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ESPN FPI percentage chance to win in every game

BCfanatic2020

All-American
Jan 5, 2020
11,841
5,546
113
Fresno State 78.5%
at Virginia Tech 54.9%
Syracuse 47.5%
Wisconsin 34.8%
Illinois 52.3%
at Iowa 31.4%
Ohio state 4.4%
at Nebraska 48.8%
at Michigan 6.6%
Minnesota 46.2%
at Northwestern 56.2%
Indiana 75.8%

So they have us at 5-7. With noting that at this point the last two years it was 5-7 and 7-5, because a lot of analysis at this point is just taking the overall performance of the program and almost guessing off of that.

Don’t think so? Matt Rhule is 3-21 in his first season at temple and Baylor and is known for stripping things down to nothing and rebuilding it. Could he be good long term? Yes. This year? We aren’t losing that game.

They have us within 3.8% of 3 more wins. And because I think this team overachieves I think we get 3 between those and wisconsin.

Think I’m nuts? It all sounds great until you hear that Wisconsin was running two man fronts in the spring on defense because they didn’t have anyone. very likely that fickell can do better than Walters over time but still lose a close one at our place. Unless Ohio state is having a 2004ish season I think that’s your upset alert game.
 
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