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An argument against playoff expansion

njm8845

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Jul 1, 2008
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I am very against expanding the playoff to 8 teams. I can understand why those in power would advocate for it, as more games = more money.

But look at the games this weekend. There would be no excitement for the game in Indy, because both MSU and Iowa would likely be in.

Clemson would be in no matter what, and you could argue they should lose to help the conference get two teams in.

Teams like ND and OSU would join Oklahoma in sitting idle this weekend and still get in.

Expanding the playoffs waters down the regular season, which can be argued is a type of 12 game double elimination playoff anyway. And I like how it leaves one conference (plus ND) watching from home. Creates a ton more intrigue and raises the stakes, as opposed to being egalitarian and saying every conference champ gets a slot.

How many times in the past has the 8th best team in the country been anywhere near as good as the best? It doesn't even add football games, as the 5th-8th ranked teams are in good bowls now as it stands.

Any dissenting opinions here?
 
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If they go to 8, I would say can the conference title games. I am OK with that as I think they are stupid as a whole. For every one good one you get, there are three blowouts. With the playoff they are not as relevant.
 
I am very against expanding the playoff to 8 teams. I can understand why those in power would advocate for it, as more games = more money.

But look at the games this weekend. There would be no excitement for the game in Indy, because both MSU and Iowa would likely be in.

Clemson would be in no matter what, and you could argue they should lose to help the conference get two teams in.

Teams like ND and OSU would join Oklahoma in sitting idle this weekend and still get in.

Expanding the playoffs waters down the regular season, which can be argued is a type of 12 game double elimination playoff anyway. And I like how it leaves one conference (plus ND) watching from home. Creates a ton more intrigue and raises the stakes, as opposed to being egalitarian and saying every conference champ gets a slot.

How many times in the past has the 8th best team in the country been anywhere near as good as the best? It doesn't even add football games, as the 5th-8th ranked teams are in good bowls now as it stands.

Any dissenting opinions here?


I was against having a playoff, but now that we have it, at least eight, but probably 16, 24, or 33 should get in. Why is it only for the elite? What about teams like Purdue?
 
There should be a 128 team playoff and the winner crowned based on who has the most variety of majors and loves their coaches the most. But, seriously, 4 is enough. The playoff should be just big enough to make room for any team with a legitimate claim to #1 based on regular season results.
 
I would like to see it increased to the top 12 teams. In the first round, the top 4 get a bye. It would take 4 weeks; just twice the current time. The first few rounds would run concurrent to garbage bowls. And, the most exciting part is that there is the chance that some of those elite teams with a legitimate claim to #1 would/could get knocked off.
 
If they go to 8, I would say can the conference title games. I am OK with that as I think they are stupid as a whole. For every one good one you get, there are three blowouts. With the playoff they are not as relevant.

I don't want the season to drag on. Agreed - either the conference title games have to be eliminated or worked into the playoff.

I know these games are huge money makers for the conference, hence why they exist. And whether it would make as much money to get rid of/integrate them is a question I suppose (there'd be more pieces of the pie).
 
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I don't want the season to drag on. Agreed - either the conference title games have to be eliminated or worked into the playoff.

I know these games are huge money makers for the conference, hence why they exist. And whether it would make as much money to get rid of/integrate them is a question I suppose (there'd be more pieces of the pie).
I would prefer an 8 team playoff.
If setup like this, conf title games only increase in importance.
(Byes - I'm not a big fan, I wouldnt want that for college)

1-5: power five conf title game champions (big12 would have to create one).
6-8: could argue either at large with no restrictions, or maybe say 1 could be designated for a non power six school if bcs ranking is high enough for an auto selection, similar to before.

This makes conf championships even more important, and takes away from a committee more also.
The committee would only choose seeding and the two at larges.

(Forgot its p5 not p6 anymore)
 
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I am one of those probably in the minority that would keep it at four. As the OP stated, this year is a very good example of how if it were eight, the regular season would be totally watered down. Notre Dame (and I think Kelly did a really good job of keeping his team in contention with the rash of injuries to key players) and Ohio State would likely get in, and I think both would have as good a shot as any to win it. Notre Dame already lost to Clemson (as well as Stanford who would also likely be one of the eight). Ohio State already lost to MSU. Those games now become just for seeding or tie-breaking purposes in limited circumstances.

