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Record Prediction / Hot Takes for 2024-2025 Season

Boiler Addict

True Freshman
Feb 19, 2020
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There's a couple threads already talking about personnel, reality coming to town, updated odds/power rankings. Purdue is 3-0 with 28 games to go. DJ is out for the season.

What's everyone's predictions for:
1) overall record
2) BIG10 regular season finish (1st, 2nd, 3rd, etc)
3) NCAA seed #

Feel free to include any (short) hot takes.

 
20-11
4th or 5th
7-10 seed

Sorry, not high on the team right now. LOVE these 5 guards and TKR individually, but as a team they have flaws. Now on que....watch them get hot and beat AL... lol
 
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There's a couple threads already talking about personnel, reality coming to town, updated odds/power rankings. Purdue is 3-0 with 28 games to go. DJ is out for the season.

What's everyone's predictions for:
1) overall record
2) BIG10 regular season finish (1st, 2nd, 3rd, etc)
3) NCAA seed #

Feel free to include any (short) hot takes.

Though my gold and black colored glasses (actual prediction):
23-8 (16-4, 7-4)
T1
3 seed

Glasses-free:
21-10 (14-6, 7-4)
T3
5 seed (2+wins in BTT)
 
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20-11
4th or 5th
10 seed

Sorry, not high on the team right now. LOVE these 5 guards and TKR individually, but as a team they have flaws. Now on que....watch them get hit and beat AL... lol
Oh man, I hope you're wrong. I'm a little less optimistic than I was three weeks ago but IMO the reality is that this team was always going to have growing pains early in the year and we're likely to react overly emotionally as fans.
 
20-11
4th or 5th
7-10 seed

Sorry, not high on the team right now. LOVE these 5 guards and TKR individually, but as a team they have flaws. Now on que....watch them get hot and beat AL... lol
I mean tbh with you, what team looks that complete right now? I’d say not a lot at this point. All top 25 teams have struggled with lessor opponents so far. I think once 2024 ends is when we will have a better picture of what we are as a team. Just want to see improvement rebounding as a team—don’t care who the leader is, but just cut down on second chance opportunities and unforced turnovers.
 
I mean tbh with you, what team looks that complete right now? I’d say not a lot at this point. All top 25 teams have struggled with lessor opponents so far. I think once 2024 ends is when we will have a better picture of what we are as a team. Just want to see improvement rebounding as a team—don’t care who the leader is, but just cut down on second chance opportunities and unforced turnovers.

Yep hope they fix it. Not sure the tools are there though after losing our starting Center. But we have one of the best coaches in the nation, so perhaps I undersold the coaches ability to get them going.
Hope I am wrong.
 
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Yep hope they fix it. Not sure the tools are there though after losing our starting Center. But we have one of the best coaches in the nation, so perhaps I undersold the coaches ability to get them going.
Hope I am wrong.
It was still going to be rough at times with DJ, just due to him being a Frosh and not being as strong …yet.

The silver lining here is burgess will get great mins and experience from this year and be that much better next year. But also, it’s time for Braden to take over and really be THE guy for us. He needs to take over games at times and win them for us. Lookin forward to it.
 
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I've been a little discouraged so far too and want to temper expectations.

That being said..... What if Colvin becomes a dude (really like what Im seeing), Heide takes off from Yale 2nd half performance, Cox/Harris keep getting better, TKR/Smith/Loyer play at or near All B1G level, and you just need Furst/Burgess/Berg to give you 15 fouls and hit the glass.

Painter won a B1G title with much less in '19, so I'm not ready to peg them into the middle of what looks to be a wide open conference just yet.
 
I've been a little discouraged so far too and want to temper expectations.

That being said..... What if Colvin becomes a dude (really like what Im seeing), Heide takes off from Yale 2nd half performance, Cox/Harris keep getting better, TKR/Smith/Loyer play at or near All B1G level, and you just need Furst/Burgess/Berg to give you 15 fouls and hit the glass.

Painter won a B1G title with much less in '19, so I'm not ready to peg them into the middle of what looks to be a wide open conference just yet.
Got feeling better about Purdue from reading this. Thanks....needed
 
24-7
1st - so far I like what I see in the conference. Conference looks weak.
2 seed in the tourney

I'll take it a step further and predict we make it to the second weekend of the tourney
 
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I've been a little discouraged so far too and want to temper expectations.

