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Updating some "What If's"...

CalBoiler

All-American
Aug 15, 2001
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and projecting out the remainder of the B10 season.

Following a couple of games which were upsets (NW v Iowa) and projected upsets which were not (PSU v MD) , they was robbed!), and also including Illinois into the conversation, as long as Purdue can hold serve at home, they should be in decent position.

Wisconsin - Projecting 17-1 finish and #1 seed in the BTT
OSU - Projecting 12-6 finish and #2 seed. Wins against Michigan, Nebraska, Purdue, at PSU. Loss to Wisconsin.
IU - Projecting 12-6 finish and #3 seed. Wins against Purdue, at Rutgers, at Northwestern and MSU. Loss to Iowa.
Maryland - Projecting 12-6 finish and #4 seed. Wins against Nebraska, Michigan and at Rutgers. Losses to Wisconsin and at Nebraska.
Purdue - Projecting 11-7 finish and #5 seed. Wins against Rutgers and Illinois. Losses at IU, at OSU and at MSU.
Iowa - Projecting 11-7 finish and #6 seed. Wins against Rutgers, Illinois, PSU, at IU and Northwestern. Loss at Nebraska.
Illinois - Projecting 10-8 finish and #7 seed. Wins against MSU, Northwestern and Nebraska. Losses at Iowa and at Purdue.
MSU - Projecting 10-8 finish and #8 seed. Wins against Minnesota and Purdue. Losses at Michigan, at Illinois, at Wisconsin and at IU.
Michigan - Projecting 9-9 finish and #9 seed. Wins against MSU, at NW and Rutgers. Losses to OSU and at Maryland.

A couple of notes, Iowa has been fading a bit so their results may not be as good as projected. Nebraska may have turned a bit of a corner yesterday and could surprise more people than expected. Northwestern, too, may have gotten the monkey off of their back and cause some problems for teams down the stretch. Bottom line is that there is still a lot of basketball to be played and jockeying to go on.

That said, if Purdue ends up as the #5 seed, they'd get the 1st day bye and play the winner of the #12 v #13 game which should be Northwestern and PSU. Having wins over both of those schools on the road, I'd feel pretty good about Purdue's chances on a neutral floor.

A win in that game would then face Purdue off against the #4 seed which in my scenario is Maryland. I think Purdue is playing much better now than they did when they faced Maryland the first time and conversely, Maryland isn't playing as well so I'd like Purdue's chances in that game. That would give Purdue at least two wins in the BTT with one over a quality opponent. With that, I think Purdue should make it to the NCAA, baring some unusual circumstances.
 
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