If you have to expand, I say go to six....with #1 and #2 getting byes.

I also realize most people "hate" the computers, but I also think there is still too much "subjectivity" in the current system. I would have looked for input to improve the BCS formula and then use that. However, I will say that I think the "Committee" has done a better job so far than I thought it would.....though far from ideal.

I know......."Bah Humbug......."

Also, as difficult as it is to pull for the "most hated" rival, I think they deserve a shot in the Rose Bowl, but I will be absolutely shocked if it's not the Buckeyes in Pasadena.
 
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Completely disagree. You at least need to get every P5 champion in and since 5 doesn't really work for a playoff you might as well go with 8.

Award three wild cards with a new being reserved for the top rated non P5 and non ND champion that way if you have an undefeated Boise State or AAC champion they have an avenue to get in. I'd give the last two spots to the top rated teams that were not conference champs with the caveat that no conference gets both of those wild card spots.

It might water down yesterday's games a bit but I can assure you that Clemson isn't taking the day off and leaving their fate at the hands of a committee and throw away the chance at the top seed just to get a second ACC team in. Iowa and MSU would not take it easy and feel comfortable that the loser of that game gets in when the loser has to go up against every other team in the country for one of two spots.

In short, I'd rather have all the right teams in than not enough and 8 teams shifts the drama a little but not much. Every team will want that automatic bid and if two undefeated teams are going at it in a CCG neither team is going to throw away a conference championship and a shot at an undefeated season to rest up for the playoffs.
 
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Completely disagree. You at least need to get every P5 champion in and since 5 doesn't really work for a playoff you might as well go with 8.

Award three wild cards with a new being reserved for the top rated non P5 and non ND champion that way if you have an undefeated Boise State or AAC champion they have an avenue to get in. I'd give the last two spots to the top rated teams that were not conference champs with the caveat that no conference gets both of those wild card spots.

It might water down yesterday's games a bit but I can assure you that Clemson isn't taking the day off and leaving their fate at the hands of a committee and throw away the chance at the top seed just to get a second ACC team in. Iowa and MSU would not take it easy and feel comfortable that the loser of that game gets in when the loser has to go up against every other team in the country for one of two spots.

In short, I'd rather have all the right teams in than not enough and 8 teams shifts the drama a little but not much. Every team will want that automatic bid and if two undefeated teams are going at it in a CCG neither team is going to throw away a conference championship and a shot at an undefeated season to rest up for the playoffs.

TC,

I understand the other side of this; good points.....just my preference. For years I thought there should be something better than the 1/2 BCS.....it will be interesting if there is an expansion, if anyone (they won't) address all of the fallacious arguments for why there couldn't be a play-off in years past.

A couple of questions.....if you use conference champs, which conferences? Just the "Gang of Five?" How do you select "wild-card" teams? Same process? Is there a rule limiting teams from the same conference? I haven't seen the final breakdown beyond the top four, but you could otherwise have three teams from the Big Ten this year.....could you see the uproar in SEC country?

I just don't like putting more discretion into this committee......no matter how well-meaning it is. Also, I think there should be some "advantage" for the teams that performed really well......perhaps you have home games for those teams in the first round.

In the end......it's all about the $$$$$$$$$$$. Most of us can probably agree on that.
 
TC,

I understand the other side of this; good points.....just my preference. For years I thought there should be something better than the 1/2 BCS.....it will be interesting if there is an expansion, if anyone (they won't) address all of the fallacious arguments for why there couldn't be a play-off in years past.

A couple of questions.....if you use conference champs, which conferences? Just the "Gang of Five?" How do you select "wild-card" teams? Same process? Is there a rule limiting teams from the same conference? I haven't seen the final breakdown beyond the top four, but you could otherwise have three teams from the Big Ten this year.....could you see the uproar in SEC country?

I just don't like putting more discretion into this committee......no matter how well-meaning it is. Also, I think there should be some "advantage" for the teams that performed really well......perhaps you have home games for those teams in the first round.

In the end......it's all about the $$$$$$$$$$$. Most of us can probably agree on that.

