If the upcoming game against Kansas in the Sweet Sixteen seems familiar, it's because Purdue has played the #1 seed 5 times in the last 20 years and lost every single one. The one commonality among all these games is that Purdue led every single one in the second half. The three point shots made by Chad Austin against Kansas in 1997 and Robbie Hummel in 2009 to give Purdue short lived leads are etched in my memory. The shockingly strong first halves against Florida and Duke in 2007 and 2010 gave way to brief hope, only for poor second halves to do Purdue in (I haven't even included the brutal loss suffered in 2012 against #2 seed Kansas in a game Purdue would've won with a few free throws late).
So is this Purdue team the one that breaks through and advances past an elite team in the tournament? From a talent perspective, I'd say this team is every bit as good as those previous Sweet Sixteen teams, but has much better overall balance with more shooting. Kansas is going to be difficult to beat if they shoot the three ball well. They are too good in transition as it is, so if they can drill contested jump shots in half court sets, it'll be tough to beat them. They also have an essential homecourt advantage playing in Kansas City.
Still, Purdue is confident and the same Iowa State team Purdue beat also beat Kansas the last time they played (Iowa State hit 18 threes in that game). So Purdue will have to shoot 50%+ from 3 to win it, in my opinion.
So is this Purdue team the one that breaks through and advances past an elite team in the tournament? From a talent perspective, I'd say this team is every bit as good as those previous Sweet Sixteen teams, but has much better overall balance with more shooting. Kansas is going to be difficult to beat if they shoot the three ball well. They are too good in transition as it is, so if they can drill contested jump shots in half court sets, it'll be tough to beat them. They also have an essential homecourt advantage playing in Kansas City.
Still, Purdue is confident and the same Iowa State team Purdue beat also beat Kansas the last time they played (Iowa State hit 18 threes in that game). So Purdue will have to shoot 50%+ from 3 to win it, in my opinion.