I just watched the Vermont Albany championship game and have a few observations.
1.) Expect a deliberate offense - the score at half was 27-27 and at the end . . 53-50, so I didn't see anyone with dynamic scoring ability.
2.) They do share the ball well - Like Purdue they move the ball around a lot and are fairly adept at passing within the paint area. (Our achilles' heal)
3,) They score the MAJORITY of their points in the paint (A MAJOR weakness for us)
- expect them to use 2 primary approaches: A.) a guard drives into the paint and stops, turns and feeds a driving guard that rolls in right behind them on the other side of the lane. (Gives them a better chance of getting an close open shot or getting to the rim.) When they do, very seldom does the first guard shoot it unless they can get to the rim.(and I only saw that 1-2 times, which is good) Now that I think about it, there offense is similar to IUs although they are not as athletic as IU (weaves, curls then weakside passes, backcuts, etc..)
B.) Expect to see a LOT of wings rolling into the paint and feeding the weak side forwards who are back-cutting their man. (Our guys need to be prepared for back-cuts which allow their forwards to get to the rim ) It's not as easy for them to drive to the rim themselves from the 3 or 4 position.
4.) Their 6'6 230 freshman forward from NY , Anthony Lamb, is their version of Biggie. He shoots 50% from the field with most coming in the paint, shoots 40% from 3 (normally when left wide open) and appeared to be their "go to" guy doen the stretch. (sound familiar??) If we get him in foul trouble, it will be a big blow to them.
5.) They played man D last year and in the game I watched (Albany) but will double down low, just as they did last year, so Isaac and Biggie have got to be ready to move the ball out of the post if they can't score quickly.
6.) They appeared to be fairly good 3 pt shooters when left wide open (as occurred a few times when the ball got into the paint, but I did not see them taking many or hitting any contested 3s. (So don't expect them to curl and shoot like dakota) Their game, like ours is to get the ball into the paint and go from there. The difference is we pass it in and they drive it in
7.) They appeared to have similar speed and quickness as we do (normally a plus) & will periodically run and take 3s in transition if they get an advantage. (so we have to get back in transiton - nothing new here)
8.) I could be wrong, but they did not appear to be as skilled as a Penn State, Melo, Minnesota in driving the ball - seemed more like a Northwestern with a Blackman-type guard who can get into the paint, but didin't finish many times. In other words, unlike big ten teams who can get to the glass, they do it more to break down the defense and get a closer shot.
9.) IF we had to, a periodic zone might be disruptive to their offense, since they try to drive into the paint with every possession.
10.) By driving into the paint so much they are in better position for rebounds and I believe the baords were pretty even with Haas and Biggie the last time. They will play hard, like a Michigan State inside but I didn't see any athletic freaks of nature to worry about on the boards (6'3-6'8)
11.) I found it interesting that they got a fair amount of their blocks while recovering on driving guards, so Carson should be able to get to the rim on them. (so if he or Vince does, they need to DUNK it versus giving them a chance to pin it to the backboard - they seem to have had practice recovering.
In the end, I left thinking it was a good overall match-up for us in a first game, even though they will get a lot of paint points. (i.e. Just did't think they can score enough points to offset our offense.) I think we will get plenty of good 3 pt looks - we just need to hit a good clip like normal. Our guys should be comfortable matching up against their size and quickness. Advantage Purdue ! ! If I had to fathom a guess, I would say Purdue by 10. (I doubt we hit 18 3s like last year, but probably need about 10-11)