Looking Ahead: Cincinnati

[boiledmeconium]

Some observations comparing UC's game against UT-M and PU's game against EKU. UT-M and EKU are in the same OVC conference.

• Beat FCS foe UT-Martin 28-7, after trailing 6-7 at the half, at home. (Imagine the pandemonium on this board if that happened to Purdue today)
  • UT-M was picked to finish 4th in the OVC, two spots below EKU
• Was not dominant on Offense despite their history of being a high flying offense.
  • Struggled to run the ball consistently, 4.1 ypc average, compared to PU 6.7 ypc against EKU
  • Their QB was more efficient than ours (7.6 vs 5.7 ypa), and threw 3 TD vs 1 Int
• Their Defense was pretty much dominant against their FCS foe, despite UT-M driving for a TD in their opening drive
  • They held UT-M to 3.6 ypc as a team, but did allow Jamie Bowe to rush for 102 yars on 18 carries (5.7 ypc)
  • 2 int's, including a pick-six to seal the game in the 4th
  • Didn't allow another score the rest of the game after the first TD drive.
  • Purdue, however, was decidedly NOT dominant, against EKU.
  • Gunnar Holcomb (UTM) looked more like Mauk than Coney, however. He was terrible.
  • UT-M had their share of penalties in the red zone, spoiling an opportunity for another score.

My prescription for beating UC:

1. Run, Markell, Run
2. Play action pass
3. Force QB Moore into bad throws and INTs
4. Stop the run

What I think will happen:

• Purdue is unable to pressure Moore and he throws for 400 yards and 4 TDs, 2 ints
• Their running game is stymied, however
• Purdue runs for 250 yards and 4 TDs, total
• Blough will need to win this game with a TD pass or two.

Prediction: Purdue 35, UC 31. But it could easily be 42-7 UC. Who knows?

 

[BoilerBulldog]

Thank you for the analysis. Very helpful. I agree with you. I think we should be able to win but I've been let down (many, many) times before.

 

[OhioBoiler3]

Cincy offense isn't as explosive as last year. They lost a TON of very good WR's. We've got a shot but need to play well and get more pressure on Moore.

 

[tigerchump]

If Purdue loses next week by 42 to 7,I will be stunned.Certainly they are a little better than on opening day,2013.

 

[BoilerBiker]

One game further... Nevada nearly got beat by cal poly.
Pulling off the 3-0 start looks within reach

 

[boiledmeconium]

If Purdue loses next week by 42 to 7,I will be stunned.Certainly they are a little better than on opening day,2013.

I believe they are better, but we just don't know what we have with this team yet. My gut says we beat them, logic says we have a chance, but we'll see next week.

 

[boiledmeconium]

One game further... Nevada nearly got beat by cal poly.
Pulling off the 3-0 start looks within reach

Man, I hope the Boilers can pull that off. How long has it been since we started 3-0?

 

[ghostoffatjack]

Whoa Nellie...gotta be 2-0 before you start thinking 3-0! We are far from a proven football team!

 

[BoilerBiker]

Whoa Nellie...gotta be 2-0 before you start thinking 3-0! We are far from a proven football team!

My kool aid has everclear.... let me enjoy

 

[tigerchump]

I dont think Purdue has started 2 and 0 since 2007.

 

[IronChefBBQ]

Just what we need - A 4-0 start to build support for CDH before the 0-8 finish...

 

[BoilerBiker]

Just what we need - A 4-0 start to build support for CDH before the 0-8 finish...

If we go 4-0, I'd likely be inclined to give more credit to Malone than DH2

 

[boiledmeconium]

Just what we need - A 4-0 start to build support for CDH before the 0-8 finish...

If we go 4-0, I'd likely be inclined to give more credit to Malone than DH2

100% Malone and Els, if we go 4-0. I'd like to get to 2-0 first though.

 

[boiledmeconium]

Cincy offense isn't as explosive as last year. They lost a TON of very good WR's. We've got a shot but need to play well and get more pressure on Moore.

I rewatched the Cincy game and it seems like their o-line and d-line got pushed around a bit quite a bit by FCS UTMartin. I'm now feeling much better about getting pressure on Moore and being able run and pass block next Saturday. I'm betting on Purdue by a score.

 

[BoilerBiker]

Cincy is currently 6/6.5 favorites

 

[OhioBoiler3]

Not much optimism From their fans, most picking us to win. Bearcattalk.com if you want to take a look

 

[CincyCats85]

Will be traveling up to the game this Saturday and looking for the best option for tailgating. Looking forward to a great game between two teams that have a lot to prove.

 

[OhioBoiler3]

IM lots would be your best bet!

 

[rgarlitz]

This game ought to be about pride for the Purdue seniors.

Cincy authored one of the most memorable shellackings in recent Purdue football history four years ago to open the Hazel era.

 

[ahhculdee]

Mock them with Harambe is the fan strategy.

 

[FirstDownB]

Mock them with Harambe is the fan strategy.

D!cks out for the Bearcat?

 

[Bullwhip Griffith]

I rewatched the Cincy game and it seems like their o-line and d-line got pushed around a bit quite a bit by FCS UTMartin. I'm now feeling much better about getting pressure on Moore and being able run and pass block next Saturday. I'm betting on Purdue by a score.

Does Cincy run a hurry up offense or more of a huddle up one?