Yea the automatic bids go to the five major conference champions (B1G, ACC, SEC, Big 12, PAC 12). You reserve one bid specifically for the most highly rated teams of the non P5 conferences. Then two wild cards that can come from anywhere but both can't come from the same conference. I would use some computer ranking system that combines various elements to determine both the top rated non P5 team, and the two wild cards that must come from different conferences. I would then use the rankings to seed all 8 teams as well. Winning a conference championship might get you into the playoffs but it doesn't necessarily mean you get seeded ahead of a wild card team. Let's assume the final rankings from the selection committee were used in my system. You have 5 conference champions in Clemson, Alabama, MSU, Stanford and Oklahoma. The top rated non P5 team (also excluding ND) is Houston who happened to win the AAC so they get in. Iowa is ranked #5 so they get in and prevents the Big Ten from getting a 3rd team in so we must skip Ohio State at #7 and take Notre Dame at #8.

1. Clemson
2. Alabama
3. Michigan State
4. Oklahoma
5. Iowa
6 Stanford
8. Notre Dame
18. Houston

Matchups
Houston at Clemson
Notre Dame at Alabama
Stanford at MSU
Iowa at Oklahoma
 
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There should be a 128 team playoff and the winner crowned based on who has the most variety of majors and loves their coaches the most. But, seriously, 4 is enough. The playoff should be just big enough to make room for any team with a legitimate claim to #1 based on regular season results.
128 teams? That would still leave us on the bubble. Better go to 192. It will finish just in time for march madness to start.
 
I completely agree with Purdue Grad.... how on earth does increasing the playoff teams increase drama of conference championships? The majority of games this weekend would not mean anything. SEC game? If Bama loses, it doesn't matter because they're in anyway. ACC game? Clemson loses, it doesn't matter because they're in anyway. P12 game? Stanford loses, it doesn't matter because they're in anyway. B10 game? Doesn't matter, they're both in. Absolutely no intrigue whatsoever.

I like having a conference championship. With the 2 divisions, how can we declare a B10 champ otherwise? Would we have been ok saying Iowa was the champ when they didn't play MSU, OSU, or Michigan?

Why do we need every P5 champion to get in the playoffs? That's the ultimate entitlement system. Instead, let the best teams in. Not too long ago, the B10 didn't have a team in the top 8. I wish that wasn't the case, but no way do I think that the champ automatically should have displaced a better team just because we're the B10.

Now, I like the excitement of basically "lose two games and you're out" method of determining who gets in the playoff. Increasing it to 8 teams, the regular season suddenly doesn't matter as much. It also encourages weak scheduling. Currently the pressure is on to stack your schedule with good teams. In an 8 team playoff, the Baylor's and UNC's would be fine playing a weak schedule and losing 1 game. That's not good for college football.

TC43 - In your ranking, why does a 2 loss ND get in over a 1 loss OSU? Just because OSU happens to be in a conference with other good teams?


On a different subject, I agree that computers need to make up at least a component of the rankings. I'm a big sabermetrics guy, and I feel that when we went to the 100% humans picking, it was a step backward. The computers are good at ignoring the name on the jersey.
 
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I completely agree with Purdue Grad.... how on earth does increasing the playoff teams increase drama of conference championships? The majority of games this weekend would not mean anything. SEC game? If Bama loses, it doesn't matter because they're in anyway. ACC game? Clemson loses, it doesn't matter because they're in anyway. P12 game? Stanford loses, it doesn't matter because they're in anyway. B10 game? Doesn't matter, they're both in. Absolutely no intrigue whatsoever.

I think your logic is backwards. You like having a conference champion and you like the drama of conference championship games but you're against a system that actually makes winning a conference championship mean something? You argued that, under an 8 team scenario that I proposed, it didn't matter if Clemson, Alabama, Stanford, Iowa, or MSU won this weekend because they'd all be in anyway. You do understand that there are only 2 wildcard teams in that scenario right? Literally impossible for all those teams to lose and all of them still make it in. Clemson probably has a good argument for a wildcard spot but it's no guarantee. Very much doubt that a two-loss Alabama gets in under that scenario and a three-loss Stanford certainly wouldn't. Maybe a one-loss Iowa gets in but a two-loss MSU probably doesn't.

I like having a conference championship. With the 2 divisions, how can we declare a B10 champ otherwise? Would we have been ok saying Iowa was the champ when they didn't play MSU, OSU, or Michigan?

Not sure where you ever interpreted anything about an 8 team playoff meaning we'd get rid of conference championship games. I wouldn't be ok with Iowa winning the Big Ten without beating the top team from the East.

