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What record do you expect to see this team post over the last 8 regular season games?

What will Purdue's record be over the last 8 regular season games?

  • 8-0

    Votes: 2 7.1%

  • 7-1

    Votes: 2 7.1%

  • 6-2

    Votes: 8 28.6%

  • 5-3

    Votes: 10 35.7%

  • 4-4

    Votes: 5 17.9%

  • 3-5

    Votes: 1 3.6%

  • Worse than 3-5

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Total voters
    28
northside100

northside100

All-American
Gold Member
Aug 11, 2001
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The toughest part of the schedule is coming up with 5 of 8 games against teams who will be in the tourney barring a collapse and 3 of those 5 games being on the road. I'd say that a 5-3 finish is realistic, with must win games vs Northwestern, @ Nebraska and vs Wisconsin for three wins, a 1-2 record on the road at Maryland, Michigan and IU and a 1-1 record at home vs Maryland and Michigan State. That would put us at 24-7 overall and 12-6 in conference and a conference finish likely somewhere in the 3 to 5 range heading into the BTT. Depending on how we plan in the BTT, that's probably also good for 3 to 5 seed in the NCAA tourney based on last year's bracket.

2/6 @Maryland
2/9 vs MSU
2/13 @Michigan
2/16 vs Northwestern
2/20 @ IU
2/27 vs Maryland
3/1 @ Nebraska
3/6 vs Wisconsin
 
I think with the team and the talent we have, we should finish 6-2 or better if we are to perform to the expectations or beat them. Obviously no game on the schedule is unwinnable and none are a 100% win. I think it's acceptable if we split with Maryland and split the @IU/MSU games. We should win the rest of them. In B1G this year, the top 5 (note: I include MSU and exclude Michigan) are a step above the rest. We shouldn't lose another game to the have-nots.
 
I say 6-2......we beat IU and MSU.....lose to Maryland twice......

I hope I am wrong and we go 7-1 with the only loss at Maryland....

Fingers crossed and Boiler Up!
 
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Lose at Maryland
Lose vs MSU
Win at UM
Win vs NW
Lose at IU
Lose vs Maryland
Win at Nebraska
Win vs Wisky

4-4, although 3-5 or 5-3 wouldn't be shocking at all. If we do finish 4-4, we finish without a marquee win which would be bad for seeding
 
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My range is 3-5 to 5-3 so I'm going 4-4. I'd take 5 wins in a heartbeat. None of those games will be easy.
 
I'm agreeing with TC4THREE. I'll take 4-4 regardless of who we beat and who beats us. This is a very even year with many surprises. Look at Duke and No Carolina ... both having many vulnerabilities. Any team on any given night.
 
FirstDownB said:
5-3
hold serve at home, win @Neb
Click to expand...

That is exactly what I would bet if I had money to blow.

There really aren't any sure bets. Purdue's size could give Indiana and Michigan trouble, but I could also see Purdue dropping a home game to MD/MSU/WI. My gut feel tells me the game at Nebraska could devolve into an ugly slug-fest. Hope the Boilers can gut out a win.

Unfortunately, Northwestern no longer looks like an opportunity for a quality win, but Wisconsin is up to #66 in the RPI. They could creep into the NCAA discussion by the last weekend of the regular season.

IMO: Any combination that gets Purdue to 24-7 (12-6) will have the Boilers in reasonably good shape for March. Anything better would be gravy.
 
rgarlitz said:
That is exactly what I would bet if I had money to blow.
Click to expand...

Haha. Well, I wasn't exactly going out on a limb..

Easiest Remaining Games

Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/16 Northwestern Home 91.9%
3/5 Wisconsin Home 87.6%
3/1 Nebraska Away 76.2%
2/27 Maryland Home 69.9%
2/9 Michigan St Home 61.3%
2/13 Michigan Away 52.9%
2/6 Maryland Away 40.5%
2/20 Indiana Away 38.4%
 
6-2 splitting @Maryland, @IU, MSU, and Maryland. Gives us some good wins and hopefully with a good performance in the BTT we get a 3 seed.
 
Not to be a debbie downer, but I am starting to think it may not make much difference whether the finish is 3-5 or 5-3. I stopped holding my breath on the regular season title after Iowa part II. Mostly what is left to play for is tourney seeding and the rivalry game. And as was mentioned in another thread, a 6 or 7 seed may be just as good as a 4 seed this year in the NCAAT, depending on matchups and location. In the BTT we will either see a double bye and then have to beat 3 good teams or a single bye and then have to beat 1 mediocre team and 3 good teams.
 
