I agree. On Paper Houston is the obvious pick. They are the better team. Period.
With that being said Purdue is due for one of those games where they are hot from 3. Braden is due for a big game and coming off a bad one he is usually lights out. Defense and rebounding is much better and bench/role guys are playing as good as they have all year.
It will be a Pro-Purdue crowd. Not only Purdue fans Indy, but Tennessee and Kentucky (if they win today) will bring a ton of people who will all want the upset against Houston. I can't imagine Houston bringing a big crowd?
The pressure is on Houston. They've had #1 seeds the past 3 years and haven't made a Final 4. They did go in '21, but not sure how many of those guys are on this roster. As we all know that monkey on the back is a real thing and if it is a tight game it can be a factor mentally.
Houston is clearly the better team, but the circumstances give Purdue a chance IMO. We'll see....