Why do we need every P5 champion to get in the playoffs? That's the ultimate entitlement system. Instead, let the best teams in. Not too long ago, the B10 didn't have a team in the top 8. I wish that wasn't the case, but no way do I think that the champ automatically should have displaced a better team just because we're the B10.

Again, completely backwards logic. How is winning a conference to advance to the playoffs entitlement? I follow this silly notion that a championship should be earned on the field and you include all five P5 champions because schedules vary greatly and this allows every single P5 team an opportunity to play itself in. You don't rely and some random committee to discern whether a one-loss Big 12 champ Oklahoma or one-loss SEC champion Alabama is better than a two-loss Pac 12 champion Stanford. This is exactly the opposite of entitlement. Every P5 team has the opportunity to EARN their way in via their play on the field. Win your conference championship, and you get your shot.

Now, I like the excitement of basically "lose two games and you're out" method of determining who gets in the playoff. Increasing it to 8 teams, the regular season suddenly doesn't matter as much. It also encourages weak scheduling. Currently the pressure is on to stack your schedule with good teams. In an 8 team playoff, the Baylor's and UNC's would be fine playing a weak schedule and losing 1 game. That's not good for college football.

Baylor and UNC needed to win their conference title to potentially get in with 4 teams you can see by the rankings that they aren't even close to getting in with 8 either. Listen, I can do without 8 teams but I firmly believe every major conference champion should be in and I can't really think of a good scenario for a 5 team playoff. The only format that makes any sort of sense to me if you move up from 4 is 8. To fill the 8, you have to pull 3 more teams from somewhere and that's going to take some discretion but at least you're not leaving out a conference champion. It was fortunate this year that Stanford lost to Northwestern. Had they won that game and also ended the season with one loss, which conference champion do you leave out? We saw it last year when the one-loss Big 12 champ was left out in favor of a one-loss Big Ten champ. I think it ultimately turned out to be the right choice last year but it's not going to be that way every year. Allowing all the champs in ensures that a deserving team, via winning their conference, is not left out. Perhaps some years you'll end up with a conference champion that doesn't really deserve to be there but I'd rather err on allowing an undeserving team than excluding a deserving one. Will there still be gripes about who got in and who got left out? Sure. But the reality will be that every single P5 team had the opportunity to play their way in.

TC43 - In your ranking, why does a 2 loss ND get in over a 1 loss OSU? Just because OSU happens to be in a conference with other good teams?

It's not my ranking. It was the final college football playoff rankings that I was using as an example. I happen to think OSU is better than Iowa and would prefer them be included in an 8 team field. The committee ranked Iowa ahead of them though and that's life. I just don't feel that any conference should get 3 teams into the field. If you aren't determined to even be the 2nd best team in your conference after the regular season concludes then you shouldn't be playing in an 8 team national playoff.

For years, everyone had pre-determined the SEC to be the juggernaut conference and in many of those years they might have been. Then again, maybe that assumption just afforded them more opportunity? This is where you get into resumes and where you have incentive to go beat someone good out of conference. This is why I think Stanford gets shafted here because they DID go and play two very good non-conference opponent in Notre Dame and Northwestern and happened to lose one of those games. They still won their conference but now they don't get into the playoff. Please tell me how much incentive they have to continue scheduling tough non-conference games going forward. With 8 teams, a non-conference loss doesn't kill you because you can still win your conference to get in and a good non-conference win can help your resume if you're fighting for one of the wild cards. I believe it would provide incentive for top teams to schedule better compared to the current system.
 
The consensus on this thread seems to be that if the playoffs are expanded to 8 teams, then the conference championships need to be eliminated. Apparently you are not of that opinion, so you don't have a problem with the teams in the playoff playing 15 or 16 games. I think that's probably too many.

Those may be the final college football committee rankings, but it's you dreaming up these 8 team playoff rules. So once again, you feel that ND should get in the playoff ahead of OSU based on the fact OSU actually played in a conference. Why should OSU, and the B10, be penalized for having a tough conference?

In the same manner, I wasn't arguing against your particular version of an 8 team playoff, but one in general. The one I had dreamed up basically is that there are 8 at large teams.

My philosophy is simple - the best teams should get in. Any artificial criteria imposed on the teams getting in (such as "must win conference") limits the freedom of the committee and hurts college football. I'm a big proponent of winning one's conference because I'm an old school guy. I don't think that just because a team wins their conference, they should be considered one of the top 8 teams in college football. I don't see how there's any flawed logic between those two statements.

