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February 13-15 Bubble Talk

TC4THREE

All-American
Mar 20, 2002
40,540
23,958
113
Again, Lunardi last updated
his brackets before Thursday's games so these rankings don't reflect last
night's games. Below is combination of facts and my opinion.



Thursday Results:



Purdue
won at rpi 131 Rutgers

Illinois
won vs rpi Michigan

Old
Dominion lost at rpi 208 UTSA




Last Four Byes - 46 - Texas
A&M - 16-7(7-4) - Thursday night result - NO GAME - This
Weekend - 2/14 vs Florida - Next Week - 2/17 vs LSU, 2/21 @ South Carolina


Last Four Byes - 27 -
Colorado State - 21-4(8-4) - Thursday night result - NO GAME - This
Weekend - 2/14 at San Diego State - Next Week - 2/18 at Fresno State, 2/21 vs
Air Force


Last Four Byes - 52 - LSU -
17-7(6-5) - Thursday night result - NO GAME - This
Weekend - 2/14 at Tennessee - Next Week - 2/17 at Texas A&M, 2/21 vs
Florida


Last Four Byes - 34 - Temple
- 18-7(9-3) - Thursday night result - NO GAME - This Weekend
- 2/14 vs ECU - Next Week - 2/19 at SMU, 2/22 at Tulsa


Last Four In - 44 - Illinois
- 17-8(7-5) - Thursday night result - Won vs Michigan -
This Weekend - 2/15 at Wisconsin - Next Week - 2/22 vs Michigan State


Last Four In - 43 - St.
John's - 16-8(5-6) - Thursday night result - NO GAME - This
Weekend - 2/14 at Xavier - Next Week - 2/17 at Georgetown, 2/21 vs Seton Hall


Last Four In - 42 - UCLA -
15-10(7-5) - Thursday night result - NO GAME - This
Weekend - 2/14 vs Oregon - Next Week - 2/18 at Arizona State, 2/21 at Arizona


Last Four In - 48 - Old
Dominion - 18-5(7-4) - Thursday night result - Lost at UTSA - This
Weekend - 2/14 at UTEP - Next Week - 2/19 vs Southern Miss, 2/21 vs Louisiana
Tech


First Four Out - 39 - Boise
State - 18-6(8-3) - Thursday night result - NO GAME - This
Weekend - 2/14 at Fresno State - Next Week - 2/18 at UNLV, 2/21 vs Nevada


First Four Out - 64 - Miami
- 15-9(5-6) - Thursday night result - NO GAME - This
Weekend - 2/15 at Boston College - Next Week - 2/18 vs Virginia Tech, 2/21 at
Louisville


First Four Out - 53 - Oregon
- 18-7(8-4) - Thursday night result - NO GAME - This
Weekend - 2/14 at UCLA - Next Week - 2/18 vs Colorado, 2/22 vs Utah


First Four Out - 68 - Seton
Hall - 15-9(5-7) - Thursday night result - NO GAME - This
Weekend - 2/14 at Providence - Next Week - 2/16 at Villanova, 2/21 at St.
John's


Next Four Out - 69 - Purdue
- 16-9(8-4) - Thursday night result - Won at Rutgers -
This Weekend - 2/15 vs Nebraska - Next Week - 2/19 at IU


Next Four Out - 71 - Rhode
Island - 16-6(8-3) - Thursday night result - NO GAME - This
Weekend - 2/14 vs St. Louis - Next Week - 2/18 vs UMASS, 2/21 at George Mason


Next Four Out - 65 - George
Washington - 17-7(7-4) - Thursday night result - NO GAME - This Weekend
- 2/14 vs VCU - Next Week - 2/18 vs Davidson, 2/21 at Richmond


Next Four Out - 70 -
Davidson - 16-6(7-4) - Thursday night result - NO GAME - This
Weekend - 2/14 at La Salle - Next Week - 2/18 at George Washington, 2/21 vs
Fordham











Friday Night's Games of
Interest


There's a couple of Pac 12 games tonight but neither should be of any
consequence to the bubble picture.



