IUFB
- Thread starter OldStyle1902
- Start date
As much fun as it would be to see them lose out, I think they’ll get at least a couple more. With Minnesota on the road and Iowa, Maryland, and us traveling to Bloomington, they’ve got a pretty good shot at 6-6.
Just curious why? No run game, decent but not great pass game and an average defense. In game coaching is below average as well = 4-8 or 5-7
They always swoon in BIG play. Their record is a mirage. They’ve beaten no good teams. No One. Their QB will get whacked on a scramble and they are screwed. They will lose a game or two they shouldn’t after the reality of playing the BIG East powers sets in. They barely beat a pathetic Rutgers team. They will end up 4-8 or 5-7. Just watch.
Profound. Perhaps IU should just forfeit their remaining games.
They are definitely not beating OSU, PSU, Michigan or Iowa. Minnesota and Maryland seem rocky at times but the Minnesota game is an away game. I'd say that they have a better shot at winning Maryland at home or us at home. Maryland because their scandal has been a big distraction lately, and us because of the rivalry and the fact that it is an away game for us. I think the last game will be again one of those "either us or them" game where the winner goes to a bowl game and the other will not.
Definitely not? Nah. I agree with OSU and PSU, but Iowa and Michigan are possibilities although low. Maryland and Minnesota are close to 50-50%, and Purdue - well, gonna be the decider again. Hope like hell IU has 6 wins before the bucket game.
I agree.. this is not some dogcrap IU team.. I’ll eat it if I’m wrong but I can see them doing some things..
This IU team is not even close to some of Wilson’s 5-7 teams
IU has a very small chance vs Michigan at Ann Arbor.I recall an IU win over Iowa when Hoeppner was the coach,but have they beaten the Hawks since then?Maryland at Bloomington could be an IU win,but how long has it been since they won at Minnesota?Of course every year is different but if IU has six wins going into the Bucket game,I will be impressed.
Last edited:
Maryland has been playing better lately. I think they hang a L on the Loosiers.
You may be right.I wasnt very impressed with IU vs Rutgers.
I see Michigan as winnable. They are an odd team with an odd coach this year, talent not withstanding.
Michigan’s offense is questionable, but their defense is what I feel will make the difference in that game.
I’m kinda surprised they haven’t for us at all yet when you look at our last few opponents. To my knowledge only worship will be out for Illinois
IU over the last decade vs. conference opponents:
IU Remaining Schedule:
OSU: 0-9 (96.3% FPI favorite)
Iowa: 1-6 (67.5% FPI favorite)
PSU: 1-9 (90.4% FPI favorite)
Minny: 0-2 (59.6% FPI favorite)
Maryland: 2-2 (Ind 55.3% FPI favorite)
Michigan: 0-7 (92.7% FPI favorite)
Purdue: 5-5 (50.3 FPI favorite)
Record vs. Other B1G Teams:
Michigan State: 1-8
Rutgers: 3-2
Northwestern: 1-5
Illinois: 4-3
Whisky: 0-7
Nebraska: 0-1
Conference W/L since 2008: 18-66
2017: started 3-2 but finished 2-5 over the last 7 games (4 game losing streak)
2016: started 3-1 but finished 3-5 over the last 8 games (3 game and 2 game losing streak)
2015: started 4-0 but finished 2-6 over the last 8 games (6 game losing streak)
2014: started 3-2 but finished 1-6 over last 7 games (6 game losing streak)
2013: started 3-2 but finished 2-5 over the last 7 games (3 game and 2 game losing streak)
2012: started 2-0 but finished 2-8 over the last 10 games (5 game and 3 game losing streak)
2011: Season ended up 1-11 with only W against FCS
2010: started 3-0 but finished 2-7 over the last nine games (5 game losing streak)
2009: started 3-0 but finished 2-8 over the last 10 games (3 and 5 game losing streak)
2008: started 2-0 but finished 1-9 over the last 10 games (5 and 4 game losing streak)
So according to ESPN's FPI, IU is the favorite in only one remaining game left on their schedule of which they have had the second most success against historically over 10 years. The point is that IU has a decade long history of starting off exactly how they have this season and then finding it very hard to string together consistent performances and getting victories in a season. After strong starts to their seasons, IU is a total of 18-113 over the last 10 years.
My thoughts: History tells us IU will not get to a bowl game even though they sit at 4-1 currently. I would put IU at about a 55% chance to get to 5 wins this season, 35% chance to get to 6, and 10% chance to get to 7 which would be a high water mark for IU football since 1994 when IU went 7-4 under Bill Mallory. IU has averaged roughly 4 (edited and thanks for pointing out the inconsistency) wins per season since that 1994 season.
