I'm not as heartened by the win over MSU as some, apparently. Rapheal Davis isn't going to hit 6 threes to cover up our defensive issues and turnovers very often. MSU missed three dunks (one of which was blocked by Hammons). We gave up 40-some-odd points in a half again while scoring 20-some-odd. That's the fifth or sixth time that's happened in a game against a quality opponent. Sometimes, good shooting masks other issues, but I really didn't see much in the MSU game that gave me any hope that our ceiling is any higher than the Sweet 16.
We struggle to defend ball screens, and as others have mentioned stretch fours and fives give us issues. Good wing play gives us issues in general, whether it's a guard or a 3.
I can very easily see Michigan beating us on Saturday and the IU game could get very ugly. There are a lot of teams out there capable of beating us, and we do enough to help them almost every night out, whether it's turning the ball over or taking poor shots. I have yet to see us play a game against a quality opponent where we don't go through some stretch of playing just dumb basketball, and it's often Swanigan, Davis, Hill, and Stephens (earlier in the year) that are the most likely culprits when it comes to shots that are as good as turnovers.
There is still time to sort it out before March, but we've got to get the number of truly empty possessions - those that end with a turnover or a shot that's as good as a turnover - way down if we want to do anything past the first weekend.