Maybe, but maybe not. 2 factors at play, for one, who passes up that 3 to 4 million? Not me, sorry. 4 million is what will make in 30 years of work. (ceteris parabis) Secondly, He can get that next contract sooner, which is potentially the money making contract of his career. Getting to that second contract is probably whats best for Carsen. Granted, staying in college has its benefits as you state if and only if he becomes that 1st round canidate, which he could actually do worse than this year. His stock is high right now. I don't see any higher 6ft0 players, so basically he is the best player for his height. Maybe he would rather shatter every scoring record Purdue has, get the fame where he could walk on and be a shooting coach wherever he wants. Chances are he will want to go back home to Texas. I remember reading he did feel a bit home sick in Indiana. I think after an NBA career Carsen will have a long career in being some sort of developmental coach/motivational. Rambling over. I still think NBA now is his best option.Yes Carsen is a first round pick. But maybe not this year. Every Scout/GM knows how prolific of a scorer he is and how he is a game changer. But they’re scared of how well that translates to the next level with NBA length. They want to see more “true” point guard abilities. He come’s back next year, average’s 8 assists/gm while putting up 20 ppg, show these scouts that he can facilitate while also being a scorer, he’s a top 15 pick next year, easily.
Mid 2nd rd money over 3 years: $3-4 million.
Mid 1st rd money over 3 years: $9 million.
The way I see it, he come’s back for his senior season, does his thing, get’s into that top 15 range, he’s making himself an additional $5-6 million over the first 3 years. Going out now is costing him money IMO