If I'm a betting man, I'd take Nova. My heart pulls for the Boilers.
This game comes down to our backcourt. We can't turn it over and we need to defend them well enough (you can't stop Nova guards, you can only hope to contain them).
Nova will dictate tempo through their pressure D. I anticipate full court to 3/4 court pressure, even if it is just simple ball pressure from whomever is guarding the ball. The more time it takes our guards to get it across halfcourt and into our offense, the less time we have to get the ball where we like it and it neutralizes our bigs. So, we won't have the opportunity to be as patient on offense as we would like because good opportunities will be harder to come by. We need to be disciplined - limit turnovers, be aggressive and take good shots when the opportunity arises.
Even if we lose, I think we need to be competitive. We obviously want to win, but if we are close, it is a good benchmark for the guards and team down the road of a long season. A good visualization of how we need to perform to beat a really, really good team.