Purdue earned respect today!

[Wolegib]

The opening odds for the Purdue vs Michigan have Purdue as a 9.5 underdog. I think we all kind of expected that. However, in looking at Michigan's last three games, Florida was a 5 point dog, Cincy was a 34 point dog and Air Force was a 23 point dog.

After taking a bloodbath the last three weeks from Purdue beating the spread, the oddsmakers are taking notice and giving Purdue some respect. It's nice to see us being close to Florida and 20 points better than Cincy.

I'm not a betting person, but it's nice to see the oddsmakers taking notice and giving us some respect.

 

[TC4THREE]

As a person who likes to partake in the occasional wager, I find this respect from the oddsmakers annoying. I'd much rather they give us 20 points in this game.

 

[Wolegib]

There are pros and cons to winning. You had your chance to make big money on the first three games. From here on out, we'll either be a favorite or have a low point spread. If I was a betting man, I'd take the under as I expect a low scoring game.

 

[FirstDownB]

Call it respect or whatever you want, but there is going to be an adjustment for a team that absolutely demolishes the point spread 3 weeks in a row. Purdue is on every wise guy's radar now. Actually expected it to be closer to +7 with the 3-0 ATS, home field, and the way our defense played against Mizzou.

 

[TC4THREE]

There are pros and cons to winning. You had your chance to make big money on the first three games. From here on out, we'll either be a favorite or have a low point spread. If I was a betting man, I'd take the under as I expect a low scoring game.

For the record, if I had to bet this game I'd take Purdue with 10 points. Also for the record, I don't like that play enough to bet on it.

 

[takedownboiler]

I think Purdue has earned respect. However when it comes to the spread I think it's more to do with Michigan losing respect so far. They haven't looked very good on offense the last two weeks. If Purdue doesn't turn it over or allow punt/kick returns for TDs. I see this game being very close in the 4th Q.

 

[SqueakyClean]

I saw on one of the Michigan sites that a guy had already put a bet on this game three weeks ago, and the line for the game at that time was -22. That's a pretty big amount of movement.

...and for the record, he was not particularly happy about taking that bet with what he knows now.

 

[Gemini95]

For the record, if I had to bet this game I'd take Purdue with 10 points. Also for the record, I don't like that play enough to bet on it.

I think it's about right. 23-13 UM.

 

[TC4THREE]

I think it's about right. 23-13 UM.

Agree. About where I would put it. 10 is enough to make me lean Purdue but not enough to where I feel strongly enough to bet it. I lean Purdue because with Michigan's offense struggling, you would hope the worst-case scenario for Purdue might leave them down 14-18 late in the game which would still give you a shot at the backdoor cover. My range is like this:

14+ - bet Purdue
10-13.5 - lean Purdue
7-9.5 - lean Michigan
under 7 - bet Michigan

Since the line is right in the middle of where I'd bet I'll look for something else.