I had no problem with LSU-Bama in the NC a few years ago because I thought they were the 2 best teams in college football. Under your arbitrary conditions of "No more than 2 teams from a conference allowed", Arkansas at #5 would not have gotten in an 8 team playoff. Let's say someone else has an arbitrary condition of "You must play in your conference championship". Now you just eliminated Bama. Meanwhile, the best team out of the ACC that year was #22 Clemson who finished the season at 10-4 and got blown out by WVU 70-33 in the bowl game.

See how it's counter-productive for the game to impose these arbitrary conditions? Just let the 8 best teams in, and everything tends to take care of itself.

To set aside 5 of the 8 slots for major conference teams smacks of entitlement. The little guys have an uphill battle already - why limit their potential slots? In 2009, TCU finished #6, Boise State at #4, and Cincy at #8. Why discriminate against them? If they're ranked in the top 8, let them in.

It seems like your favorite argument is "win your conference and you're in". Mine is simply "win and you're in". In your Stanford scenario, you're one step away from saying "the NW loss shouldn't matter". I think it should matter. And I like how the regular season matters so much right now. Perhaps the fact that Stanford lost 2 out of conference games proves the P12 wasn't that tough. I don't have to convince you that Stanford still has incentive to keep scheduling tough - just look at the emphasis the committee puts on strength of schedule - last year OSU jumped Baylor and TCU due to having a tougher schedule.
 
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Am I the only one in the world who enjoyed college football more before the playoff? You know, when teams just played bowl games and each game had its own significance. Now the hype is all on those 4 teams and nothing else seems to matter. Before, there used to be various levels of accomplishment. I remember when we went to the Capital One or Outback bowl and thinking, wow we really made it into the elite group this year vs. going to the Pizza bowl or Motor City and thinking it was a disappointing season. Now, they all just seem like pointless exhibitions because you missed the all important playoffs. Look at the apathetic ND and OSU fans bitch about missing out. Look at how the media is poo pooing the Rose Bowl game. Of course, maybe I just miss those days because Purdue was involved..
 
I am very against expanding the playoff to 8 teams. I can understand why those in power would advocate for it, as more games = more money.

But look at the games this weekend. There would be no excitement for the game in Indy, because both MSU and Iowa would likely be in.

Clemson would be in no matter what, and you could argue they should lose to help the conference get two teams in.

Teams like ND and OSU would join Oklahoma in sitting idle this weekend and still get in.

Expanding the playoffs waters down the regular season, which can be argued is a type of 12 game double elimination playoff anyway. And I like how it leaves one conference (plus ND) watching from home. Creates a ton more intrigue and raises the stakes, as opposed to being egalitarian and saying every conference champ gets a slot.

How many times in the past has the 8th best team in the country been anywhere near as good as the best? It doesn't even add football games, as the 5th-8th ranked teams are in good bowls now as it stands.

Any dissenting opinions here?
I agree with you on the playoff number. My questions is: what is the advantage of a conference championship game (other than money)????? I see many situations where teams could get penalized for playing an extra game.

The B1G got lucky because the winner of the game got in. But Iowa got screwed. If Iowa was an independent, they would have been in the CFP. What is going to happen when ND, which doesn't have a conference championship game, leapfrogs the winner? They were just rewarded for not playing that extra game.

I'm still not sold on the CFP thing. Seems as though there are still inequities in how it is set up. I'm sure it will expand in the next 5 years when one of those crazy scenarios plays out and someone gets really screwed over. Then, the fix will be to add more teams.
 
I think a conference championship game is necessary given all the expansion of conferences. The schedules are so unbalanced now that it provides a way of comparing two divisions. I would think everyone would have trouble crowning Iowa champ when they didn't play the next 3 best teams.

I don't think Iowa got screwed, but I see your point. If I was the CFP, I'd waive the rule that you need 12 teams for a conference championship. That would allow the B12 to have one. Because like you said, Oklahoma and ND got to sit at home this past weekend, while all the other top teams were grinding out another game. But it goes both ways... if ND was fully in the ACC, then they probably would have gotten another shot at Clemson. Sorry ND, maybe you should join a conference. Just my opinion, but I don't think you'd see ND jump a team with same amount of losses that possesses a championship belt from a conference.
 
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