boilers?
Just did a little bit more digging on this game. I've not watched much of Maryland so far this season but it appears they average more turnovers per game than we do. Also, they are one of the worst rebounding teams in the Big Ten. Perhaps these are the things driving this opening line.
Purdue is an Elite 8 team when it is clicking on all cylinders. We have to play the full 40 minutes against good and even mediocre competition. If we do that, we have the horses to win and win big. If we don't play the entire game, we lose against good and mediocre competition. I have been watching Purdue bball since 1978. Though this team frustrates me a great deal at times, they have been really fun to watch. We finally have a high powered offense in West Laf. Haven't had to watch players hesitate or be afraid to shoot. Really nice not to have to watch that slow grinding offense of the past.
hopefully the team that beat msu on the road shows up. this team needs to get more consistent. no way we should have lost any games in the big ten so far. heck, msu just beat nebraska there easily. go figure
If Haas plays 13 minutes like he did against Nebraska we will lose. He needs to get 20+ minutes for us to win. Playing Haas more give us the greatest opportunity to win against both Nebraska & Maryland. Our lineup needs to matchup against our competitions.
TO% is pretty equal from a team standpoint, Purdue 16.9; MD 17.3%. In terms of players TO% (foxsports), for MD Cowan 21%, Trimble 18%, Jackson 16%, and Purdue Swanigan 20%, Haas 19%, V. Edwards 16%.
As long as our bigs keep their TO's down, Im optimistic.
I say very close one with lots of lead changes......first half all posturing none showing their hand.
Second half Maryland will press and that's when Purdue blows it open....
Need to hit 2 or 3 threes in a row and then step on the gas and hit the free throws down the stretch.
Purdue 87 Maryland 83.......Boiler Up!
Second half Maryland will press and that's when Purdue blows it open....
Need to hit 2 or 3 threes in a row and then step on the gas and hit the free throws down the stretch.
Purdue 87 Maryland 83.......Boiler Up!
Tex: I'm staying away from this one. Before the line came out, I would have predicted MD -2 or 3. When I saw this line I was shocked. I hope I'm wrong but I don't like this game. If I were to bet I would take the points and MD. Not in the mood to do that!!
I hope we take care of the ball, kill them on the glass and prove that spread correct!!
If Haas plays like he did in those 13 minutes for 20 minutes or more every game, Purdue doesn't lose this season. He had 11 and 5 in those 13 minutes. He would have given about Purdue 20-10 had he gotten 20 minutes. At time, the Haas and Biggie combo needs to play together for longer stretches...but losing Smotherman diminishes that opportunity. That is then biggest loss with Smotherman leaving...him giving 3-5 minutes per game to allow Biggie to rest after getting more of that combo of bigs.
Won't be surprised to see biggie and Haas play together. I think we see less of Vince at a three and those three players spread time at a four and 5 more. Dakota and Cline see minutes at the three and some
2. Pj and spike at 1 and Carsen mostly two
Vegas + the analytics (namely KenPom) haven't liked us all year, but I think we've been playing w a chip on our shoulder because of it. Going into OSU we were 19-2 and ranked #17 coming off four straight conference road wins, and Vegas still made us dogs (again) at 9 loss OSU. It just is what it is at this point.
Good luck today. Expecting a close game.
Good luck today. Expecting a close game.
Anyone know how uncommon this is? Home team that is 6 places higher in the polls (7 in coaches) that is a 3 point dog, especially this late in the season?
Kenpom doesn't like Purdue? He has us -3 at Maryland and #12 overall. What am I missing here?
Sagarin has us right about -3. Depends on which Purdue shows up. Win by 15-20 or lose a close one.
Can someone explain the 1h 2h thing to me I'm not a gambler.
Can someone explain the 1h 2h thing to me I'm not a gambler.
1H - Is when you bet on the halftime score. 2H - Is betting on the 2nd half score.
I'm in Vegas and just got back from the sportsbook. The Purdue line moved from -3 to +1 and eventually to pick em in about a 10 minute span. Lots of action on the game it seems.
sounds like Billy Walters will be watching our game then !
40 year Terps hoops fan here. First time I can remember in a long time that Maryland hasn't played a ranked opponent until February. Today's Purdue game is the first ranked opponent this season for the Terps. Our place is tough to play, weekend game, students back from break, full house, loud, yada yada yada. But Painter has had his way with Turge, including last year and dating back to Turge's A&M days when Painter took him down in the NCAA round of 32. Our OOC schedule is incredibly soft by design, since Turge viewed this as a rebuild year after losing four starters. Our B1G schedule is backloaded with the top conference teams this year -- before today, no games yet versus Purdue, Wisky, Northwestern. Moreover, we only play those three teams once this regular season as a favorable but unfair quirk of the unbalanced schedule.
You guys will own the paint today with Swanigan and your other bigs, since our bigs are very average, especially on offense. Our best forward is a frosh, Justin Jackson, who is barely 6-8. I think we matchup better in the back court with more speed and depth than your guards, but that won't matter if we're not hitting our 3s and if that happens, Painter would be wise to zone us. Painter is sure to clog the lane for Melo, who actually hasn't been penetrating until late in close games. Our frosh point Cowan is thin but tough, yet he still can get pushed around easily when he drives the lane. So if we're off from the 3 ball line and blocked from penetrating, then we're not getting to the line and that spells trouble for my Terps.
I don't think either team wins big today, and I think it stays close most of the way with Purdue winning by 6.
Well Purdue won't play a zone by name, but no doubt will want to stop penetration but very cautious of the three ball. Would love for most of the game played at a slower pace only running when an advantage. Can't forget the perimeter three ball
If the refs protect the dribble no matter what the dribble is doing an advantage to Maryland. When Purdue went to Nebraska there were two refs I haven't seen in the big and they were horrible. Two different teams.
What is the perception of a foul by the refs will play a role as well
Very well said and true. Melo was getting every dribble drive called for him two years ago -- with many of them absurd calls. Last year it swung back well past middle. This year it's kinda moot since Melo isn't driving as much, now playing the two.
But I see Brian Dorsey doing the game, an ACC ref who has done plenty of Maryland games dating back many years. That will be interesting.
Nothing major issues with refs so far. Couple continuationso, borderline moving screens, but nothing absurd compared to a few games this year
Purdue again has devoted too much attention to Melo, not enough patience on O to move the ball. Purdue has not played particularly well and Still in it. Should be a good half.
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