 

[Bullwhip Griffith]

Will be traveling up to the game this Saturday and looking for the best option for tailgating. Looking forward to a great game between two teams that have a lot to prove.

As Ohio Boiler said: IM lots...pretty well marked from every direction.

$20 and just about 3/4 a mile from the stadium

 

[Gemini95]

Cincy 47, PU 34

4-0 start LOL

 

[boiledmeconium]

Does Cincy run a hurry up offense or more of a huddle up one?

In that game, they ran a no-huddle offense, where they quickly get into formation (usually 4wide, 1 back) then stop and everyone looks to the sideline for the play call. Their tempo was not as fast as EKU's hurry up offense, and they substituted personnel more frequently. However, seems like they could easily pick up the pace considerable more, especially if they see how we struggled with it against EKU.

I noticed in the EKU game that they went super-fast hurry up offense right after Replogle and Wilson were substituted out for Newton and Neal. Then, they were stuck out there and EKU had more favorable matchups in the interior line - less pressure, more running lanes. Cincinnati could pick that up in film and exploit it as well. The silver lining was that Replogle and Wilson were fresh late in the game.

 

[Bullwhip Griffith]

In that game, they ran a no-huddle offense, where they quickly get into formation (usually 4wide, 1 back) then stop and everyone looks to the sideline for the play call. Their tempo was not as fast as EKU's hurry up offense, and they substituted personnel more frequently. However, seems like they could easily pick up the pace considerable more, especially if they see how we struggled with it against EKU. I noticed in the EKU game that they went super-fast hurry up offense right after Replogle and Wilson were substituted out for Newton and Neal. Then, they were stuck out there and EKU had more favorable matchups in the interior line - less pressure, more running lanes. Cincinnati could pick that up in film and exploit it as well. The silver lining was that Replogle and Wilson were fresh late in the game.

Thanks.

As someone else posted, not having a third DT is really hurting once Wilson and Jake need a breather. Hopefully with Larkin coming back they can use Panfil a bit more inside to help balance it all out.

Being 275 now, i wonder how Gelen would do inside on oncassion.

 

[boiledmeconium]

Thanks.

As someone else posted, not having a third DT is really hurting once Wilson and Jake need a breather. Hopefully with Larkin coming back they can use Panfil a bit more inside to help balance it all out.

Being 275 now, i wonder how Gelen would do inside on oncassion.

No problem.

Yes, I really wish Howard came back. He'd still be playing football right now for a much better coach. We would be much deeper solely with his addition. I know Hazell is trying to run a tight ship, but man, he would have helped.

 

[LafayetteTom]

I rewatched the Cincy game and it seems like their o-line and d-line got pushed around a bit quite a bit by FCS UTMartin. I'm now feeling much better about getting pressure on Moore and being able run and pass block next Saturday. I'm betting on Purdue by a score.

UC started some back up o linemen, and eventually put the starters back in. 3-4 of their WRs from last season all made the 53 man NFL rosters so they are breaking in some new guys this season. Mike Boone is a big play RB if he gets loose. Fast, quick and strong. He had a bad game last week. Not sure if Cincy's issue last week was effort or skill, new players and a new OC? Cincy also held out their really good kicker, Gantz. He is probably ok now. Their D actually played pretty good. Whoever wins the turnover battle wins the game.

 

[LafayetteTom]

Not much optimism From their fans, most picking us to win. Bearcattalk.com if you want to take a look

http://csnbbs.com/forum-401.html this is most active Cincy board or the 247sports.com one. Also if you like an active college football and bball board
http://csnbbs.com/forum-637.html

 

[New Pal Boiler]

No problem.

Yes, I really wish Howard came back. He'd still be playing football right now for a much better coach. We would be much deeper solely with his addition. I know Hazell is trying to run a tight ship, but man, he would have helped.

Or, he could have recruited more than 2 quality DTs in his 4 recruiting classes.

 

[boiledmeconium]

Or, he could have recruited more than 2 quality DTs in his 4 recruiting classes.

That is very true. His projects (Fred Brown, and Johnny Daniels) haven't developed into legitimate B1G tackles. Remember when we had KK Short and Gaston next to Kerrigan? Man...

 

[OhioBoiler3]

Daniels plays OL now.

 

[boiledmeconium]

UC started some back up o linemen, and eventually put the starters back in. 3-4 of their WRs from last season all made the 53 man NFL rosters so they are breaking in some new guys this season. Mike Boone is a big play RB if he gets loose. Fast, quick and strong. He had a bad game last week. Not sure if Cincy's issue last week was effort or skill, new players and a new OC? Cincy also held out their really good kicker, Gantz. He is probably ok now. Their D actually played pretty good. Whoever wins the turnover battle wins the game.

After watching the game again, it seemed that UT-M was shooting themselves in the foot all game. They were 1-4 in the red zone in the first half, with the single TD to show for it. They had 3 penalties, missed two FGs and fumbled an exchanged - 6 unforced errors. If they could have turned those into, say, 14 points, it's a different ball game going into the half 21-6. I feel good about our running game and hope Malone has a good game plan going in.

So, yes win the the over battle like you say, but also no stupid penalties and this game is ours.

 

[boiledmeconium]

Daniels plays OL now.

Exactly.

 

[New Pal Boiler]

Daniels plays OL now.

Well, he doesn't exactly play OL.