That being said..... What if Colvin becomes a dude (really like what Im seeing), Heide takes off from Yale 2nd half performance, Cox/Harris keep getting better, TKR/Smith/Loyer play at or near All B1G level, and you just need Furst/Burgess/Berg to give you 15 fouls and hit the glass.

Painter won a B1G title with much less in '19, so I'm not ready to peg them into the middle of what looks to be a wide open conference just yet.
Yeh, if all the variables go our way this CAN be a very good team. Reality is probably that team SOME of the time and something short of that the other times as frosh and first time big minute guys acclimate to big time ball.
23-8, 3d in Big 10, 4th seed.
 
Here's the summary so far. Purdue79fan has got 33 games played so it skews the Wins/Losses upward slightly.

WinsLossesBIG10 FinishNCAA Seed
Purdue79fan27613
Chi-Boiler23835
Boiler Buck20114-57-10
rgarlitz2293-44-6
northside10023813
PaBoiler782293-44-6
titaniumbolt24712
Schmedly_Whiplash23834
Averages238.252.64.4

KenPom currently has Purdue 4th in offensive rating and 52nd in defensive rating. I'm encouraged by the offensive production. The weakside/help defense and rebounding has not been what typical Purdue teams under Painter have been.

I question if Purdue is "too small" or "not tough enough" this year to see consistently good rebounding. I get the freshman are still learning, but "you can't teach size" might be a real thing for this squad. Going off of the Purdue roster (assuming with shoes + being generous) Smith 6'0", Loyer 6'5", Harris 6'3", TKR 6'9".

Accounting for growing pains into February, this seems like a double digit loss team, and a BIG10 finish of 4-6 (although Painter has a strong record of top4 finishes) and a 8 seed, but also a dangerous team come late in the season as everyone learns the system and their roles. Colvin is the X-factor, so much potential. I thought he played inspired defense against Yale except that intentional foul. Let's see more of it.

Here's my hot takes:
1) Heide isn't physical enough to consistently guard the 4's that bang and offensively needs to let it fly from 3.
2) Berg gains the confidence and plays well enough to take the most minutes in the 5 position, esp. against larger opponents.
3) TKR defense!? TKR gave up many easy buckets to who he was suppose to be guarding, I saw a couple "ball watching" moments along with getting back on defense late, etc. He's in his 4th year in the program, that's concerning to me, especially if he's the biggest Purdue player on the court.
 
Here's the summary so far. Purdue79fan has got 33 games played so it skews the Wins/Losses upward slightly.

WinsLossesBIG10 FinishNCAA Seed
Purdue79fan27613
Chi-Boiler23835
Boiler Buck20114-57-10
rgarlitz2293-44-6
northside10023813
PaBoiler782293-44-6
titaniumbolt24712
Schmedly_Whiplash23834
Averages238.252.64.4

KenPom currently has Purdue 4th in offensive rating and 52nd in defensive rating. I'm encouraged by the offensive production. The weakside/help defense and rebounding has not been what typical Purdue teams under Painter have been.

I question if Purdue is "too small" or "not tough enough" this year to see consistently good rebounding. I get the freshman are still learning, but "you can't teach size" might be a real thing for this squad. Going off of the Purdue roster (assuming with shoes + being generous) Smith 6'0", Loyer 6'5", Harris 6'3", TKR 6'9".

Accounting for growing pains into February, this seems like a double digit loss team, and a BIG10 finish of 4-6 (although Painter has a strong record of top4 finishes) and a 8 seed, but also a dangerous team come late in the season as everyone learns the system and their roles. Colvin is the X-factor, so much potential. I thought he played inspired defense against Yale except that intentional foul. Let's see more of it.

Here's my hot takes:
1) Heide isn't physical enough to consistently guard the 4's that bang and offensively needs to let it fly from 3.
2) Berg gains the confidence and plays well enough to take the most minutes in the 5 position, esp. against larger opponents.
3) TKR defense!? TKR gave up many easy buckets to who he was suppose to be guarding, I saw a couple "ball watching" moments along with getting back on defense late, etc. He's in his 4th year in the program, that's concerning to me, especially if he's the biggest Purdue player on the court.
I like PaBoilers picks. This team seems to be around a 10 loss team. I’m hoping they surprise me however and I believe we can be a tough out come tourney time.
 
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