5-3 ... it's a tough closing stretch but lots of chances to get the big win the team needs (for confidence and seeding)
 
It's time for AJ to earn his NBA draft money... I predict he will be fully focused and energized the rest of the season. I feel like AJ knows that after that big recent game the scouts should paying even more attention to him. Time to turn the intensity up to 11!

And Vince & Ray are going to be sharp as well. Others will fall in.

So I'm going to say 6-2 & possibly better. Yep, it's a homer prediction, but I happen to think we have a chance to achieve it.
 
FirstDownB said:
Easiest Remaining Games

Date Opponent Loc Win Odds
2/6 Maryland Away 40.5%
2/20 Indiana Away 38.4%
Click to expand...
I'm really starting to hate the "odds of winning" percentages. What is that percentage a function of - meaning what are numerator and denominator? Maybe it's bugging me because I constantly hear it on ESPN. Supposedly the experts in their field of news and analysis and - as an example - they just kept referencing the percentage chance Alabama had of beating Clemson in the football title game based on some algorithm which I be surprised to learn that they know any more about than I do. So Alabama had a 58.7% chance or whatever of winning... so 2 of the 4 best teams in the country are pretty evenly matched you say?! Thanks, super helpful information ESPN!

Ignoring my irritation of this at the moment, I must say I'm surprised to see that Indiana is shown as lower percentage chance to win. Apparently coach's rankings aren't a factor in the calculation? IU is a fringe top-20 team and Maryland is top-5. Just seems like those should be flipped-flopped (assuming you believe the percentages are meaningful to begin with).
 
2/6 @Maryland
2/9 vs MSU
2/13 @Michigan
2/16 vs Northwestern
2/20 @ IU
2/27 vs Maryland
3/1 @ Nebraska
3/6 vs Wisconsin[/QUOTE]


Clearly the road trip to Maryland is the toughest and a loss isn't an end to the world. Depending on which Purdue team shows, they could go 7-1. If the team takes a turn for the worst 2-6 is not impossible. So, with the reality that we don't know which team will show, I'll say this:

7-1 would be spectacular
6-2 would be acceptable
5-3 wouldn't be amazing, but I'd take it
4-4 would be just another mediocre finish and not good
Anything less is unacceptable and a sign of being a weak team feasting of cupcakes.

We really need that 6-2, peaking at the right time, having a marquee win and momentum going into the B1G tourney. And, it can be done....the talent is there.
 
i expect nothing and want them to win them all. they are way too inconsistent. losing to illinois shows they can lose to anyone. up 17 at half over iowa shows they can play with anyone
 
Statey said:
I'm really starting to hate the "odds of winning" percentages. What is that percentage a function of - meaning what are numerator and denominator? Maybe it's bugging me because I constantly hear it on ESPN. Supposedly the experts in their field of news and analysis and - as an example - they just kept referencing the percentage chance Alabama had of beating Clemson in the football title game based on some algorithm which I be surprised to learn that they know any more about than I do. So Alabama had a 58.7% chance or whatever of winning... so 2 of the 4 best teams in the country are pretty evenly matched you say?! Thanks, super helpful information ESPN!

Ignoring my irritation of this at the moment, I must say I'm surprised to see that Indiana is shown as lower percentage chance to win. Apparently coach's rankings aren't a factor in the calculation? IU is a fringe top-20 team and Maryland is top-5. Just seems like those should be flipped-flopped (assuming you believe the percentages are meaningful to begin with).
Click to expand...
Not sure if this is a serious question, tic, or the rant of a traditionalist fan. If serious, advanced statistics are commonly used in modern day sports to quantify a team's offensive and defensive production based on actual game data. Predictive analysis uses these statistics to objectively compare teams and make data based projections. If you do some research you will find various sites on the internet devoted to such analysis and the formulas used. It is not a perfect science, but as it is based purely on statistics it takes the bias and emotion out of the equation and serves as a good starting point for projecting outcomes. Notice I say starting point, as it does not take into account special considerations for individual games, such as match-ups or injuries.

Btw- I find your Alabama-Clemson example mildly amusing as the projections absolutely nailed that one.
 
Last edited:
We're 2-3 right now going into those 8 games. We can as easily lose or win the next 3, but I expect at least 1 loss.
 
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