I can’t bet against my Boilers although I have some doubts tonight. Anyway, I played over Nelson 11.5, over Sears 19.5, over Fletcher 13.5, I’ve been hot on the player props, those are my picks. Let’s go Purdue, had a buddy tell me to come over for the Tyson/Paul fight, told him I’ll see him after the Purdue game.
Alabama -2.5
- Thread starter purduedavie
- Start date
I hate to say it, but I am not worried about winning tonight. I am more interested in how the team functions, particularly in terms of team D and rim protection, rebounding, containment of the dribble, and limiting turnovers.
Not disagreeing, I think those two will score though, hopefully the others are shut down, Sears is a great player, fun to watch, hope he is contained somewhat. Purdue at home can win this.
I do agree that Bama has a very good team this year. But I also think ppl are really downplaying the effect that Mackey will have on Bama as well. They have likely NEVER played in an environment like this before- SEC road games are not the same. I think the home crowd will keep Purdue in this.
When is the last time Purdue was a home dog at Mackey? I bet it's been a few years.
I found the answer on X (Twitter=truth). It was 1/22/21 against Michigan. Purdue was unranked and 11-6 and Michigan was ranked #7. They were favored by 5 and they won by 17.
To me...this year, past years and every year in the future starts with containing the dribble (not a problem personally for me yet
). THAT alone leads to rotations which lead to poor position to defend and rebound. Containing the dribble starts with individual effort (naturally athleticism is huge) and help defense...which overused or improperly used, leads to open looks for the opposition as well as again bad position. Containing the dribble is always a HUGE concern.Now I don't recall if Alabama presses, traps or just belly ups in man, but the athletic part of a fast game should be an advantage for Cam and Myles as well as most the team. It may lessen the impact at the 5 somewhat in a full court game whereas dribble containment in the half is crucial as well. IMO it appears that Purdue trying to be a bit more disruptive on D has also led to some expected out of position defenders which will probably always have the rebounding down a bit on D, but the offensive rebounding diminished by some hot shooting can still be better as well as the 50-50 balls. You would think that Purdue moving a bit more on O would shift the D enough to diminish the natural D position they hold and increase the offensive boards, but we have seen the long boards and 50-50 balls go to the opposition more than desired. Still, a lot of new players that are also very young and inexperienced in play
