Delete....someone must have hijacked his board.
Sorry if I got IU fans excited.
Sorry if I got IU fans excited.
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Lunardi has Indiana and 7 others from Big in the show...
- Thread starter TwinDegrees2
- Start date
Are you looking at his latest release from the 23rd? http://m.espn.com/ncb/bracketology?iteration=238®ion=3&year=2017
Lunardi has been really off based off what he projects vs actual on selection Sunday the last few years. I look at his brackets more from the entertainment standpoint, Ken Palms bracket is actually much closer year in and year out..
Probably crushed them. Getting into the tournament would guarantee Queen another 7 years.
Lunardi has only been good at picking the teams who will be in the dance. He has never been close to seeding tham correctly.
https://www.sportsinsights.com/blog/how-accurate-are-joe-lunardis-bracketology-predictions/
"In 2015, Lunardi correctly projected 66 of 68 schools with accurate predictions on the exact seed of 42 teams. ***
The table below displays how many teams were picked correctly, how many seeds were picked correctly and how many teams were within +/- one seed over the past decade."
YEAR CORRECT TEAMS CORRECT SEEDS SEEDS CORRECT +/- 1
2015 66 42 61
2014 67 39 60
2013 68 34 58
2012 67 35 61
2011 65 30 55
2010 64 27 54
2009 64 30 55
2008 65 29 54
2007 63 19 48
2006 63 29 49
Is this supposed to be impressive? About 90% of the field are considered locks. Wonder what his batting average is on bubble teams only.
Not necessarily FDB; just providing more info for people to judge for themselves with their own perspective, and for entertainment purposes. Like Heller, my view is he is pretty good on getting the field right.....not good with seeding.
The bubble this year is weak.
I also have started looking more at Palm's brackets. Right now, he has Purdue as the 4 in the East, playing in Milwaukee with ND as the 5. Generally, though, I think the committee steers away from rematches if it can.
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Wait...are your telling me Heller doesn't know what the hell he's talking about? Nahhhhh...
Well, the NCAA has told you the top 16, so that is approximately 25% of the field. Plus, you can write in conference tournament winners and that is half the field. So the number left over starts to shrink markedly. It really is not that hard.
Of the guys who've been doing this for a while, he's better than average. But no one is exceptional at picking the actual seed.
http://www.bracketmatrix.com/rankings.html
Okay, he's better than average. However anyone who put in a third the time he does could probably get 40 of the 68 seeds.
I was giving Joe the benefit of the doubt, but I agree.