Saturday's Games of Interest

Ohio State at Michigan State (12:00, ESPN) - MSU has potential for a late free
fall which could push them to the bubble and further down the conference
standings. This game could get them started.

St. John's at Xavier (12:30) - Right now St. John's is in as a 12 seed. A
win at Xavier would help them. Xavier currently projected as a 9 seed.

St. Bonaventure at Dayton (12:30, NBCS) - Dayton currently projected as a #9
seed. A St. Bonaventure win couldn't hurt our chances.

Rhode Island vs St. Louis (2:00) - St. Louis is awful and Rhode
Island should win. For our purposes, we probably want all the top teams
in the A-10 to lose as much as possible except VCU (Dayton, Rhode Island,
UMASS, Davidson, GW).

Davidson at LaSalle (2:00) - LaSalle is capable of winning this game but is not
in the bubble picture. Davidson barely hanging in Lunardi's bubble teams.

GW vs VCU (2:00, ESPN2)- see above. VCU is closest to a lock at-large in
the A-10 so we want them to beat the other top teams as much as possible.

Temple vs ECU (2:00, CBSSN) - Temple should win easily. If not, a very
bad home loss for them.

UCLA vs Oregon (3:00) - Two teams right on each side of the bubble with UCLA
currently in and Oregon currently out. We will probably be ahead of the
loser of this game if we beat Nebraska.

LSU at Tennessee (4:00, SECN) - Tennessee still not in the bubble picture so
them beating LSU would close the gap between us and LSU.

NC State at Louisville (4:00, ESPN) - NC State is currently at an RPI of 61.
A win here would bring them closer to making them another top 50 win for
us.

Seton Hall at Providence (4:00) - First of 3 tough road games for Seton Hall.
They will either play themselves in (doubtful) or out (more likely) over
the next week and a half.

Texas A&M vs Florida (6:30, SECN) - Florida is too far from the bubble to
worry about so a win of A&M could close the gap between us and Texas
A&M.

Boise St. at
Fresno St. (7:00, ESPN3) - Boise is one of 3 MWC teams that can get an
at-large. Fresno knocked off one of them in SDSU and now has the other 2
coming in for their next two with Boise up first.

Kansas State vs Oklahoma (8:00, ESPN2) - Kansas State is in a free fall and
their RPI is on the wrong side of 100. A few more wins and a top 100 RPI
would make our loss to them look a little better.

Colorado St at San Diego St (8:00, CBSSN)- Lunardi has SDSU as a 9 and CSU as a
10. Probably better if SDSU wins this one at home.

Old Dominion at UTEP (9:00) - ODU had a bad loss Thursday at UTSA and play a
stronger team on the road Saturday in UTEP. ODU is only Conf-USA team
with at-large possibilities so we want them to lose.



Sunday's Games of Interest

Illinois at Wisconsin (1:00, CBS) - Illinois win would put them all but in the
NCAA which we don't want. On Wisconsin!

Iowa at Northwestern (3:00, BTN) - Iowa home loss to Minnesota hurt them badly
and they should fall from the #8 Lunardi had them at before that loss. A
loss at NW would certainly push them to the bubble?

Stanford at Colorado (4:00, FS1) - Stanford loss at Utah last night probably
won't hurt them much but a loss at Colorado could push them down into our territory.

Purdue vs Nebraska (5:15, ESPN) - I think a Purdue win would be most beneficial
here.

Miami (FL) at Boston College (6:30, ESPNU) - They are kind of in the same boat
we are. Any bad loss will kill them and this would be a pretty bad one.

Minnesota at IU (7:30, BTN) - Minnesota could play themselves into the bubble
talk with a strong finish but they'll have to win a couple of big games on the
road. This would be one.

Lunardi's Bracketology
 
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