Win total

Chi-Boiler

Senior
May 8, 2010
3,676
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7.5 Have to pay a little more for the under. I expected it at 7 even.

Also, one of my regular bettors, a big IU/Colts fan, asked me to get our service to give odds on Aidan to win the Heisman. They put it up at +12500.

Purdue is +2500 to win the B1G. Tied for 8th with Sparty.
 

TheGunner

All-American
Gold Member
Aug 30, 2001
11,115
10,475
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My initial thoughts without looking at returning starters and free agent acquisitions”
PSU (25%W)
IN St (99%W)
@Syr (70% W)
FAU (75% W)
@MN (35% W)
@MD (60% W)
NE (50% W)
@WI (25% W)
IA (50% W)
@ILL (75% W)
NW (80% W)
@IU (80% W)
Total (725%)

Yes, I probably have some opponents we historically struggle against (MN, WI, PSU) low and vice versa on opponents we have success against (IU, IL, IA) higher than some might expect.

I think NE will be better based on high # of ret starters (just what I recall from last season).

i think if we are healthy and D Line/pass rush performs well, we could get 9-10 wins, but losing Bell and Karlaftis would seem big.
 
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FirstDownB

All-American
Oct 12, 2015
8,823
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My initial thoughts without looking at returning starters and free agent acquisitions”
PSU (25%W)
IN St (99%W)
@Syr (70% W)
FAU (75% W)
@MN (35% W)
@MD (60% W)
NE (50% W)
@WI (25% W)
IA (50% W)
@ILL (75% W)
NW (80% W)
@IU (80% W)
Total (725%)

Yes, I probably have some opponents we historically struggle against (MN, WI, PSU) low and vice versa on opponents we have success against (IU, IL, IA) higher than some might expect.

I think NE will be better based on high # of ret starters (just what I recall from last season).

i think if we are healthy and D Line/pass rush performs well, we could get 9-10 wins, but losing Bell and Karlaftis would seem big.
Maryland % is too high. They might hang 40+ on our defense. Say 40% for that game. I'd set Wisconsin no higher than 10% based on the 15 game streak alone. If IU doesn't completely suck they have a 50% chance at home. NW is another 50% game at this point - Fitz teams generally don't have consecutive down seasons.

O/U of 7.5 seems about right. This defense just cannot be trusted much beyond that at this point.
 

BoilerN

All-American
Gold Member
May 12, 2017
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Maryland % is too high. They might hang 40+ on our defense. Say 40% for that game. I'd set Wisconsin no higher than 10% based on the 15 game streak alone. If IU doesn't completely suck they have a 50% chance at home. NW is another 50% game at this point - Fitz teams generally don't have consecutive down seasons.

O/U of 7.5 seems about right. This defense just cannot be trusted much beyond that at this point.
Defense was pretty trustworthy last year and returns tons of production.
 
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FirstDownB

All-American
Oct 12, 2015
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Defense was pretty trustworthy last year and returns tons of production.
If you believe in this defense then this is a 9 or 10 win team with the schedule. We've got no proven pass rush. Nobody who could get to the QB while GK was drawing the attention of half the OL.
 
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BoilerN

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If you believe in this defense then this is a 9 or 10 win team with the schedule. We've got no proven pass rush. Nobody who could get to the QB while GK was drawing the attention of half the OL.
I trust in Hagen to develop and the aggressive scheme to aid the pass rush
 
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TheGunner

All-American
Gold Member
Aug 30, 2001
11,115
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Maryland % is too high. They might hang 40+ on our defense. Say 40% for that game. I'd set Wisconsin no higher than 10% based on the 15 game streak alone. If IU doesn't completely suck they have a 50% chance at home. NW is another 50% game at this point - Fitz teams generally don't have consecutive down seasons.

O/U of 7.5 seems about right. This defense just cannot be trusted much beyond that at this point.
My total % adds up to 7 1/4 wins. If MD, WI and IU are all a lower %, then we will need to win a bunch of 50-50 games or other games would need to have a higher % to get to seven games.
 

JWoodsclassof81

Junior
Gold Member
Nov 9, 2017
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If you believe in this defense then this is a 9 or 10 win team with the schedule. We've got no proven pass rush. Nobody who could get to the QB while GK was drawing the attention of half the OL.
we got sacks when GK was sitting out the bowl game. GK wasn't a sack man in college and won't be in the NFL either. But he will be a solid DL in the NFL stopping the run and establishing the edge. He cannot get around dual blockers but they cannot move him out of the way either.