I argued repeatedly that the jump for the next coach from last season to bowl eligibility was not a large one. We don't have the talent to compete at the very top of the conference right now but I always felt we had the talent for 6 wins if we were well coached and had a manageable non-conference schedule. I wasn't sure we had a manageable non-conference schedule when the season started but the Missouri game turned out differently than I expected so now that we are going into conference games at 2-1 I believe we can get the 4 more wins to be bowl eligible.
When you think about it, we were beating Illinois with Hazell so that game should be looked at as winnable. Rutgers? Winnable. We gave away the IU game in Bloomington last year. Winnable.
So then you look at games like Minnesota, Nebraska, at Iowa and at Northwestern and think if we can at least 2 of Illinois, Rutgers, and IU and then find away to split these four then we are there. If we win all three of Illinois, Rutgers, and IU then we only would have to win one of these four to get there. Had we scheduled an easier non-conference (replace Louisville with an easier game) and gone 3-0 we wouldn't have even necessarily needed anything beyond Illinois, Rutgers, and IU.