So, shocking as it may seem to some on here who think me to the left of Satan...on other, much more liberal websites, I've not been on the side of "Bernie the savior" which a vocal minority seems to have engaged in.
I think his appeal has about capped out. He's snarfed up the liberal, white, progressive vote, but Hillary remains strong with minorities and women (I'm talking Dem primary here). Since women alone make up slightly over half of all Dem primary voters, and minorities make up almost 40 percent, I see those two demographics as pretty much guaranteeing Hillary a win, all things being equal (that is something doesn't come along to make her significantly damaged or she commits some form of political hari kari).
Sander's supporters bring up Obama in 07, but Obama in 07 had access and appeal to the entire range of primary demographics, minorities, women, young voters...all of them were willing to listen to him, and he eventually won them over.
However, even then, Hillary still ended up winning the popular primary vote. She lost the nomination because Obama's team was smarter, and realized how the caucus delegate voters worked, and that you could end up with more delegates than your opponent even if you lost the statewide "popular vote." That's on her of course, but the point is she went up against an historic, dynamic campaigner, and almost won.
Bernie is not that. I like him. I'd vote for him in the GE, but I see no path to victory for him save a Hillary collapse.
Of course, if Trump goes independent or somehow wins the nomination, then the Dems can nominate anyone over the age of 35 and have a likely chance of winning.
So who here thinks Sanders is viable to win the primary? Or the GE?
I think his appeal has about capped out. He's snarfed up the liberal, white, progressive vote, but Hillary remains strong with minorities and women (I'm talking Dem primary here). Since women alone make up slightly over half of all Dem primary voters, and minorities make up almost 40 percent, I see those two demographics as pretty much guaranteeing Hillary a win, all things being equal (that is something doesn't come along to make her significantly damaged or she commits some form of political hari kari).
Sander's supporters bring up Obama in 07, but Obama in 07 had access and appeal to the entire range of primary demographics, minorities, women, young voters...all of them were willing to listen to him, and he eventually won them over.
However, even then, Hillary still ended up winning the popular primary vote. She lost the nomination because Obama's team was smarter, and realized how the caucus delegate voters worked, and that you could end up with more delegates than your opponent even if you lost the statewide "popular vote." That's on her of course, but the point is she went up against an historic, dynamic campaigner, and almost won.
Bernie is not that. I like him. I'd vote for him in the GE, but I see no path to victory for him save a Hillary collapse.
Of course, if Trump goes independent or somehow wins the nomination, then the Dems can nominate anyone over the age of 35 and have a likely chance of winning.
So who here thinks Sanders is viable to win the primary? Or the GE?