IU Remaining Schedule:
OSU: 0-9 (96.3% FPI favorite)
Iowa: 1-6 (67.5% FPI favorite)
PSU: 1-9 (90.4% FPI favorite)
Minny: 0-2 (59.6% FPI favorite)
Maryland: 2-2 (Ind 55.3% FPI favorite)
Michigan: 0-7 (92.7% FPI favorite)
Purdue: 5-5 (50.3 FPI favorite)
Record vs. Other B1G Teams:
Michigan State: 1-8
Rutgers: 3-2
Northwestern: 1-5
Illinois: 4-3
Whisky: 0-7
Nebraska: 0-1
Conference W/L since 2008: 18-66
2017: started 3-2 but finished 2-5 over the last 7 games (4 game losing streak)
2016: started 3-1 but finished 3-5 over the last 8 games (3 game and 2 game losing streak)
2015: started 4-0 but finished 2-6 over the last 8 games (6 game losing streak)
2014: started 3-2 but finished 1-6 over last 7 games (6 game losing streak)
2013: started 3-2 but finished 2-5 over the last 7 games (3 game and 2 game losing streak)
2012: started 2-0 but finished 2-8 over the last 10 games (5 game and 3 game losing streak)
2011: Season ended up 1-11 with only W against FCS
2010: started 3-0 but finished 2-7 over the last nine games (5 game losing streak)
2009: started 3-0 but finished 2-8 over the last 10 games (3 and 5 game losing streak)
2008: started 2-0 but finished 1-9 over the last 10 games (5 and 4 game losing streak)
So according to ESPN's FPI, IU is the favorite in only one remaining game left on their schedule of which they have had the second most success against historically over 10 years. The point is that IU has a decade long history of starting off exactly how they have this season and then finding it very hard to string together consistent performances and getting victories in a season. After strong starts to their seasons, IU is a total of 18-113 over the last 10 years.
My thoughts: History tells us IU will not get to a bowl game even though they sit at 4-1 currently. I would put IU at about a 55% chance to get to 5 wins this season, 35% chance to get to 6, and 10% chance to get to 7 which would be a high water mark for IU football since 1994 when IU went 7-4 under Bill Mallory. IU has averaged roughly 4 (edited and thanks for pointing out the inconsistency) wins per season since that 1994 season.
Last edited:
This is an awesome analysis. Well done. IU will face their reality starting this week.
They couldnt have won 5.8 games since 1994 because their win Saturday was only the 41st victory in league games since then.5.8 victories per year from 1995 through 2017 would be 134 total victories.They havent won that many.
I think the 5.8 is total per season, not conference games. Anyone?
Seems high since they haven't won even 7 games a single season in that span.
Apparently they won 7 in 2007. But they have 3.9 wins per season since the 1995 season.
Not going to lie...math isn't my strong point and I could have easily pressed the wrong button. Let me re-work the data and see what I come up with.
There is no way IU has 134 wins overall since 1994.With only41 league wins in that span,they must have averaged four non conference victories each year..The have no wins in Bowl games since 1991.
1994: 7-4
1995: 2-9
1996: 3-8
1997: 2-9
1998: 4-7
1999: 4-7
2000: 3-9
2001: 5-6
2002: 3-9
2003: 2-10
2004: 3-8
2005: 4-7
2006: 5-7
2007: 7-6
2008: 3-9
2009: 4-8
2010: 5-7
2011: 1-11
2012: 4-8
2013: 5-7
2014: 4-8
2015: 6-7
2016: 6-7
2017: 5-7
Total: 97 wins 185 losses
Average season record 4-7.7 per season
Best 3 year span: 2015-2017 (17-21)
Worst 3 year span: 1995-1997 and 2002-2004 (8-27 and 8-26)
Best Purdue 3 year span: 1997-1999 (25-12)
Worst Purdue 3 year span: 2013-2015 (6-30)
Again, not a great a math guy and likely added a few loses in the win column (probably trying to give them more credit than they deserve so some of those trolls stay away, lol).
Last edited:
OSU (4-2)
@Iowa (4-3)
@PSU (4-4)
Minnesota (5-4)
@MD (5-5)
Mich (5-6)
Purdue
IU better hope they handle the Gophers
@Illini (3-3)
OSU (3-4)
@MSU (3-5)
Iowa (3-6)
@Minnesota (4-6)
Wisconsin (4-7)
Indiana
Purdue better hope they handle the Gophers. They don't have the star power of perennial powerhouses like EMU, so there's some hope.
Honestly I expect PU and IU to both beat Minnesota. They are awful and lost their only two difference makers to season-ending injuries.
OSU (3-4)
@MSU (3-5)
Iowa (3-6)
@Minnesota (4-6)
Wisconsin (4-7)
Indiana
Purdue better hope they handle the Gophers. They don't have the star power of perennial powerhouses like EMU, so there's some hope.
Honestly I expect PU and IU to both beat Minnesota. They are awful and lost their only two difference makers to season-ending injuries.
Last edited:
This schedule is wrong. The home games you show are actually away games and vice versa.
Why won’t Purdue beat Iowa at home? Sure we lost a game we shouldn’t have but we also beat a ranked team as well.
He's a Loosier troll. He knows IU's season is going down the drain starting with OSU. The annual swoon is just beginning.
Similar threads
Latest posts
-
-
Does anyone know if the refs ever review game films?
- Latest: Schmedly_Whiplash
-
-